Day 1 Areal Outline

Issued: 2026-07-02 20:01 UTC

Summary

Severe thunderstorms, including risks of tornadoes, large hail, and damaging winds, are expected across portions of the central and eastern United States throughout Thursday. The most intense weather, including an enhanced risk of severe storms, is centered over parts of the Midwest and moving toward the Mississippi and Ohio River valleys.

Product Text

000 WUUS01 KWNS 022001 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0300 PM CDT THU JUL 02 2026 VALID TIME 022000Z - 031200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 43919114 43299014 42828981 42448984 42169032 41929087 42059692 42299877 42419972 42590013 43200102 45370426 45820465 46170471 46740443 47250381 47450317 47470201 47190104 46850061 46170020 45569960 44949838 44429679 44179568 44069474 44079285 44099215 43919114 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 49599941 48619838 48049741 47379597 46879392 45118800 44788727 44098681 43458672 42378686 41978712 41788752 40659374 39869774 39019904 38319958 37590000 36720071 36560115 36540149 36660175 36890198 37650238 39540288 42100371 43020402 43390440 43920512 44490637 45090736 45710818 46190849 46570856 46820859 47310765 47760672 48020628 48320608 49690632 0.05 36698415 35748291 34908241 34398240 33788306 32948539 33388766 34028894 34808939 35688943 37358778 36698415 0.15 49530167 48750144 47819984 46509722 45909657 45129611 44249609 43369643 42959668 42459696 42199735 42139778 42219947 42259998 42320038 42780162 43090270 43500349 44020398 45320451 46530474 49570466 CIG1 49930278 49070180 47960071 45979911 45249801 44869737 44549679 44399658 44099638 43719635 43159664 42579688 42319723 42199763 42129821 42250035 43420343 44250414 46340477 50130465 49930278 && ... WIND ... 0.05 33278341 32808486 32628591 32668667 33098814 33978986 34629029 34939041 35359042 35959034 37318999 37828970 38358856 38588720 38498579 38278515 38008475 37598436 37318408 36868349 36578290 36118117 35768074 35438074 34598152 33898229 33278341 0.05 47487004 46296906 44856934 44017040 43657172 43167364 43037459 41758018 41338294 41278442 41108956 40669386 40189749 38509921 36760069 36590153 36900191 37600234 39390267 40020268 40680223 41150171 41660142 42030146 42570179 43170319 44080606 44680704 45580801 45880827 46270834 46570793 46920736 47410654 48240597 49600510 99999999 49440158 47959774 47409628 46419199 46078917 45588668 45058407 44808131 0.15 49650264 49140218 48210064 45729379 44949142 44548976 44328771 44168616 44128588 44038570 43788564 43538575 43118619 42408801 41889052 41319446 41299673 41529808 41949961 42610068 43170194 43590281 44080337 45060404 46290478 50150440 0.15 38070204 38660214 39320156 39660055 39770008 39529973 39109956 38130000 37220082 37050126 37190171 38070204 0.15 37098635 36588446 36248353 35968302 35718275 35468265 35138255 34578269 33818352 33708406 33538480 33478554 33668695 33858830 34038889 34348924 34878952 35358958 35648949 36148921 36588864 36808818 36978772 37078721 37098635 0.30 35738852 36278814 36648737 36768664 36498544 36098474 35488434 34978431 34468455 34268501 34258575 34318704 34518790 34688838 35098860 35738852 0.30 45190004 45419976 45519938 45619892 45629858 45579828 45429785 44959650 44499534 44159470 43679456 43189471 42899500 42829537 42749601 42719660 42729708 42839752 43159816 44189943 44589982 44890010 45190004 CIG1 44860320 46440245 46950163 47030120 45929554 44259275 43699232 42999236 42309259 41799338 41399434 41019520 40579636 40239749 38699906 37560002 36760068 36700096 36650127 36590154 36910191 37620235 38070242 39130264 40020268 40520244 41320165 41620153 42060154 42400169 42730197 43710270 43930282 44860320 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... ENH 45190004 45419976 45619892 45579828 44499534 44159470 43679456 43189471 42899500 42749601 42729708 42839752 43159816 44189943 44890010 45190004 SLGT 36148921 36588864 36978772 37078721 37098635 36588446 36248353 35968302 35718275 35138255 34578269 33818352 33538480 33478554 33858830 34038889 34348924 34878952 35358958 36148921 SLGT 39320156 39770008 39529973 39109956 38130000 37220082 37050126 37190171 38070204 38660214 39320156 SLGT 49490166 48750144 48100033 45729379 44949142 44548976 44128588 44038570 43788564 43538575 43118619 42408801 41889052 41319446 41299673 41529808 41949961 42280015 43090270 43500349 44020398 45320451 46080465 46290478 49480466 MRGL 35959034 37318999 37828970 38358856 38588720 38498579 38278515 38008475 37318408 36868349 36578290 36118117 35768074 35438074 33898229 33278341 32808486 32628591 32668667 33098814 33978986 34629029 34939041 35359042 35959034 MRGL 49489930 48619838 48049741 47379597 46419199 46078917 45058407 44848180 99999999 47437000 46296906 44856934 44017040 43167364 43037459 41758018 41338294 41108956 40709346 39869774 38509921 36720071 36560115 36540149 36660175 36890198 37650238 39540288 43020402 43680479 44080606 44680704 45710818 46190849 46820859 48020628 48320608 49480628 TSTM 28298345 30278169 30648144 30868063 99999999 42176878 40897201 40567280 40697392 40937539 41357743 41377981 40598311 40258364 39778391 39298386 38108322 36868209 36778209 36748203 36678187 36518153 36468134 36348094 36188036 36037997 35917950 35507916 34987905 34517913 34087943 33468048 31228536 31088683 31008706 30788738 30438754 29688729 99999999 30880664 33290622 33980599 34440558 34820514 35240467 36460415 37350417 38670457 40210505 42000575 42660622 43030663 43290710 43250754 43040803 42390858 41690910 40930966 40171049 39911079 39501373 39291471 39281532 39511572 39901600 40321605 41311587 41781576 42221554 42521517 43401352 43761319 44281297 44971286 45671301 46181308 46621301 46811275 47141198 47321110 47691011 48050956 48600945 49850941 99999999 27800039 27790031 28209938 28819868 30029790 31479750 32279738 32889761 33179799 33199854 32649970 31950070 30920121 29430144 28990152 99999999 49149306 48109143 47459004 47148893 47088804 47138663 47488489 47828423 && THERE IS A ENHANCED RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SE MBG 35 ESE MBG 25 WNW ABR 10 NE ABR 15 WSW RWF 35 SE RWF 0 - FRM 20 E SPW 20 SSE SPW 30 NE SUX 20 SE YKN 10 SW YKN 45 S MHE 30 N 9V9 35 NNE PIR 30 SE MBG THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NE DYR 35 SSE PAH 25 NNW HOP 30 NNE HOP 10 NNE BWG 40 SSW LOZ 40 NE TYS 10 WNW HSS 15 SSE HSS 20 S AVL 0 - AND 15 SW AHN 20 WSW ATL 20 ESE ANB 15 NNE CBM 20 SSW TUP 15 E UOX 35 N UOX 30 NE MEM 15 NE DYR THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 ESE GLD 30 NNW HLC 10 NNE HLC 25 SE HLC 25 N DDC 15 NNE LBL 15 W LBL 15 NE EHA 35 E LAA 40 S ITR 10 ESE GLD THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 85 NNW MOT 35 NNW MOT 45 ESE MOT 15 NE STC 0 - EAU 15 SSW CWA 20 ESE MBL 30 ESE MBL 45 SE MBL 35 NE MKG 0 - MKG 25 SSW RAC 30 N MLI 45 WSW DSM 30 N LNK 40 NNE GRI 25 WNW BUB 20 SSW ANW 25 NE CDR 45 SSW RAP 45 W RAP 45 E 4BQ 25 SW BHK 25 W BHK 105 NNE OLF THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 ENE JBR 25 WNW CGI 25 W MDH 15 E MVN 40 NNE EVV 20 N SDF 30 ENE SDF 10 WSW LEX 15 N LOZ 35 ESE LOZ 30 WNW TRI 30 NNE HKY 40 NNE CLT 20 NE CLT 40 NNW AGS 40 NNE MCN 20 NNE CSG 30 W AUO 30 NE SEM 30 WSW TCL 35 NNE GWO 35 SSW MEM 25 WSW MEM 35 SSE JBR 20 ENE JBR THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 95 N DVL 40 NE DVL 10 WNW GFK 40 N DTL 30 SSE DLH 35 NNE RHI 25 W APN 95 NE BAX ...CONT... 100 WNW CAR 65 SW CAR 25 W BGR 25 N PWM 10 S GFL 40 ESE UCA 25 S ERI 40 NNW MFD 30 NNE PIA 25 ENE LWD 25 NNW CNK 35 SW RSL 25 SSE LBL 20 ESE GUY 10 S GUY 15 W GUY 10 SSW EHA 30 NNE SPD 40 WNW ITR 50 WNW CDR 60 SE GCC 30 SW GCC 0 - SHR 20 ESE BIL 25 N BIL 45 ESE LWT 20 SE GGW 30 WNW OLF 90 N GGW GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 WNW PIE 15 S JAX 15 NE JAX 55 ESE SSI ...CONT... 90 NE ACK 30 S GON 20 SE ISP 10 WNW JFK 20 N ABE 25 WNW IPT 0 - FKL 35 WSW MFD 40 NE DAY 20 ESE DAY 35 ENE LUK 40 NNE JKL 30 NNE TRI 25 NE TRI 30 NE TRI 30 ENE TRI 55 N HKY 50 N HKY 50 NNE HKY 25 WNW GSO 0 - GSO 25 ESE GSO 25 NNE SOP 10 W FAY 35 SSW FAY 20 ESE FLO 20 E OGB 10 SE DHN 25 SSE GZH 30 S GZH 25 NNW PNS 20 W PNS 55 S PNS ...CONT... 65 SSW ELP 30 NNW ALM 20 WSW 4CR 25 NNE 4CR 55 S LVS 40 SE LVS 25 SE RTN 10 ENE TAD 15 SE COS 15 S FCL 45 N LAR 20 SE CPR 10 NW CPR 40 NW CPR 55 SSE WRL 20 E RIW 30 SSE LND 0 - RKS 35 NNW VEL 40 NNE PUC 20 N PUC 65 SW DPG 0 - ELY 25 W ELY 15 E P68 25 N P68 35 SSW EKO 35 N EKO 25 ESE OWY 40 ENE OWY 35 W TWF 40 E SUN 65 NNW PIH 40 WSW MQM 25 SW DLN 30 SW BTM 35 S 3DU 0 - 3DU 20 ENE 3DU 35 N HLN 15 SE GTF 55 NW LWT 35 SSE HVR 15 ENE HVR 90 N HVR ...CONT... 60 WNW LRD 55 WNW LRD 20 SSW COT 40 NE COT 20 NNE BAZ 20 WSW ACT 40 S FTW 15 WNW FTW 25 N MWL 40 NW MWL 15 N ABI 40 NNW SJT 50 SW SJT 30 W DRT 45 SW DRT ...CONT... 40 NNE INL 25 NE ELO 25 SE GNA 20 W CMX 20 ESE CMX 60 NE MQT 75 NNW ANJ 95 N ANJ