Day 1 Areal Outline

Issued: 2026-09-19 05:16 UTC

Summary

Severe thunderstorms, including risks of tornadoes, hail, and wind, are expected across parts of the central and eastern United States on September 19, 2026. The risk of severe weather is marginal to slight across much of the affected region.

Product Text

000 WUUS01 KWNS 190516 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1214 AM CDT SAT SEP 19 2026 VALID TIME 191200Z - 201200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... && ... HAIL ... 0.05 34810086 34850124 35130156 35500162 35850146 36400106 37310017 39199803 39959698 40959481 41129387 41059368 40859336 40479312 40119316 39599342 39159378 38699441 38419482 37449659 36169855 35140010 34810086 0.05 42210292 40890226 39790193 38370183 37890190 37270218 37060265 37020339 37090369 37270400 37520435 38000455 39210491 40480528 42700599 43310617 43730616 44000610 44270582 44350516 44140453 43070342 42210292 0.15 36519904 36539933 36669963 36929967 37209956 37709907 38429827 39829627 39929578 39829545 39519516 39229512 38979520 38769538 38559567 38299615 37859689 37319769 36519904 0.15 38230319 38110372 38280413 38580443 39270462 39900473 40230456 40380424 40450386 40420352 40260326 39920304 39410291 38970279 38600279 38400289 38230319 && ... WIND ... 0.05 39690191 38400183 37850192 37260222 37060264 37000340 37070367 37270403 37530434 37960456 38670478 39900509 43290618 43980613 44250585 44330512 44150454 42960334 40850224 39690191 0.05 32408469 32508523 32858569 33298595 33918597 34488586 35718559 36588543 37588569 38248620 38828686 39178766 39378837 39708865 39848862 40148844 40388801 40638695 40658601 40348450 39608315 39068253 38348214 37428195 36378227 34828285 33488345 32818383 32378439 32408469 0.05 36919672 34919962 33830066 32600151 31590207 30620249 30150279 30080307 30240352 30560385 31040394 32140375 33210344 34660266 36450116 38919839 39959698 40989479 41289313 41219235 41039186 40509157 39919180 39349221 38699350 37399582 36919672 0.15 35799961 35689998 35670029 35840059 35980063 36230059 36550033 37129972 38389837 39139729 39839629 40109540 39999481 39679455 39369459 39059473 38599524 37909629 35799961 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 36230059 36550033 38389837 39839629 40109540 39999481 39679455 39059473 38599524 35799961 35670029 35840059 35980063 36230059 SLGT 40230456 40380424 40420352 40260326 39920304 38970279 38600279 38400289 38230319 38110372 38280413 38580443 39900473 40230456 MRGL 32140375 33210344 34660266 36450116 38919839 39959698 40989479 41289313 41219235 41039186 40509157 39919180 39349221 36919672 34919962 33830066 32600151 30150279 30080307 30240352 30560385 31040394 32140375 MRGL 40148844 40388801 40638695 40658601 40348450 39608315 39068253 38348214 37428195 34828285 33488345 32818383 32378439 32508523 32858569 33298595 33918597 36588543 37588569 38248620 38828686 39178766 39378837 39708865 40148844 MRGL 43980613 44270582 44350516 44150454 42960334 40850224 39790193 38370183 37890190 37270218 37060264 37000340 37070367 37520435 37960456 43290618 43980613 TSTM 42598147 42238120 41278068 40768052 39908042 39018057 37998062 36837973 36097853 35717463 99999999 30851023 32180982 33721028 35451013 36801049 37911086 39731226 40601320 41691448 43611503 44861499 45771397 46561207 47461018 48070859 48180607 47500386 46530333 45150248 43630114 42200015 41349974 40719958 40209936 40219899 41009845 41389785 41809700 41969645 43919450 44369208 43958834 43598573 43088155 99999999 25579882 28169761 29259658 29689499 29479133 29069007 29278917 30068898 30978949 32489005 32999021 33469033 34079011 34518985 34858946 35418879 35928811 36718753 37208754 37808802 38398893 38568970 38479030 37799204 37569283 35419621 33759860 31720043 28940184 && THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 W GAG 35 WNW GAG 35 NW HUT 40 SE BIE 10 E FNB 15 NNE STJ 20 ESE STJ 10 WSW MKC 35 WSW OJC 35 SSE GAG 50 SW GAG 45 ENE BGD 45 ENE BGD 45 W GAG THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 ESE FCL 40 E FCL 25 NW AKO 0 - AKO 20 SSE AKO 35 SW ITR 35 N LAA 25 NNW LAA 20 NE LHX 10 WNW LHX 20 E PUB 20 N PUB 10 NE DEN 30 ESE FCL THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 ESE CNM 40 NNW HOB 40 ENE CVS 25 SE GUY 25 E RSL 25 SSW BIE 35 ENE SDA 0 - OXV 10 NE OTM 30 E OTM 30 SW BRL 30 W UIN 35 N COU 25 ENE PNC 25 NW LTS 45 SSW CDS 25 N BGS 35 WNW 6R6 60 S FST 30 ESE MRF 15 NE MRF 45 N MRF 35 ESE CNM THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 NW CMI 30 NNE CMI 15 N LAF 40 NW MIE 35 NNW DAY 30 SSW CMH 20 SW UNI 20 E HTS 40 WNW BLF 25 NNW AND 35 SSW AHN 15 NW MCN 35 ESE CSG 15 ESE AUO 20 NW AUO 20 SSW ANB 10 ESE GAD 50 NNW CSV 40 S SDF 25 W SDF 25 SSW BMG 25 SW HUF 10 SW MTO 15 SE DEC 10 NW CMI THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SW GCC 15 WSW GCC 20 E GCC 50 ESE GCC 15 NW CDR 40 NW IML 30 NNW GLD 50 ENE LAA 45 ESE LAA 25 NW EHA 15 S SPD 40 NNW CAO 40 ESE TAD 15 N TAD 20 S PUB 30 NNE CPR 40 SW GCC GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 85 NNE CLE 55 WNW ERI 0 - YNG 25 NW PIT 25 SSE HLG 40 WNW EKN 20 NW SSU 30 NW DAN 20 NE RDU 65 ENE HSE ...CONT... 50 S FHU 50 SSW SAD 40 SSW SOW 45 NE INW 50 SSE U17 25 NNW U17 30 NNE U24 30 NNW DPG 55 S TWF 35 WNW SUN 55 E MYL 45 N SMN 0 - HLN 45 NW LWT 65 ESE HVR 25 WNW OLF 20 SE SDY 30 SW DIK 55 SSW Y22 35 SE PHP 30 SSW ANW 10 SW BBW 30 W EAR 40 SSW EAR 35 S EAR 0 - GRI 25 W OLU 25 ESE OFK 20 NW TQE 20 NNW FRM 35 NE RST 10 E OSH 40 NE MKG 75 ENE MTC ...CONT... 55 SW MFE 15 SSE NIR 35 NE VCT 20 E HOU 40 W HUM 45 WSW BVE 15 ESE BVE 25 SSE GPT 35 SSW PIB 10 N JAN 35 SSW GWO 15 W GWO 40 N GWO 20 WNW UOX 35 N UOX 15 SSE MKL 50 ENE MKL 0 - HOP 35 N HOP 30 WSW EVV 0 - MVN 10 E BLV 20 S STL 0 - TBN 40 NE SGF 45 NNW MLC 15 SSW SPS 25 N SJT 65 WSW DRT