Day 1 Areal Outline

Issued: 2026-06-16 16:15 UTC

Summary

Severe thunderstorms, including risks of tornadoes, large hail, and damaging winds, are expected across portions of the central and southern United States throughout Tuesday. Areas facing marginal to slight risks include parts of the Great Plains, the Gulf Coast, and the Southeast.

Product Text

000 WUUS01 KWNS 161615 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1113 AM CDT TUE JUN 16 2026 VALID TIME 161630Z - 171200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 27939629 28839609 29589512 31089000 31738703 31718464 31398354 30868287 30218316 29788396 29048522 0.02 42378778 43398649 43228470 42908405 42358342 41258408 40608498 39888619 39498778 39688894 40258887 41228799 41838770 42378778 0.05 40788515 40088611 40348726 41328745 41748680 42488604 42508544 41778480 40788515 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 36159657 34930021 34470183 34850216 35490200 36780084 37619929 38189641 38049329 38019236 37159171 35889366 35999499 36159657 0.05 49640463 48460153 47190046 46349945 45439920 44990007 45070103 45260263 46140379 47520690 48430863 48641112 49661203 0.05 42508783 43508649 45068411 44908312 43598249 42648258 39658536 38958757 39368892 39738912 40528888 41458794 42508783 0.05 41639425 43079531 43719396 43749279 43159183 41639056 40599047 40449178 41639425 0.05 37447534 37647628 38327683 38707679 39087644 39147539 38747466 38277466 37447534 0.15 43149345 42959206 41969117 41509110 41069132 40969194 41659347 42319418 42679404 43149345 0.15 41318741 41878677 42878549 42688474 41398472 40428536 40038600 40178715 40668748 41318741 && ... WIND ... 0.05 49540433 48440155 47210051 45359836 44849878 45000057 45030108 45290266 46100375 46370583 46880779 47570965 48561127 49551218 0.05 35909372 36189652 35879754 34940026 34880098 35500127 36550052 37019989 37319884 38059681 37989437 37229228 36759230 35909372 0.05 43119235 42069098 41119058 40689059 40589087 40549170 41599418 42639489 43349426 43119235 0.05 37347483 37617631 38227694 38697691 39257651 39537598 39527476 39247330 0.05 43398487 42658258 41368294 40248401 39338562 38948672 38958757 39328887 39778912 40518890 41458790 42478784 43458654 43398487 0.05 30108051 29538253 29358387 30158500 30848518 31428402 31598002 0.15 42658475 42388377 41588416 40438484 39688613 39368728 40658748 41278686 42658475 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 41328745 42878549 42388377 40438484 39688613 39368728 40658748 41328745 SLGT 42679404 43149345 42959206 41969117 41509110 41069132 40969194 41659347 42319418 42679404 MRGL 30068065 29538253 29358387 29618424 29048522 99999999 27939629 28839609 29589512 31089000 31738703 31718464 31438369 31578040 MRGL 35490200 36780084 37619929 38189641 38019236 37159171 35889366 36159657 34930021 34470183 34850216 35490200 MRGL 43719396 43749279 43159183 41639056 40599047 40449178 41599418 43079531 43719396 MRGL 49480419 48460153 47190046 45359836 44849878 45030108 45260263 46100375 46370583 46880779 47570965 48561127 49521215 MRGL 37377499 37617631 38227694 38697691 39257651 39537598 39527476 39307363 MRGL 40518890 41458794 42508783 43508649 45068411 44908312 43598249 42648258 41368294 40248401 39338562 38948672 38958757 39328887 39738912 40518890 TSTM 27910054 30399869 31899679 33449368 33519064 34538347 34888039 35297839 35927762 36597718 37267703 37987738 38827795 39447756 39857647 40047565 40017448 39727353 99999999 45377258 44047311 42557491 41307659 39708072 37848451 36558783 35279185 35369525 34109883 32420045 30520160 29430209 99999999 32111695 32731708 33361720 34091704 34621673 35011586 35711339 35771175 35161027 33940890 33240829 32930771 33010710 33680544 34170392 35230255 37160092 38889937 40109754 40579662 40919601 41409604 41869664 42649954 43790274 45540670 45850914 47761312 48201379 49451648 99999999 49339627 47939453 47299267 47019074 47398928 47748780 48068652 && THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 WSW VPZ 0 - GRR 10 N ARB 30 ENE MIE 10 ESE IND 0 - HUF 30 NNE DNV 25 WSW VPZ THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 NE FOD 0 - MCW 35 NNE ALO 30 E CID 30 W MLI 20 NNW BRL 30 ESE OTM 15 NE DSM 15 S FOD 10 NE FOD THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 E SGJ 20 WSW GNV 50 WSW CTY 55 S TLH 50 SSW AAF ...CONT... 55 S PSX 10 NE PSX 10 ESE HOU 30 ESE MCB 20 N GZH 30 WNW ABY 25 NNE MGR 60 SE SAV THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NW AMA 20 SSE LBL 40 ESE DDC 15 SW EMP 20 NW TBN 30 NNE UNO 30 ESE FYV 35 NNE CQB 35 N CDS 20 NNW PVW 35 SW AMA 25 NW AMA THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 E FRM 20 SW RST 50 NE ALO 15 NNW MLI 35 ESE BRL 40 SW BRL 25 W DSM 10 SW SPW 25 E FRM THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 95 NNW ISN 15 NW MOT 30 NNE BIS 0 - ABR 45 SSW ABR 45 SW MBG 50 SSW Y22 30 SE BHK 0 - MLS 85 NNE BIL 35 NNW LWT 75 N GTF 65 N CTB THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SE WAL 45 S NHK 30 W NHK 15 SSE DCA 10 ENE BWI 25 WSW ILG 10 WNW ACY 50 E ACY THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 0 - BMI 40 E MMO 20 S RAC 25 NNW MKG 25 W APN 25 ESE APN 30 ESE BAX 15 ENE MTC 45 NNW MFD 25 NNE DAY 45 SE IND 15 SSW BMG 35 SSW HUF 35 S DEC 15 WSW DEC 0 - BMI GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 WNW LRD 60 NNW SAT 25 WSW CRS 20 E TXK 20 E GLH 40 N AHN 40 SE CLT 25 WSW GSB 15 ENE RWI 30 ENE RZZ 25 SE RIC 35 N RIC 40 S MRB 20 SSE HGR 30 SE CXY 25 N ILG 10 WSW NEL 50 ESE NEL ...CONT... 35 NNW EFK 30 S BTV 50 SSE UCA 15 ENE IPT 35 S HLG 15 SSE LEX 20 WSW HOP 35 SSW BVX 20 SSE MKO 20 WNW SPS 45 W ABI 50 NE 6R6 45 S 6R6 ...CONT... 45 SSE SAN 0 - SAN 45 N SAN 25 ENE RAL 15 S DAG 55 ENE DAG 45 NE IGM 25 ESE GCN 25 ENE INW 65 ESE SOW 45 N SVC 30 SW TCS 20 SE TCS 15 NNE SRR 35 WSW CVS 55 S DHT 10 NNE LBL 30 W RSL 40 N CNK 20 NNE BIE 30 SSW OMA 10 NW OMA 25 WNW TQE 25 E ANW 25 SE RAP 55 NNE SHR 30 W BIL 75 N 3DU 25 ESE GPI 135 NNE GEG ...CONT... 40 NW ROX 35 NNE BJI 10 SE HIB 35 NNE ASX 40 WNW CMX 50 NE CMX 115 NNE MQT