Day 1 Areal Outline

Issued: 2026-08-15 16:36 UTC

Summary

Severe thunderstorms, including a slight risk of tornadoes, hail, and wind, are expected across parts of the central and eastern United States through Saturday. The risk of severe weather varies from marginal to slight in several regions, with general thunderstorms forecast across a wide area including portions of the South and West.

Product Text

000 WUUS01 KWNS 151636 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1135 AM CDT SAT AUG 15 2026 VALID TIME 151630Z - 161200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 38698192 38348223 37958326 37958415 38268481 38578537 39028560 39628554 40068520 40358474 40428431 40198291 39908216 39458191 38968177 38698192 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 36530222 36490274 36470330 36570382 36840415 37750472 38670504 41790543 42450604 42570705 43260767 43750720 44050642 43560450 43550403 43480351 43030297 42480244 40730201 38210173 37290175 36840182 36730192 36530222 0.15 37120275 37100323 37260359 37650399 38200433 39050470 40790492 41790475 42190451 42400398 42430369 42350333 42080313 41590287 40770261 39020238 38050229 37420232 37340236 37120275 && ... WIND ... 0.05 31598010 31758147 31308249 30358404 30248572 30628657 31138657 31878564 32738476 33968422 35558418 36598439 38118549 38968699 39138963 38949160 38649536 36379996 35590162 35500268 36240416 36720477 37280489 39110541 41870586 42460610 42600704 43280762 43780717 44380595 44550508 44490380 44150273 43150127 42340023 41969885 41749685 41619324 41889005 42198859 42618620 42538500 42268396 41218208 40248114 38537956 36777837 35447743 34317570 0.15 36760348 37040397 37510429 38200459 39250481 40360493 41220497 41850496 42370469 42690388 42710271 42410200 41920171 40690147 38850107 38470072 38080049 37480035 37140050 36780108 36640201 36730302 36760348 0.15 38388512 38698541 39098560 39588559 40048516 40418440 40268341 40038247 39608192 39138186 38678200 38538204 38268228 38078290 37938342 38018428 38388512 CIG1 37970321 38270169 39170031 39099924 38279918 37069970 36450098 36550234 36550333 37480346 37970321 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 41850496 42370469 42690388 42710271 42410200 41920171 38850107 38470072 38080049 37480035 37140050 36780108 36640201 36760348 37040397 37510429 38200459 39250481 41220497 41850496 SLGT 39588559 40048516 40418440 40038247 39608192 39138186 38538204 38268228 37938342 38018428 38388512 38698541 39098560 39588559 MRGL 31628036 31758147 31308249 30358404 30248572 30628657 31138657 31878564 32738476 33968422 35558418 36598439 38118549 38968699 39138963 38649536 35590162 35500268 36240416 36720477 39110541 41870586 42460610 42570705 43260767 43780717 44380595 44550508 44490380 44150273 42340023 41969885 41749685 41619324 41889005 42618620 42538500 42268396 41218208 38537956 35447743 34387581 TSTM 28448942 29159018 29629048 30009061 30379059 30729036 31218995 31648904 32258785 32718728 33728654 35928617 37618662 37948691 38118731 38188856 38039040 37699369 37429594 36849752 35809942 34440084 33370186 32140199 30920162 30540140 30120085 29540041 28820027 27890036 99999999 46858323 45958452 44938608 44338620 43768573 42758356 42208105 41937981 41287850 40427767 39647748 38737758 37957755 37337719 36997682 36547632 35757494 35567419 99999999 49791085 48871008 47990926 47340860 46790718 45640420 44740265 44200138 44110001 44489883 45129801 46239734 47569686 48359668 49429657 49979637 99999999 38561213 37601224 36921201 35961113 35130998 34190837 33920747 34090664 34780624 35780610 36780640 38120738 39070820 39600906 39731005 39501078 39201129 38561213 99999999 31011216 32021196 32641127 32901069 33031016 33231002 33751020 34081117 34191260 33971376 33671426 33311443 32391503 32161514 99999999 32121665 32661702 33551741 34471780 35351781 37631736 39071695 40261713 42341842 42821872 43191919 43371977 43422032 43292073 42992174 43122222 43662262 44512264 46782249 48342234 49532243 49822248 && THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 N CYS 35 NW TOR 45 NNE TOR 20 ESE CDR 50 ENE AIA 35 WSW MHN 50 SE GLD 35 N GCK 15 NE GCK 30 SW DDC 25 ENE LBL 20 SSW LBL 25 SSW EHA 30 NW CAO 25 SE TAD 15 N TAD 0 - PUB 30 N COS 10 WNW CYS 50 N CYS THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SSW MIE 20 SE MIE 35 NNW DAY 20 E CMH 25 S ZZV 20 ESE UNI 25 WNW CRW 15 ESE HTS 25 N JKL 15 E LEX 35 NW LEX 40 NNE SDF 65 N SDF 45 SSW MIE THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 SE SAV 30 SSW SAV 0 - AYS 20 E TLH 0 - PFN 10 SSW CEW 25 N CEW 20 E TOI 20 NE CSG 25 NNE ATL 20 SSW TYS 40 SSW LOZ 15 ESE SDF 25 WSW BMG 30 NE ALN 35 SSE TOP 15 WSW BGD 35 SSW DHT 40 SSE RTN 15 W RTN 40 WNW COS 40 NNW LAR 35 SSE CPR 35 SW CPR 50 SSE WRL 40 ESE WRL 20 W GCC 25 ENE GCC 50 NW RAP 15 ENE RAP 20 SW ANW 20 NE BUB 35 NE OLU 20 NNW OXV 40 NE MLI 35 NNE BEH 25 SW LAN 10 WNW ARB 20 SW CLE 30 SSE EKN 35 NW EWN 60 S HSE GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 S BVE 40 SE HUM 10 ENE HUM 20 W MSY 35 NW MSY 30 SSE MCB 30 E MCB 20 NE PIB 50 W SEM 30 NW SEM 15 NE BHM 30 ESE BNA 30 ESE OWB 20 NE OWB 15 ENE EVV 20 ESE MVN 20 N FAM 35 NNW SGF 30 SW CNU 25 WNW PNC 35 NNW CSM 30 W CDS 20 S LBB 20 NE MAF 70 NNE 6R6 60 NE 6R6 50 N DRT 35 ENE DRT 55 SE DRT 60 WNW LRD ...CONT... 60 ENE ANJ 30 NNE PLN 30 WNW TVC 0 - MBL 45 SE MBL 20 SSE FNT 45 W ERI 20 ESE ERI 20 ENE DUJ 30 SSE UNV 15 ESE HGR 30 WSW DCA 35 NNW RIC 15 SSE RIC 35 W ORF 20 NNW ECG 55 NE HSE 85 ENE HSE ...CONT... 100 NNW HVR 25 NNW HVR 45 SSE HVR 45 ENE LWT 65 WNW MLS 35 W 2WX 50 NNE RAP 15 NE PHP 25 SE PIR 30 WNW HON 30 SE ABR 55 SSW FAR 30 SSE GFK 30 SSE HCO 50 NNE HCO 85 NNW ROX ...CONT... 60 N BCE 10 SSW BCE 30 W PGA 65 NNE FLG 45 E INW 75 SSW GNT 35 WSW ONM 15 ENE ONM 25 SE ABQ 10 N SAF 55 SSW ALS 35 SW GUC 20 E GJT 45 NW GJT 40 ENE PUC 10 SSW PUC 40 SW PUC 60 N BCE ...CONT... 105 SW TUS 60 W TUS 40 NNW TUS 55 NNE TUS 35 WNW SAD 35 NW SAD 40 SSW SOW 70 SSW INW 35 SSW PRC 60 ENE BLH 25 E BLH 25 SE BLH 30 SW YUM 45 SW YUM ...CONT... 35 SSW CZZ 10 ESE SAN 30 S RAL 20 SE PMD 25 SSW NID 35 SSW TPH 30 SSE U31 25 SSW BAM 35 WSW REO 55 SSE BNO 30 SSW BNO 45 WSW BNO 70 SE RDM 70 SSE RDM 60 N LMT 60 NNE MFR 45 SE EUG 35 SSE SLE 25 SE OLM 35 SSE BLI 50 N BLI 70 N BLI