Day 1 Areal Outline

Issued:

Risk area map for Day 1 Areal Outline

Summary

Marginal risks of severe thunderstorms including possible tornadoes, hail, and wind are expected across parts of the central and eastern United States on Monday, June 15. General thunderstorms are also forecast to occur throughout much of the central and eastern regions during this period.

Product Text

000 WUUS01 KWNS 151612 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1111 AM CDT MON JUN 15 2026 VALID TIME 151630Z - 161200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 35450340 35390428 36020493 36500500 36830480 36940437 37000397 36970364 36800337 36180322 35450340 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 36890530 37060393 37520306 37980267 38900227 39060186 39010110 38490027 37700016 36690170 34760236 34080267 33690312 33410353 33840438 34320508 35490574 36180566 36890530 && ... WIND ... 0.05 37939995 37670004 37300023 36840058 36060103 35170123 34640131 34010145 33520180 32920225 32670267 32520322 32410506 32570592 33080618 33570598 34290548 34960517 35690496 36250455 37130383 37780322 38840238 39130187 39090120 38430020 37939995 0.05 47650086 47349776 47109620 45849305 45119283 44419311 44109334 43809386 43579493 43629684 43739826 44099942 44330014 45300135 46350174 47270183 47650086 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... MRGL 33570598 34290548 34700529 35490574 36180566 36890530 37100385 38840238 39130187 39090120 38430020 37939995 37670004 36060103 34010145 32920225 32670267 32520322 32410506 32570592 33080618 33570598 MRGL 47650086 47349776 47109620 45849305 45119283 44419311 44109334 43809386 43579493 43739826 44330014 45300135 46350174 47270183 47650086 TSTM 32071667 32221707 33341697 34511570 35741424 36141354 36701115 37120984 37950832 39660530 39860391 40020232 40260069 40949944 41559831 42009731 42299672 42559672 42969712 43199825 43509980 44070165 45350334 46410439 49490625 99999999 46978415 46018455 45118509 44368598 43898694 43688745 43428772 42838777 42088797 41258838 40048960 38639275 37699451 36929623 36319758 36119803 35819894 35629978 35150029 34480058 33800059 33180055 32720051 32510050 32300026 32219997 32299931 32639862 33109767 33929644 34539448 34679343 34739069 34588924 34248722 33978615 33308409 32908215 32508059 32667913 99999999 33947711 34607699 35887608 36587519 99999999 49570999 49030980 48471018 48291092 48321187 48801288 49441356 99999999 36111876 36801951 37471994 38082012 38501995 38591949 37931850 37381796 36841767 36251787 36101824 36111876 && THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 WNW SRR 15 NE 4CR 45 NNE 4CR 20 ESE SAF 45 NNE SAF 50 SE ALS 30 ESE TAD 30 S ITR 20 SSW GLD 35 SE GLD 45 NNW DDC 10 N DDC 10 SSW DDC 30 NE BGD 20 SE PVW 55 SSW LBB 30 E HOB 10 S HOB 45 NNW GDP 20 SSE ALM 15 NNW ALM 25 WNW SRR THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 E N60 50 SSW GFK 25 NW DTL 65 N MSP 25 NE MSP 35 S MSP 30 ESE MKT 30 S MKT 30 NNE SPW 10 WSW MHE 10 ESE PIR 45 WSW MBG 35 NE Y22 30 SW N60 25 E N60 GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SSW CZZ 35 S SAN 45 NNE SAN 65 NNE TRM 40 NNW IGM 65 S SGU 20 SE PGA 35 SSW 4BL 45 SSW MTJ 25 WSW DEN 45 NNW LIC 55 N ITR 0 - MCK 30 WNW EAR 40 N GRI 0 - OFK 20 WSW SUX 20 WNW SUX 15 ENE YKN 40 SSW MHE 30 SW 9V9 0 - PHP 20 SSE 2WX 10 WNW BHK 90 N GGW ...CONT... 35 NNE ANJ 35 SSW ANJ 35 SSW PLN 15 ENE MBL 40 ESE MTW 35 SSE MTW 35 NNE MKE 0 - RAC 50 S RAC 20 ESE MMO 15 NNE SPI 30 WSW COU 35 N JLN 15 NW BVO 20 E END 20 SSW END 35 NNE CSM 40 WNW CSM 50 N CDS 15 WNW CDS 45 SSW CDS 75 NW ABI 55 WNW ABI 50 W ABI 35 WSW ABI 20 SW ABI 25 ESE ABI 35 WSW MWL 25 NW FTW 0 - DUA 35 N DEQ 25 NW HOT 45 WSW MEM 20 NE UOX 40 SW HSV 0 - GAD 30 SE ATL 35 SSW AGS 45 SW CHS 55 ESE CHS ...CONT... 50 ESE ILM 35 S EWN 30 SSE ECG 60 ENE ECG ...CONT... 70 N HVR 35 N HVR 20 WSW HVR 60 NNE GTF 30 SE CTB 25 WNW CTB 85 NNE GPI ...CONT... 50 NNE BFL 10 E FAT 35 ENE MER 55 S TVL 30 S TVL 35 SE TVL 40 N BIH 25 E BIH 55 SE BIH 40 NNW NID 45 NW NID 50 NNE BFL