Day 1 Areal Outline

Issued: 2026-07-12 16:36 UTC

Summary

Severe thunderstorms capable of producing tornadoes, large hail, and damaging winds are expected across various regions including parts of the Southwest, Southeast, and Upper Midwest throughout Sunday. The risk levels range from marginal to slight for these severe weather phenomena in the affected areas.

Product Text

000 WUUS01 KWNS 121636 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1134 AM CDT SUN JUL 12 2026 VALID TIME 121630Z - 131200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 45698955 46079091 46559136 46949130 47149065 47168980 47448862 47638808 47568764 47268749 46818702 46758628 46748552 46498529 46058542 45738638 45438793 45698955 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 46468337 45438414 44948469 44558549 44518678 44748817 45028921 45399025 45819104 46669184 48799245 0.15 46998930 47318878 47538804 47458759 47018751 46758682 46768570 46448539 46078553 45928648 45818733 45878801 46178904 46558967 46818962 46998930 CIG1 46789120 47479158 48149149 48399072 48298852 47658762 47278704 46978635 46828568 46748531 46388523 45978540 45798640 45648733 45958950 46309044 46789120 && ... WIND ... 0.05 26127952 26088015 26118055 26308098 26778139 27538192 28258227 29268261 30048349 30738605 30898726 30989186 31369768 31860053 32220398 32730462 33600469 34660443 35370399 35890263 35890112 35469916 34219710 33749475 33439195 33448967 33748766 34538558 35738382 36548105 36637794 36417609 35867474 0.05 31821386 32981425 33941434 34801397 35251319 35091216 34341098 33250969 32730935 31780904 30900895 0.05 46478337 45438412 44928459 44348535 44158608 44148742 44388849 44808942 45249041 45819114 46649184 48799245 0.05 49370529 48010631 47300815 47460906 47850961 48320958 49520846 0.15 31678033 32388165 32858246 33288281 33688299 34188298 34838255 35558156 35818063 35697962 35307861 34787774 33957704 0.15 31201223 32401265 33141304 33481302 33841270 34071204 33941149 33631096 32791061 30860979 0.15 46548966 46798961 47018917 47298869 47438829 47518803 47458768 47038761 46688735 46618676 46718622 46718571 46478548 46148557 45978646 45848730 45948804 46188903 46548966 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 31201223 32401265 33141304 33481302 33841270 34071204 33941149 33631096 30860979 SLGT 31678033 32858246 33288281 33688299 34188298 34838255 35558156 35818063 35697962 35307861 34787774 33957704 SLGT 46818962 47318878 47538804 47458759 47018751 46758682 46768570 46448539 46078553 45818733 45878801 46178904 46558967 46818962 MRGL 26127952 26118055 26308098 27538192 28258227 29268261 30048349 30738605 30898726 30989186 31369768 31860053 32220398 32730462 33600469 34660443 35370399 35890263 35890112 35469916 34219710 33749475 33439195 33448967 33748766 34538558 35738382 36548105 36637794 36417609 35937492 MRGL 31821386 32981425 33941434 34801397 35251319 35091216 34341098 33250969 32730935 31780904 30900895 MRGL 46468337 45438412 44928459 44348535 44158608 44148742 44388849 45249041 45819114 46649184 48799245 MRGL 49370529 48010631 47300815 47460906 47850961 48320958 49500848 TSTM 49460386 48000539 47110754 46470946 45921181 45791265 46181353 46841336 47641230 49650944 50090924 99999999 32061693 33791700 35201674 37191596 38691452 39011381 39071356 39001308 38931218 38981137 39211031 39740800 39960615 39900497 39470370 38130059 37259918 36259741 35959628 35739434 35729294 35939193 36759037 37708937 38448888 39038800 39488584 39928404 40528253 40998158 41178008 40767864 40327796 39307712 38397616 37667548 37487519 37267477 99999999 43988123 43418288 43238481 43498663 43988850 44629014 45589169 46629256 47999318 49559406 99999999 25767851 24998074 25038161 25368265 && THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 100 SW TUS 35 S GBN 25 NW GBN 40 NNW GBN 50 NW PHX 45 N PHX 45 NE PHX 65 ENE PHX 45 SSW DUG THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 ESE SAV 45 N VDI 50 W AGS 25 SE AHN 25 SW AND 20 WSW GSP 15 SW HKY 45 NNE CLT 35 SSE GSO 25 NNE FAY 10 WSW OAJ 55 ESE ILM THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NE IWD 15 NW CMX 30 NE CMX 65 N MQT 35 N MQT 40 ENE MQT 65 WNW ANJ 50 W ANJ 50 NW PLN 15 WNW ESC 0 - IMT 45 NNE RHI 20 E IWD 30 NE IWD THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SE PBI 25 NW MIA 50 ENE APF 35 WSW AGR 35 NE PIE 25 WNW OCF 35 NW CTY 30 E CEW 30 N PNS 40 SE ESF 20 NW TPL 35 N SJT 20 ESE CNM 35 NW CNM 25 NNW ROW 60 SW TCC 25 WNW TCC 10 SSW DHT 20 NE BGD 10 NNE CSM 0 - ADM 30 SW DEQ 20 SW LLQ 25 E GWO 35 N TCL 25 WNW RMG 10 ESE TYS 45 SSW PSK 0 - AVC 10 NNE ECG 65 NE HSE THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 SE YUM 30 NE YUM 30 NE BLH 30 S IGM 40 E IGM 30 W FLG 50 SSW INW 30 N SAD 20 ESE SAD 40 ENE DUG 55 SE DUG THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 E ANJ 35 NW APN 40 N HTL 30 SSE TVC 10 SE MBL 15 E MTW 20 WSW GRB 45 WNW AUW 50 SSW ASX 20 SE DLH 45 ENE INL THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 90 N OLF 20 SE GGW 65 ENE LWT 35 NE LWT 50 S HVR 20 SSE HVR 90 NE HVR GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 90 N ISN 10 SE OLF 90 SSW GGW 20 E 3HT 35 WNW BZN 15 SSW BTM 40 SSW 3DU 15 NW 3DU 45 WNW GTF 75 N HVR 110 NNE HVR ...CONT... 50 SSE SAN 30 ESE RAL 25 N DAG 35 N DRA 45 SSE ELY 60 NW MLF 55 NNW MLF 40 N MLF 35 SSE U24 55 NW 4HV 15 NNW U28 50 NNE GJT 45 ENE EGE 10 NNW DEN 15 N LIC 15 NNE GCK 35 W P28 30 ESE END 30 SW TUL 20 SSW FYV 35 NNE RUE 20 NW BVX 0 - POF 10 SW MDH 10 N MVN 35 SSE MTO 30 SE IND 10 E DAY 20 S MFD 10 WNW CAK 20 SW FKL 30 SSE DUJ 20 E AOO 30 N DCA 15 ENE NHK 20 S WAL 35 SSE WAL 60 SE WAL ...CONT... 90 E BAX 25 SSE BAX 35 NNW LAN 30 NW MKG 0 - OSH 25 WSW CWA 50 NNW EAU 25 SW DLH 40 SSE INL 75 NNW INL ...CONT... 110 E MIA 25 NE MTH 35 NNE EYW 75 SW APF