Day 1 Areal Outline

Issued:

Risk area map for Day 1 Areal Outline

Summary

Severe thunderstorms capable of producing tornadoes, large hail, and damaging winds are expected across portions of the central and eastern United States on Wednesday, June 17. An enhanced risk of severe weather is forecast for parts of the Midwest, while marginal and slight risks extend through the South and towards the Great Lakes.

Product Text

000 WUUS01 KWNS 170558 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1256 AM CDT WED JUN 17 2026 VALID TIME 171200Z - 181200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 37539729 37909705 38699587 39279489 40289375 41259293 41819266 42479293 43109358 43989409 44509403 45039382 45239335 45279293 45079221 44699108 43798976 43328899 42848689 42668530 42648409 42758270 42368206 41298168 40428176 39478217 38888353 37798971 37099561 37219703 37539729 0.02 27809590 29289548 30549490 30739437 30829292 30949162 31608939 31278863 29618815 0.05 42289035 42128753 42018476 41878360 41578325 41408313 41118315 40458316 40068346 39718395 39448472 38968644 38338995 38029230 37859397 37999430 38389451 38729442 39239387 40209267 40829208 41809148 42159107 42289035 0.10 40959081 41009064 41299038 41539003 41838933 41858801 41878659 41718373 41338358 40908367 40188478 39858578 39538744 39168944 38959193 39349229 39849205 40959081 0.15 40598600 40408616 40118669 39848773 39748820 39688876 39578987 39689021 40249054 40519037 40809013 41028981 41188950 41288914 41338864 41378785 41378656 41328621 41108599 40848592 40598600 CIG1 42279038 42108728 41918363 41548295 41128262 40578269 39948339 39568438 39258543 38958655 38348976 38029216 37839391 38079436 38379451 38649441 38869427 40149274 40779209 41789146 42139108 42279038 CIG2 40549063 40839046 41069021 41238996 41458933 41628866 41708785 41698775 41658633 41628551 41388526 40968525 40208584 39888638 39598727 39478812 39258954 39559018 39799052 39979067 40179073 40549063 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 40108138 39418219 38828361 38058670 37768842 36749308 36209823 36149895 36289926 36469944 36929933 37739817 38539707 40629448 41839416 43389515 44389508 44939429 45209307 45139203 43458634 42538263 42208209 41988174 41698161 40108138 0.15 37869680 40009387 41249274 42229272 42969335 43369382 43719403 44109388 44139327 43989207 43198936 43048833 42598541 42238412 41868339 41508306 41128313 40548330 40128365 39728425 38888764 37939217 37389421 37079614 37249672 37869680 0.30 38659106 38009368 38169403 38649411 39589167 40699108 41429016 41498906 41258771 40258579 39818594 38659106 CIG1 37829796 40459395 42199331 43459405 44099396 44369270 42398746 41578465 41188421 40298440 39888547 37229556 36879710 37099780 37829796 && ... WIND ... 0.05 36959933 38539714 40689450 41859420 43199503 44039552 45299498 45509354 44989131 43518646 43378551 43318433 43848219 43288122 41818028 41037991 40187978 39468011 38918055 38298186 37808317 37148712 36998955 36639142 36209398 36019611 35799778 35809890 36019915 36289926 36959933 0.05 28189578 29189549 30529490 30719440 30809299 30909181 31409029 31638941 31248860 29658823 0.15 38309632 39299488 40049383 41189290 41789272 42259274 42619303 43089295 43379231 42938822 42818639 42788437 43048244 42288164 40878124 40108141 39408227 38868358 37978694 37588981 36849296 36809554 37269675 37829689 38309632 0.30 41838746 41768491 41678363 41238353 40838373 40338412 39678470 39358545 38618929 38149132 37789315 37759404 38059439 38419435 39019423 40289272 41099225 41479190 41709109 41848939 41838746 CIG1 37829687 39569389 41189278 41979196 42079093 42118878 42078517 41928289 41448245 40558272 39888348 39398537 38468984 37509377 37279515 37179625 37219667 37829687 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... MDT 40809013 41188950 41288914 41378656 41328621 41108599 40848592 40408616 40118669 39748820 39578987 39689021 40249054 40809013 ENH 39019423 40289272 41099225 41479190 41709109 41848939 41878659 41678363 41238353 40908367 39678470 39408533 37789315 37759404 38059439 39019423 SLGT 42288164 40878124 40108141 39408227 38868358 37978694 37588981 36849296 36809554 37269675 37829689 38309632 40039384 41189290 41759273 42249274 42969335 43369382 43719403 44109388 44139327 43989207 43198936 42868717 42788437 43048244 42608197 MRGL 27939586 29289548 30549490 30739437 30939172 31638941 31248860 29618815 MRGL 42798091 41818028 41037991 40187978 39468011 38918055 38298186 37808317 37148712 36998955 36209398 35799778 35809890 36019915 36289926 36469944 36959933 38539714 40689450 41859420 44039552 45299498 45509354 44989131 43518646 43378551 43318433 43848219 43518161 TSTM 49569591 48419485 47129177 46448857 45698548 45698369 46138229 99999999 31301262 32751294 33441375 34471361 35021245 35451113 35451016 34410825 33510731 32340674 31110675 99999999 36201887 37722027 38522063 39112033 39241956 37991841 36661806 36011845 36201887 99999999 45856667 44057110 43547200 42767283 40657357 39867430 39447578 39137924 37408260 36718332 35188322 33978199 34197963 34857755 35667575 36027485 99999999 27279651 27919729 28949732 29909682 32459361 34278955 35338849 35978944 35489339 35339727 35349858 35489926 35809965 36189967 37029969 37639880 39439637 41119585 42319657 43379861 44880341 46431155 47741421 49461573 && THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 WNW PIA 35 NNE PIA 25 WSW MMO 25 SSW SBN 25 SSE SBN 45 SSE SBN 40 WSW FWA 45 N IND 25 SSE LAF 20 NNE MTO 20 SSW SPI 30 WSW SPI 40 ENE UIN 25 WNW PIA THERE IS A ENHANCED RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 ESE MKC 15 NW IRK 10 E OTM 30 SSW CID 35 WNW MLI 30 SSW RFD 20 SSW BEH 10 NE TOL 15 NNE FDY 10 S FDY 30 WSW DAY 60 S MIE 40 NNE SGF 50 NNE JLN 60 SSE OJC 20 ESE MKC THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 N CLE 10 ESE CAK 30 ENE ZZV 15 N UNI 50 ESE LUK 20 NE OWB 30 NNW CGI 35 SE SGF 25 E BVO 40 NNE PNC 30 ENE ICT 10 WSW EMP 20 NW CDJ 15 SE OXV 35 NNE OXV 30 SW ALO 15 S MCW 30 WNW MCW 20 ENE FRM 10 SSE MKT 35 E MKT 20 E RST 0 - MSN 35 ENE RAC 10 E LAN 35 NNE MTC 45 E MTC THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 SSE PSX 10 N LBX 35 ESE UTS 40 SSE LFK 45 NW BTR 10 NNW PIB 45 NNW MOB 75 S MOB THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 NW ERI 20 SSW ERI 25 S FKL 20 WSW LBE 15 SW MGW 40 W EKN 15 WSW CRW 20 NNE JKL 40 S OWB 15 S CGI 15 NE FYV 30 NNW OKC 35 NNE CSM 40 ESE GAG 30 E GAG 20 ENE GAG 40 WNW AVK 35 ESE SLN 30 W LWD 35 NW DSM 25 N OTG 45 SSE AXN 25 E STC 10 NE EAU 25 NNW MKG 35 N GRR 20 SW MBS 40 E BAX 70 ESE BAX GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 N ROX 45 SSE RRT 20 WSW BFW 50 S CMX 35 WNW PLN 45 N APN 95 NE APN ...CONT... 115 S GBN 20 SW GBN 55 ESE BLH 55 SSE IGM 25 N PRC 40 NW INW 45 NE INW 55 SSW GNT 20 N TCS 45 NNW ELP 50 SSW ELP ...CONT... 55 N BFL 35 NNE MER 45 SW TVL 25 NW TVL 20 SSE RNO 45 N BIH 50 SSE BIH 50 NE BFL 55 N BFL ...CONT... 65 NNE EPM 20 SSE MWN 15 ESE LEB 35 NE PSF 10 E JFK 15 S NEL 20 SSW ILG 35 ENE EKN 45 ESE JKL 55 S JKL 40 WSW AVL 40 N AGS 0 - FLO 0 - OAJ 30 NNW HSE 70 NE HSE ...CONT... 70 ESE CRP 15 NE CRP 25 WNW VCT 55 SSW CLL 15 E SHV 10 S UOX 30 SE MKL 0 - DYR 25 NW RUE 20 ESE OKC 35 E CSM 10 NNW CSM 35 S GAG 10 SE GAG 50 N GAG 25 NNW P28 25 NE MHK 15 S OMA 10 WSW SUX 40 SW MHE 50 S 2WX 25 ESE HLN 40 S GPI 105 NW GPI