Day 1 Areal Outline

Issued: 2026-09-20 00:58 UTC

Summary

There is a slight risk of tornadoes, hail, and strong winds across parts of the central and southeastern United States on Saturday evening. Marginal to slight risks for severe thunderstorms are also expected throughout various regions including parts of the Midwest and the South.

Product Text

000 WUUS01 KWNS 200058 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0757 PM CDT SAT SEP 19 2026 VALID TIME 200100Z - 201200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... && ... HAIL ... 0.05 40329561 40829420 40859353 40849315 40759292 40529271 40329269 40019281 39579330 39359360 38449499 37499637 36499784 36149841 36159882 36279895 36559901 36979893 37619869 38299845 38989793 39619717 39879670 40329561 0.05 37090083 37070159 37180201 37310219 37680239 37890249 38020258 38360277 38540308 38640333 38700393 38820422 38980437 39260444 39610443 40180423 41070379 41670351 42140308 42470259 42600226 42640199 42590171 42430146 41910100 41500081 40450050 38320020 37690039 37300057 37090083 0.15 38540173 38540201 38680226 38850234 39010236 39190230 39350209 39350166 39190147 38980141 38700149 38540173 0.15 38209646 38029698 38009749 38109774 38339782 38589778 39019750 39489700 39889601 40039529 40019501 39979473 39839451 39619442 39369449 39149471 38659559 38429601 38329620 38209646 && ... WIND ... 0.05 36899676 34879939 33640059 32150213 31980268 32030298 32230311 32410316 32660301 33350230 34180140 35060059 36179948 36639927 37019959 37100088 37060163 37230212 37420225 38370278 38600315 38700393 38790418 38930434 39170442 39630443 40160423 40850390 41700350 42130310 42470262 42600226 42640199 42590169 42410145 41900098 41470079 40270045 39339985 38959941 38859910 38949850 39809705 40699544 41129451 41519310 41659199 41499104 41209057 40819049 40549059 40029111 39499201 38729347 37399582 36899676 0.15 39549694 39999611 40559492 40859412 40969354 40939314 40809270 40599252 40299256 39959276 39569337 39149408 38629493 37519638 37079733 36959787 36959821 37029846 37149854 37389853 37809832 38619789 39019754 39549694 0.15 38730205 39040207 39300206 39500197 39620182 39690161 39660142 39530126 39370117 39080111 38900112 38650121 38430151 38420185 38540201 38730205 CIG1 37979597 37739632 37509677 37499714 37619752 37759771 37969785 38279791 38679775 39179740 39559687 39909626 40329531 40559448 40529400 40419364 40219351 39899346 39579371 38799484 37979597 CIG1 38660132 38470155 38410185 38560200 38910209 39180206 39350205 39480194 39540176 39540156 39360137 39030125 38660132 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 39190230 39350204 39500197 39690161 39660142 39530126 39080111 38650121 38430151 38420185 38680226 39010236 39190230 SLGT 37389853 38619789 39549694 40559492 40859412 40969354 40939314 40809270 40599252 40299256 39959276 38629493 37519638 37079733 36959787 37029846 37149854 37389853 MRGL 39630443 40180423 41700350 42130310 42470262 42640199 42590169 42430146 41900098 40270045 39339985 38959941 38859910 38949850 40699544 41129451 41519310 41659199 41499104 41209057 40819049 40549059 40029111 36899676 34879939 32150213 31980268 32030298 32230311 32410316 32660301 34180140 36179948 36639927 37019959 37100082 37060163 37230212 38360278 38620327 38790418 38980437 39260444 39630443 TSTM 25669762 27159756 28319710 29439580 29919492 29799412 29519373 29279355 99999999 29668742 30568870 31208898 32168890 33048812 33898709 34518596 34968502 35388477 35888474 36638502 37698532 38488600 39308716 39738796 39758919 39199061 38359173 37329304 36549447 35849585 34969729 33089857 31669914 30149988 28850116 99999999 31010991 33300841 35350753 36470649 37030599 37640609 38130662 38200724 38360841 38750938 39491033 40801132 42871176 44181134 45521046 46530915 47110753 47250603 47100395 46830307 46240160 45630076 44590012 43429956 42419906 42139864 42089798 42279711 42639586 43319380 43959120 44098915 43818702 43468528 42738324 41698038 41077910 40387856 39637855 38477929 36977974 35987974 35207943 34767895 34597823 34627749 34817522 && THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 0 - ITR 15 ENE ITR 15 NW GLD 25 NNE GLD 25 NE GLD 25 ENE GLD 35 ESE GLD 55 SSE GLD 55 NW GCK 50 ENE LAA 40 S ITR 15 SSW ITR 0 - ITR THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 0 - P28 20 SW SLN 30 NNW MHK 30 ESE SDA 20 NNW LWD 30 NE LWD 25 S OXV 25 SSW OTM 35 N IRK 15 N IRK 15 SW IRK 20 SW OJC 55 NNW BVO 25 NNW PNC 40 N END 20 SSE P28 10 SSE P28 0 - P28 THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 ESE DEN 45 NE DEN 15 SSE BFF 15 WNW AIA 30 NNE AIA 60 NE AIA 50 NW MHN 35 NW MHN 10 SSE MHN 10 NE MCK 0 - HLC 30 WNW RSL 15 W RSL 20 ENE RSL 0 - SDA 45 NW LWD 15 N OXV 20 SW CID 30 W MLI 20 SSW MLI 45 S MLI 35 ESE BRL 0 - UIN 20 ENE PNC 15 NNW LTS 15 NNE MAF 30 W MAF 20 NE INK 30 N INK 20 S HOB 10 E HOB 20 E PVW 20 ESE GAG 35 NE GAG 50 NNE GAG 10 ENE LBL 15 ENE EHA 20 NW EHA 20 NNW LAA 40 NNE LHX 30 E COS 20 ENE COS 35 NNE COS 25 ESE DEN GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SW BRO 45 S CRP 40 SSW VCT 30 NW LBX 30 NE HOU 15 SSW BPT 35 SSE BPT 55 SSE BPT ...CONT... 60 SSW PNS 25 ENE GPT 30 SE PIB 15 SW MEI 30 WSW TCL 30 NW BHM 40 N GAD 10 ESE CHA 35 NE CHA 20 ESE CSV 45 N CSV 40 SSE SDF 25 NW SDF 15 SE HUF 25 NE MTO 20 WSW DEC 35 NNW STL 15 N VIH 20 ENE SGF 15 ESE GMJ 25 S TUL 35 SSE OKC 35 NW MWL 15 SW BWD 25 SSW JCT 40 SSW DRT ...CONT... 35 SSW DUG 50 NNW SVC 25 ENE GNT 40 NE 4SL 30 SSW ALS 20 NW ALS 30 SSE GUC 30 SW GUC 30 WSW MTJ 20 E CNY 25 ESE PUC 35 SSW EVW 50 SSE IDA 35 SSW WEY 10 S LVM 40 SSE LWT 90 SSW GGW 55 N MLS 45 SSE SDY 15 W DIK 35 NE Y22 15 WNW MBG 15 NNE PIR 25 SSW 9V9 20 WSW ONL 25 S ONL 30 WNW OFK 25 NE OFK 30 ENE SUX 25 WNW MCW 0 - LSE 30 WNW OSH 40 ESE MTW 40 NNE GRR 25 WNW MTC 30 SSW ERI 15 SW DUJ 15 WNW AOO 35 WNW MRB 25 WNW SHD 30 SSE ROA 15 SE GSO 0 - SOP 15 SSW FAY 30 NW ILM 15 SSE OAJ 35 SE HSE