Day 1 Areal Outline

Issued:

Risk area map for Day 1 Areal Outline

Summary

Severe thunderstorms, including potential tornadoes, hail, and damaging winds, are expected across much of the central and eastern United States today. An enhanced risk of severe weather is centered over parts of the Midwest, with slight to marginal risks extending across several other regions.

Product Text

000 WUUS01 KWNS 111613 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1111 AM CDT TUE AUG 11 2026 VALID TIME 111630Z - 121200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 37188188 37288263 37658514 38098639 39238855 41529115 41979153 42589153 42769075 41818704 40938408 39878129 39328056 38738026 38138030 37658058 37318112 37188188 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 40509263 40939515 41729752 41550030 41980156 43080390 44180402 45940398 46740370 47660242 47949995 47539836 47109738 46509610 45239717 43939713 43179516 42729385 42719218 42929129 42679059 41969057 41389088 40859157 40509263 0.15 46839779 46149760 45699815 45019927 44309923 43059848 42589882 42389952 42470140 42910207 43800382 44910382 45640358 46700302 47170169 47139935 46839779 CIG1 45780390 46620356 46850299 46920228 46910164 46630092 45820095 44090117 42860040 42310062 42220144 42450210 43130347 43480390 45780390 && ... WIND ... 0.05 30998055 31628226 32338376 34218604 36358674 37078712 38898967 40359201 40949510 41139703 41259873 41480006 41920137 43160400 45870401 46790373 47410280 47560127 47069738 46549544 45769580 45029705 44449713 43699610 43439358 43918955 42458422 42048254 41557951 41667775 41927619 41547419 41017352 40207253 0.15 36877754 35977813 35357938 35058088 35408227 36618376 37538571 38648770 39398903 39938931 40938841 41958783 42368759 42138487 39177851 38527793 36877754 0.15 42820198 43310257 44010342 45490361 46100352 46610313 47150173 46729908 45939862 45019927 44249910 43029848 42679878 42369948 42450130 42820198 0.30 39928797 40328814 40788792 41538747 41878711 41588594 40268306 39618249 38448163 37558161 37208246 37238346 38138534 39668775 39928797 CIG1 37348407 37598504 38118593 39538841 40058867 40668822 41438784 42038748 41898524 40818347 39928229 39288192 38778188 38358214 37648267 37358350 37348407 CIG2 41868700 41788587 41178551 40548593 40558698 40718752 41508737 41868700 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... ENH 41538747 41878711 41788587 41468568 40268306 38778188 37648267 37358350 37358370 38138534 39668775 39928797 40328814 41538747 SLGT 40938841 42368759 42138487 39177851 38527793 36877754 35977813 35357938 35058088 35408227 36618376 37538571 39398903 39938931 40938841 SLGT 44910382 45600359 46100352 46700302 47170169 47139935 46839779 46149760 45699815 45019927 44249910 43059848 42589882 42369948 42470140 42930212 43800382 44910382 MRGL 31038066 31628226 32338376 34218604 36358674 37078712 38898967 40359201 40959521 41259873 41480006 41980156 43080390 43160400 45870401 46790373 47660242 47949995 47539836 47019718 46549544 45769580 45029705 44449713 43699610 43439358 43918955 42048254 41557951 41667775 41927619 41547419 40207253 TSTM 31991700 33741781 34051813 34611900 35061933 35841958 36821983 37602002 38382016 39422010 40541852 41291640 41831513 42351395 42751295 42961191 42800976 42550854 42400770 42280614 42330516 42520475 42770460 43090466 43770499 44300535 45190575 46130604 46620625 47050680 47640846 47920971 48411243 48571341 48911576 49231692 49751796 99999999 27449671 28809709 30429755 32279693 33379641 33699576 33659514 33159303 32559167 32069097 31839021 32028952 32498935 33148934 34388920 34758907 35318935 36439077 37839311 38389498 38419674 38129926 37710052 37330172 36650291 35050450 34760465 34120468 32540440 32150374 32010267 31720192 31190152 29320075 28640073 99999999 49669947 49059742 47729546 46739431 46109358 45929299 45989237 46249130 46499020 46628779 46468592 45798409 45248305 44178171 99999999 45356653 45626788 45876944 46127114 99999999 43178003 42667706 41927270 41597114 40966953 && THERE IS A ENHANCED RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 WNW VPZ 30 N VPZ 25 ENE SBN 35 ESE SBN 20 NNW CMH 30 NNW CRW 40 E JKL 15 SSW JKL 20 SW JKL 20 E SDF 25 WNW HUF 20 ESE CMI 20 NNE CMI 25 WNW VPZ THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSE MMO 30 SSE RAC 25 WSW JXN 30 WSW MRB 40 NE CHO 30 NNE RZZ 15 WNW RWI 10 N SOP 10 SSE CLT 15 E AVL 35 SSE LOZ 45 S SDF 30 SSW DEC 20 ENE SPI 35 SSE MMO THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SSW 2WX 0 - 2WX 35 N 2WX 10 WSW DIK 35 SSW N60 35 WNW JMS 45 E JMS 60 NE ABR 20 NE ABR 50 SW ABR 35 NNE 9V9 40 NNE ONL 10 NW ONL 30 ESE ANW 35 NNW MHN 50 E CDR 40 WSW RAP 50 SSW 2WX THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 E SSI 25 NNE AYS 25 SSW MCN 15 N GAD 15 NNW BNA 35 NE HOP 20 E ALN 35 ENE IRK 20 NE SDA 30 NW GRI 25 W BBW 25 W MHN 45 WNW CDR 50 WNW CDR 35 SSE BHK 40 NE BHK 60 NNE DIK 50 WSW DVL 45 NNE JMS 20 WNW FAR 30 SE DTL 20 WSW AXN 10 NE ATY 20 WNW BKX 25 W OTG 25 NNW MCW 35 E VOK 40 SSE MTC 20 ENE FKL 55 N UNV 20 SSW BGM 15 WSW POU 50 SE ISP GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SSE SAN 20 ESE LGB 15 N LGB 30 NNE OXR 30 SSW BFL 40 NW BFL 0 - FAT 35 NE MER 35 SSW TVL 20 WSW RNO 35 N LOL 45 SSW OWY 55 SW TWF 15 SSW BYI 20 WSW PIH 40 SSE IDA 25 NE BPI 20 SSE LND 50 NNW RWL 45 SSE CPR 30 SSE DGW 35 ESE DGW 40 E DGW 45 ENE DGW 50 SE GCC 10 ESE GCC 25 SW 4BQ 20 SSW MLS 20 NW MLS 60 NW MLS 60 NE LWT 45 S HVR 15 S CTB 40 ENE GPI 90 N 3TH 115 NNE GEG 115 NE OMK ...CONT... 55 ESE CRP 10 WSW VCT 10 NE AUS 35 WNW CRS 30 SSE GYI 20 WNW PRX 20 E PRX 15 WSW ELD 20 E MLU 35 NNE HEZ 35 SSW JAN 40 NNW PIB 35 WNW MEI 50 ESE GWO 20 E UOX 35 NNW TUP 30 SW MKL 25 NNE ARG 45 NNE SGF 35 SSW OJC 30 W EMP 45 ENE DDC 20 SE GCK 25 NNE EHA 20 NE CAO 55 SE LVS 70 SSE LVS 60 N ROW 15 NNW CNM 35 ESE CNM 30 W MAF 25 SE MAF 65 SE MAF 10 ESE DRT 50 SSE DRT ...CONT... 110 NNW DVL 30 NW HCO 30 WNW BJI 25 NNW BRD 35 SE BRD 75 N MSP 60 S DLH 30 SW ASX 0 - IWD 10 WNW MQT 75 NE ESC 50 SSE ANJ 30 ENE APN 70 ENE BAX ...CONT... 40 NE EPM 35 S HUL 80 NNW BGR 100 N BML ...CONT... 75 N ERI 35 NNW ELM 0 - BDL 10 SW EWB 35 SE ACK