Day 1 Areal Outline

Issued:

Risk area map for Day 1 Areal Outline

Summary

Severe thunderstorms with an enhanced risk of tornadoes, large hail, and damaging winds are expected across parts of the central United States today. Additional slight and marginal risks for severe thunderstorms will affect much of the midwest and southeast through Saturday.

Product Text

000 WUUS01 KWNS 131255 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0753 AM CDT SAT JUN 13 2026 VALID TIME 131300Z - 141200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 41139179 39799073 38678887 37728830 36848872 36408937 36359174 35689429 35729589 36499742 37129783 38149853 38819828 40429683 41189514 41389398 41359300 41139179 0.05 39189682 40179603 40139477 39619325 38619207 37419187 36739210 36489342 36609522 37369659 37909685 39189682 CIG1 36959558 37589649 38159682 38919649 39269506 39149361 38589282 37329283 36639336 36569456 36959558 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 44188176 42908458 40718625 39998614 39008546 37888623 36988814 36169002 35539300 35029644 35039845 33650227 33700358 34510401 35070389 35530383 37340175 38060096 39249926 40449845 41129860 41929895 42409873 42989744 43039565 42869413 42839238 43239115 44488689 45668500 46368274 0.15 37269801 37859875 38499871 38969847 39309791 40249725 40759731 41359754 41729742 42139683 42589560 41759242 41169145 40249157 38599282 37779430 37569531 37369604 37269801 0.30 39619680 40269603 40499490 40289395 39109465 38629580 39099659 39619680 CIG1 41219667 41969631 42329243 43149117 43828799 42268784 40839075 39519210 37309366 36659516 36439789 37459927 38579919 40179801 41219667 && ... WIND ... 0.05 44238174 44028217 42858463 41238574 40308536 38978544 37738602 37238570 36578549 35838564 34868683 34628798 34648967 35329253 34669552 34299913 33370236 33720362 34530401 35510381 36770242 38190080 39269925 41709725 42129320 43239113 44558676 46408379 0.05 33007953 32448039 31318148 32128198 33198155 35557864 35677768 35587704 35387659 35027652 34787688 33967832 33687893 33007953 0.15 39999732 40979594 41399444 41859189 42369017 42068923 40648946 39478812 37158696 35938716 35348785 35348979 35579102 35749308 35009673 35209841 34619982 33950187 34620307 35460294 36680098 37789964 38639893 39999732 0.30 37809781 38599720 39519689 40239610 40579479 40039288 39159161 38839081 37929080 36619219 36259337 36029555 36159633 36869728 37809781 0.45 37119665 37779697 38939615 39299456 39039335 38409298 37689291 37019349 36699407 36719601 37119665 CIG1 40169627 40549494 40069297 39059137 38759065 38159039 37409073 36589240 36319394 36119531 35599692 35549823 35960001 36600004 37499906 38159815 38839751 39529693 40169627 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... ENH 38599720 39619680 40269603 40549492 40059296 39159161 38829081 37929080 36769203 36589240 36029558 36159633 36869728 37809781 38599720 SLGT 35460294 36680098 37789964 38639893 39779758 40249725 40759731 41359754 41729742 42139683 42589560 41759243 42369017 42068923 40648946 39478812 37158696 35938716 35348785 35348979 35579102 35749308 35009673 35209841 34619982 33950187 34620307 35460294 MRGL 33198155 35557864 35677768 35587704 35387659 35027652 33967832 33687893 33007953 32448039 31318148 32128198 33198155 MRGL 44188176 42868461 41238574 40308536 38978544 37738602 37238570 36578549 35838564 34868683 34628798 34648967 35329253 34669552 34299913 33370236 33720362 34510401 35530383 38060096 39269925 40449845 41129860 41929895 42409873 42989744 43039565 42869413 42839238 44548679 46408379 TSTM 31301292 33281371 35231455 36891556 37171608 37141663 36491724 36101774 36121837 36691874 37531932 38131950 38591911 38691826 38671696 38851564 39371384 39431240 39451119 39351031 38980973 38640933 38450879 38510816 38970743 39600692 40260632 40560548 40550473 40350412 40000270 40030145 40280055 40510022 40950016 41380019 41920029 42700039 43340008 43779944 43929899 44419722 44629523 44719285 44939097 45598905 46638691 47628555 99999999 42848018 42458067 42008124 41428173 40548200 39548204 38568226 37718217 37138145 36778047 36797918 36877746 36877601 36807507 99999999 27590069 28830011 29409973 30099887 30479822 31009672 31599469 31739291 31779133 31939093 32139080 32379080 32729111 32789166 33119652 33299959 33180080 32750160 31990211 31100254 30120266 28600300 99999999 45636703 46066813 46196882 46086954 45527057 45007148 44407377 44227545 44067728 && THERE IS A ENHANCED RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 ESE SLN 35 NNW MHK 25 WNW FNB 30 ESE SDA 20 W IRK 40 NE COU 25 WNW STL 25 WNW FAM 10 W UNO 25 N FLP 20 SE TUL 25 W TUL 15 NW PNC 20 S HUT 30 ESE SLN THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SSW DHT 25 S LBL 20 E DDC 15 SSW RSL 15 NNE CNK 25 W BIE 30 WSW LNK 10 SW OLU 20 S OFK 30 SW SUX 20 W SLB 45 N OTM 30 E DBQ 10 SW RFD 10 E PIA 10 E MTO 30 WNW BWG 30 WSW BNA 45 NNW MSL 25 NNE MEM 25 SW JBR 35 N RUE 50 S CQB 25 WNW CHK 30 ENE CDS 15 SSW PVW 20 NE CVS 45 SSW DHT THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 ESE AGS 25 SSE RDU 20 SE RWI 35 N EWN 35 NE EWN 30 E EWN 30 SW ILM 0 - CRE 30 ENE CHS 40 SSW CHS 10 N SSI 25 ESE VDI 25 ESE AGS THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 ENE BAX 0 - LAN 35 WNW FWA 0 - MIE 55 NNE SDF 35 SSW SDF 45 ENE BWG 50 NNW CSV 30 WSW CSV 15 N HSV 20 WSW MSL 20 NNW UOX 30 E RUE 20 SE MLC 25 SSE LTS 35 WSW LBB 50 SSW CVS 40 WNW CVS 25 NNW TCC 15 NW GCK 35 NW RSL 10 S HSI 20 NW GRI 15 NE BUB 0 - ONL 0 - YKN 25 WSW SPW 20 N FOD 20 N ALO 35 NW MBL 30 E ANJ GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 115 S GBN 60 ESE BLH 30 N EED 30 ENE DRA 35 N DRA 50 NW DRA 60 NNE NID 30 N NID 50 NW NID 50 SSW BIH 55 NNE FAT 60 SSE TVL 50 ESE TVL 60 SSE NFL 40 N TPH 50 SSE P68 55 E ELY 0 - U24 25 WSW PUC 25 NNW U28 15 N CNY 25 ESE CNY 50 SSW GJT 15 W MTJ 35 WSW ASE 0 - EGE 55 NE EGE 25 WNW FCL 15 ENE FCL 50 E FCL 30 ESE AKO 35 SSE IML 0 - MCK 30 NE MCK 30 ESE LBF 30 NE LBF 50 SSW ANW 15 SE VTN 40 NE VTN 0 - 9V9 20 ENE 9V9 20 WNW BKX 10 WNW RWF 20 ESE MSP 25 E EAU 20 E RHI 30 ENE MQT 95 NW ANJ ...CONT... 50 N ERI 35 NW ERI 50 NE CLE 0 - CLE 35 SE MFD 25 NNE UNI 20 NE HTS 50 SSE HTS 20 SW BLF 25 SSE PSK 15 NNE DAN 35 NNE RZZ 10 E ORF 65 E ORF ...CONT... 75 W LRD 60 WNW COT 35 W HDO 45 NNW SAT 35 WNW AUS 35 NW CLL 25 N LFK 10 E IER 10 N HEZ 30 NE HEZ 45 NE HEZ 40 W JAN 50 S GLH 30 NE MLU 25 NE DAL 60 N ABI 70 ESE LBB 35 N BGS 0 - MAF 25 ENE FST 25 WNW 6R6 110 SSW 6R6 ...CONT... 50 N EPM 15 WSW HUL 50 W HUL 95 NNW BGR 65 NNE BML 30 NNW BML 20 E SLK 30 ENE ART 70 NNE ROC