Day 1 Areal Outline

Issued: 2026-07-04 16:03 UTC

Summary

Severe thunderstorms, including potential tornadoes, large hail, and damaging winds, are expected across portions of the central and eastern United States on Saturday. Risk levels vary from marginal to enhanced in several regions throughout the day.

Product Text

000 WUUS01 KWNS 041603 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1101 AM CDT SAT JUL 04 2026 VALID TIME 041630Z - 051200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 36919961 37279957 37699907 38169798 38509672 38609583 38349545 38059525 37449527 37039578 36769655 36649807 36659883 36919961 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 37780444 38390512 39250544 39780545 41180470 42630367 43460414 44070453 44580445 44890396 44670305 44240232 43560134 43150077 42650017 42099962 41729940 41439939 41039934 40270008 39140132 38640115 38570050 39259892 39459726 39299608 38839478 38359389 37949369 37289387 36529496 35929601 35139861 35059989 33870158 33610213 33420279 33400360 33870383 34810343 35850252 36320226 36800218 37160218 37780444 0.05 45519904 47519599 47569466 47129393 46219318 45049444 44229569 44269755 44319810 44859894 45519904 0.05 38287919 39297808 39097719 38767681 37797723 37377841 37167946 37437984 37907964 38287919 0.15 42480227 42510200 42410063 41499982 40880065 40110221 39560332 38670360 38540367 38450450 39150480 39900475 40840447 41090428 42310321 42480227 0.15 38339541 37809522 37339549 36879641 36409776 36129912 36069990 36320030 36780028 37869888 38719702 38679601 38339541 CIG1 36560058 37869892 38689708 38699609 38319542 37899526 37279521 36619555 36129717 35809955 36020021 36560058 && ... WIND ... 0.05 37567479 36157698 35977987 36188207 37058352 37978391 38398493 38078674 37818723 37608756 37248788 36558837 35838895 34808966 33629043 32899130 32189221 31989276 32029361 32699426 33839521 34299637 34359874 34300003 33420175 33070307 32970386 33390425 34040425 34750376 35180298 35620263 36260229 36740214 37170226 37650381 38270481 40020507 42460235 42750016 43629871 44729877 45319884 45699823 46829620 47359540 47559469 47179399 45499264 44539311 43899556 43199685 41869620 39879491 39559333 39819202 41849018 42238783 41658486 41978311 41808154 42387935 42857738 43027550 43007308 42787173 42457001 42156924 0.15 38070314 38400449 39470427 40220384 41680256 42180144 42430067 42129923 41319917 40559935 39360049 38720126 38070314 99999999 38177449 36767648 36337817 36768131 37458204 38618190 39018283 39418492 39208636 38638719 37648859 36958973 36439141 36179280 35059412 34699607 35039765 35209843 35339936 35210003 34990044 34520104 34230137 34070182 33950226 34010260 34290277 34970240 36120106 37879890 38689704 38939521 38889387 38949235 39219111 39899011 40909027 41498973 41698866 41198725 40738520 40918256 41568024 42187736 42037331 41577173 40677027 0.30 40217447 39727421 38487491 37237615 37037813 37307924 37627937 38507923 39437831 40147692 40477510 40217447 0.30 37229844 37579770 37869558 37629470 37249440 36809450 36419521 36239597 36049703 36129796 36229864 36519900 36799894 37229844 0.45 38187801 38747787 39067773 39347741 39537713 39817672 39897636 39927603 39917580 39867542 39427509 38197595 37547656 37617732 38187801 CIG1 33850350 34540287 36040061 37619882 38449702 38429480 37829352 36849284 35869336 35189459 35169615 35309758 35589872 35379991 34910050 34350115 33550219 33390253 33360317 33850350 CIG1 38617653 38827728 39507716 40237541 40047485 39637465 38987542 38617653 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... ENH 36799894 37229844 37579770 37869558 37629470 37249440 36809450 36419521 36049703 36229864 36519900 36799894 ENH 39067773 39817672 39917619 40237541 40047485 39637465 39037537 38197595 37547656 37617732 38187801 39067773 SLGT 38177449 36767648 36337817 36768131 37458204 38618190 39018283 39418492 39208636 37648859 36958973 36439141 36179280 35059412 34699607 35339936 35210003 34990044 34230137 34070182 33950226 34010260 34290277 34970240 37879890 38719702 38939521 38889387 38949235 39219111 39899011 40909027 41498973 41698866 41198725 40738520 40918256 41568024 42187736 42037331 41577173 40677027 SLGT 39900475 40840447 42310321 42510200 42430067 42129923 41319917 40559935 39360049 38720126 38070314 38400449 39150480 39900475 MRGL 37557481 36157698 35977987 36188207 37058352 37978391 38398493 38078674 37608756 37248788 35838895 33629043 32189221 31989276 32029361 33839521 34299637 34359874 34300003 33420175 33070307 32970386 33390425 34040425 34750376 35050322 35850252 36270229 36880218 37170226 37780444 38390512 39250544 39780545 41180470 42630367 44070453 44580445 44890396 44670305 43560134 42740027 42750016 43629871 44749877 44859894 45519904 47519599 47569466 47179399 45499264 44539311 43899556 43199685 41869620 39879491 39559333 39819202 41849018 42238783 41658486 41978311 41808154 42857738 43027550 43007308 42457001 42156924 TSTM 28589448 29039582 29739610 30949605 31579631 32649735 33229857 33689918 33829987 33510072 32940167 32140261 31460281 30550264 29940233 29390212 99999999 31040717 32490790 33480750 35010690 36010591 37060580 38090618 39020652 40430653 42560610 44500633 46320566 47140446 48300437 49590572 99999999 44687662 44447176 44017000 43306875 99999999 48869180 45688435 44878232 44668076 99999999 36017500 35307700 35147909 34498048 33498127 32728153 31938146 31108112 30588066 99999999 45736709 46446891 47297065 && THERE IS A ENHANCED RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 W AVK 10 ESE P28 15 WSW ICT 15 NNW CNU 35 NNW JLN 10 NE JLN 20 NE GMJ 30 WSW GMJ 25 NNW CQB 40 S AVK 25 SW AVK 15 W AVK THERE IS A ENHANCED RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SSE MRB 30 SSE CXY 35 WNW ILG 25 NNW PHL 15 S TTN 15 NNW ACY 10 SE DOV 25 WSW SBY 50 NNW ORF 10 N RIC 25 E CHO 25 SSE MRB THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 ENE WAL 20 WSW ORF 25 SSW AVC 35 S BLF 45 WNW BLF 25 NW CRW 35 WSW UNI 35 NW LUK 15 ENE BMG 40 NNE PAH 20 SSW CGI 35 SE UNO 20 W FLP 25 SE FSM 20 SW MLC 10 W CSM 55 NNE CDS 40 NNW CDS 20 ENE PVW 10 SW PVW 30 NW LBB 50 ESE CVS 30 E CVS 40 WSW AMA 45 NNW P28 35 SSW MHK 25 ESE TOP 20 WNW SZL 10 NW COU 50 S UIN 25 W SPI 40 SSE MLI 40 E MLI 20 N MMO 20 SW VPZ 15 S FWA 0 - MFD 25 WNW FKL 25 W ELM 30 S PSF 20 SW PVD 40 SSW ACK THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 NE DEN 30 SE CYS 30 NW AIA 50 NE AIA 30 SSW VTN 25 N BUB 30 S BUB 20 WSW EAR 35 W HLC 50 SSE GLD 20 E LHX 10 N PUB 25 N COS 10 NE DEN THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SE WAL 45 ESE RZZ 10 SSE GSO 25 SE TRI 35 SSW JKL 40 NW JKL 30 NW LEX 35 NE OWB 25 WSW OWB 45 NNW HOP 15 N MKL 20 WNW GWO 25 SSW MLU 25 NE IER 30 SSE SHV 20 NE PRX 25 N DUA 30 NNW SPS 15 ESE CDS 20 SSE LBB 30 NNE HOB 40 WNW HOB 20 ENE ROW 55 NNE ROW 30 SSW TCC 25 ESE TCC 10 S DHT 25 NE DHT 20 WSW EHA 20 ESE SPD 35 S PUB 35 SW COS 45 SW DEN 30 W DEN 0 - CYS 30 WSW CDR 55 ESE GCC 55 ENE GCC 50 SSW 2WX 45 N RAP 35 SSE PHP 15 ESE VTN 15 NW ANW 30 ESE 9V9 35 NW HON 50 SSW ABR 30 W ABR 40 SSE TVF 15 ENE BJI 55 N BRD 50 NNE MSP 25 SSE MSP 15 N OTG 30 SSW FSD 0 - TQE 0 - STJ 25 SE CDJ 35 SE IRK 30 NNE MLI 35 S RAC 45 SSW JXN 20 SE DTW 30 NNE CLE 25 SE ROC 10 SW UCA 35 S RUT 55 NNE HYA 65 ENE HYA GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 SSE GLS 20 WSW LBX 50 W HOU 30 NE CLL 30 S CRS 10 S FTW 40 NW MWL 45 WSW SPS 50 SSE CDS 70 SSW CDS 50 N BGS 25 WNW MAF 30 SE INK 30 SSE FST 10 SW 6R6 45 S 6R6 ...CONT... 70 SW ELP 15 ESE SVC 20 NW TCS 15 W ABQ 30 NNE SAF 25 S ALS 50 NNW ALS 25 SE ASE 60 NNE EGE 30 SE CPR 35 ESE SHR 15 SE MLS 15 E GDV 40 N SDY 105 N OLF ...CONT... 55 NNW ART 25 WNW MWN 25 SSW AUG 80 SSW BHB ...CONT... 65 N ELO 25 ENE PLN 60 ENE OSC 125 ENE BAX ...CONT... 65 NNE HSE 15 N EWN 15 NW FAY 50 WNW FLO 25 W OGB 45 NNW SAV 20 SW SAV 20 E SSI 60 NE SGJ ...CONT... 45 SE HUL 50 SW CAR 125 WNW CAR