Mesoscale Discussion 2328
Issued: · Valid: –
Summary
Isolated strong wind gusts and hail are possible across western Oklahoma and northwest/west-central Texas into this evening. Severe gusts could reach 55-70 mph with hail up to 1.25 inches.
Product Text
000 ACUS11 KWNS 262152 SWOMCD SPC MCD 262151 OKZ000-TXZ000-270045- Mesoscale Discussion 2328 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0451 PM CDT Sat Sep 26 2026 Areas affected...Western OK into northwest/west-central TX Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 262151Z - 270045Z Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent SUMMARY...Isolated strong/severe gusts and hail are possible into this evening. DISCUSSION...Widely scattered storm development is underway from western OK into northwest TX, within a warm, moderately unstable, and weakly capped environment. Additional storm development will be possible within this corridor into early evening, in the vicinity of a surface trough. Deep-layer shear is generally weak to modest, which should tend to limit storm organization. However, seasonably deep mixing and steep low-level lapse rates will support a threat for strong to localized severe gusts in the vicinity of the strongest storms into this evening. Also, while midlevel lapse rates are generally rather weak, isolated hail cannot be ruled out with the strongest storms. ..Dean/Hart.. 09/26/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...SJT...LUB...AMA...MAF... LAT...LON 32480222 35010005 36869878 36889852 36899800 36509763 34219784 32969847 32089981 31840070 31920131 32120195 32480222 MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN