Day 1 Areal Outline

Issued:

Risk area map for Day 1 Areal Outline

Summary

Severe thunderstorms capable of producing tornadoes, large hail, and damaging winds are expected across parts of the central and southeastern United States on Monday, June 22. The risk ranges from marginal to slight in several regions, with a marginal risk area covering much of the Deep South and parts of the Gulf Coast.

Product Text

000 WUUS01 KWNS 230102 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0800 PM CDT MON JUN 22 2026 VALID TIME 230100Z - 231200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 35398416 34568466 34198529 34168606 34308668 34748727 35158738 35928631 36178535 35938481 35398416 0.02 44790424 43510333 42550234 41670182 40240153 39210158 38090179 37270209 37130273 37270325 37750410 39110413 41530446 43210523 44240600 44750622 45410593 45320481 44790424 0.05 40680409 41340405 41690381 41810348 41820299 41650253 41030219 40460216 39730260 39650330 40120378 40680409 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 36619962 36259929 35269797 34749713 34089625 33649596 33179588 32769621 32589684 32549812 32439896 32259944 31920010 31770047 31630076 31520113 31330190 31660226 32910252 34230281 35880351 38850428 41230498 43180626 44310732 45190795 46110776 47580567 47030248 46200168 42380101 38780010 36619962 0.15 37090201 37050278 37200314 37350340 37930377 39110399 40870446 43140553 44090604 44530622 45120622 45740571 45410455 44560366 42510208 39940134 38820126 37740123 37090201 CIG1 32740223 33840059 34339802 33969667 33349674 32979863 32630011 32150052 31630124 31480191 32010228 32740223 CIG1 42800178 39100089 36940050 36650091 36430135 36690230 37420333 38150380 40540435 42810534 44280615 45010637 45410619 45670571 45490479 44700339 42800178 && ... WIND ... 0.05 36167448 34287825 32678194 32108411 31708804 31669123 32109321 32479552 32549647 32549790 32479874 32219944 31550087 31370179 31410201 31630230 33500267 35840292 36980307 38810358 40130395 41890468 42960516 44240567 44860586 45340600 45820611 46290597 46920575 47140523 47140487 46590402 46110340 42380103 38740008 36309950 35169784 34679673 34059516 33869302 34019130 35048895 37648360 39697913 40687506 40767378 40617337 40107257 0.15 40280380 42080410 42770406 43140399 43290340 42220223 40540135 38150105 37350102 36690120 36610204 36800252 40280380 0.15 37257478 35407843 35627916 36327894 37247740 38417579 38857513 39297385 CIG1 36650307 39950391 42590498 44240567 45160608 46110615 46950575 47100487 45960325 43030146 42440098 40540058 36479951 36149929 35489871 34569823 33539838 32879878 32189966 31700058 31440124 31330182 31520212 32070248 34450278 36650307 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 37047519 35407843 35627916 36327894 37247740 38857513 39297385 SLGT 45120622 45740571 45410455 44560366 42510208 41230171 40540135 38150105 37350102 36690120 36610204 36800252 37060262 37050278 37350340 37930377 39110399 40870446 44530622 45120622 MRGL 35947492 34287825 32678194 32108411 31708804 31669123 32109321 32479552 32549790 32459879 31550087 31330190 31630230 34230281 35880351 37680398 37750410 38190411 41230498 43180626 44310732 45190795 46110776 47580567 47030248 46200168 42380101 36549956 36259929 35119773 34059516 33869302 34019130 35048895 37648360 39697913 40687506 40767378 40617337 40127261 TSTM 29108448 29398444 29988455 30318507 30718584 31088763 31529599 31639719 31509864 31109977 30740070 30550151 30520197 30880271 31530325 32370365 37600509 38890560 39880637 40940747 43580938 44861011 46401044 47611022 49630923 99999999 50059690 48589626 47319584 45899558 44769553 43639616 42449723 40779817 39369854 38159829 37689795 37189707 36769603 35959357 35819218 35669068 35818906 36108778 36988580 38238342 40317942 43087351 43297268 43257178 42676972 && THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 SSE WAL 25 W GSB 25 SW RDU 30 SE DAN 20 SSW RIC 25 SE DOV 40 ESE ACY THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 ENE SHR 25 NW 4BQ 40 E 4BQ 45 NW RAP 50 NE AIA 50 N IML 15 E IML 25 NW GCK 20 N LBL 15 E GUY 30 SSW EHA 35 S SPD 15 S SPD 20 SSW SPD 50 S LHX 15 WSW LHX 20 WSW LIC 25 SE CYS 35 WNW GCC 45 ENE SHR THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 NE HSE 20 W ILM 40 NE VDI 40 N ABY 60 SE MEI 0 - HEZ 25 NNW IER 10 NW TYR 20 SSE MWL 40 WNW SEP 25 WNW SJT 45 SSE MAF 25 SSW MAF 30 ESE CVS 45 SSW CAO 35 NE TAD 35 NNE TAD 20 ESE PUB 10 WNW CYS 20 NNE CPR 35 SSW SHR 50 SE BIL 45 ENE BIL 35 S OLF 20 NE DIK 30 NE Y22 25 N MHN 20 NE GAG 25 E GAG 15 E CHK 35 NNE PRX 40 S HOT 35 NE LLQ 40 S MKL 15 WNW JKL 45 SSE LBE 20 E ABE 10 N JFK 20 SW ISP 55 SSE ISP GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 SE AAF 45 ESE AAF 30 SSW TLH 40 S MAI 35 NNW PFN 40 SW GZH 45 SE CRS 0 - ACT 30 SE BWD 40 N JCT 45 SSW SJT 55 NE 6R6 35 NNE 6R6 15 ESE FST 20 S INK 35 SW HOB 45 ENE ALS 50 W COS 35 ENE EGE 30 N CAG 60 NNW LND 60 SSE LVM 30 W 3HT 50 NW LWT 80 NNE HVR ...CONT... 90 N HCO 35 N TVF 35 N DTL 10 W AXN 25 WNW RWF 30 E FSD 35 NNE OFK 15 SSE GRI 40 NNE RSL 25 WNW HUT 25 S HUT 30 N PNC 0 - BVO 30 SW HRO 30 SSE FLP 10 S JBR 15 NNW MKL 40 SSW CKV 35 E BWG 50 N JKL 0 - LBE 20 SSE GFL 20 SE RUT 15 WNW CON 75 SSE PWM