Day 1 Areal Outline

Issued:

Risk area map for Day 1 Areal Outline

Summary

Severe thunderstorms with a marginal risk of tornadoes, hail, and wind are forecast for areas including parts of the Midwest, South, and Texas through September 29. General thunderstorms are expected across a broad region covering much of the central and southern United States.

Product Text

000 WUUS01 KWNS 281630 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1128 AM CDT MON SEP 28 2026 VALID TIME 281630Z - 291200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... && ... HAIL ... 0.05 44040118 43470238 43480336 43760398 44430439 44960406 45800263 46210109 46239993 46039957 45629944 44930006 44040118 && ... WIND ... 0.05 44040118 43470238 43480336 43760398 44430439 44960406 45800263 46210109 46239993 46039957 45629944 44930006 44040118 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... MRGL 44960406 45800263 46210109 46239993 46039957 45629944 44930006 44040118 43470238 43480336 43760398 44430439 44960406 TSTM 29158521 29438420 29548355 29318297 29058262 28638256 27898268 27438264 26878213 26518141 26258071 26148019 26167942 99999999 48809006 47599245 46999319 45929359 44609433 43949486 40819783 39290053 38870097 38440105 37710098 35970059 34480051 34250026 34229963 34419888 34519799 34309720 33489583 32069419 31629406 31359442 31439526 31619647 31619718 31259824 30689884 30249958 30040093 30000150 29770178 29470200 99999999 32011574 32361595 33471682 34571813 35521894 36711951 37641946 38641889 41121714 42501589 43531483 45111299 46011117 46201000 46010887 45390803 44470745 43430735 41660751 40750768 39530821 38570845 37990848 37700811 37750780 37960694 38480578 38930513 39260497 41110500 42560520 43390574 44330586 45190545 46530481 48680269 49570098 && THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SSW 2WX 25 WSW Y22 45 SSW BIS 55 NNE MBG 55 NE MBG 50 E MBG 40 NNE PIR 20 E PHP 50 SE RAP 40 SSW RAP 50 WSW RAP 55 E GCC 50 SSW 2WX GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SSW AAF 55 ESE AAF 30 WSW CTY 25 SSE CTY 25 WSW OCF 45 SSW OCF 0 - PIE 0 - SRQ 25 NW FMY 30 E FMY 40 NW MIA 25 NNE MIA 55 SE PBI ...CONT... 75 N GNA 25 NE HIB 30 SSW HIB 35 NE STC 35 NW MKT 30 NW FRM 30 ESE GRI 40 W HLC 50 SE GLD 40 NNW GCK 20 SW GCK 50 ENE BGD 15 WNW CDS 10 S CDS 35 SW LTS 30 SE LTS 25 ESE FSI 10 W ADM 25 WSW PRX 35 SW SHV 50 ENE LFK 20 ENE LFK 35 WNW LFK 30 S CRS 0 - ACT 50 W TPL 55 ENE JCT 20 SSE JCT 45 N DRT 45 E 6R6 30 SE 6R6 40 SSE 6R6 ...CONT... 55 S IPL 35 ESE CZZ 40 WSW TRM 0 - PMD 10 NE BFL 15 ESE FAT 60 NNE FAT 60 S NFL 40 NNW BAM 40 NNE OWY 25 W SUN 25 WSW DLN 15 N BZN 20 SSW 3HT 20 NW BIL 35 SE BIL 30 SW SHR 50 SE WRL 20 WSW RWL 20 NNW CAG 35 NNE GJT 40 S GJT 50 N CEZ 45 NNW DRO 40 N DRO 40 S GUC 75 N ALS 25 WNW COS 35 NNW COS 10 WSW CYS 15 SSE DGW 50 NNW DGW 15 W GCC 15 S 4BQ 30 WNW BHK 55 NE ISN 90 N MOT