Day 1 Areal Outline

Issued: 2026-07-22 16:23 UTC

Summary

Severe thunderstorms with risks of tornadoes, large hail, and damaging wind are expected across much of the central and eastern United States through Wednesday. Marginal to slight risks for these severe weather phenomena are forecast for various regions, including parts of the Mid-Atlantic, Southeast, and Pacific Northwest.

Product Text

000 WUUS01 KWNS 221623 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1121 AM CDT WED JUL 22 2026 VALID TIME 221630Z - 231200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 45996714 43846960 43807045 44427083 46327085 0.02 36197509 35537639 35187914 35528039 36178033 36927935 38537698 38877613 38947489 39007361 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 45926652 44266889 43996948 43587046 44227139 45897168 0.05 43272097 42522151 42542208 42772233 43652262 44042266 44812242 44972199 44972132 44482090 43272097 && ... WIND ... 0.05 38320282 39550436 40110457 40560465 41480470 41900375 41180214 40130134 39030123 38280185 38320282 0.05 42522236 43762282 45182240 45632111 45222021 44141965 42762021 42262134 42522236 0.05 29719389 29309474 28709563 28639624 28969659 29559674 30159649 30689615 31099541 31139447 30869392 29719389 0.05 35617435 35067746 34458091 34318212 34418308 35128329 36208159 37277986 38267867 39197738 40057513 40687415 41517313 43997122 46017142 0.15 36057452 35977784 36067892 36367907 36767898 37437852 37867822 38447743 38587533 38167403 0.15 46526716 45226835 44546950 44617017 45097041 46857050 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 36047497 35977784 36067892 36367907 36767898 37867822 38447743 38587533 38297443 SLGT 46516717 45226835 44546950 44617017 45097041 46857050 MRGL 30159649 30689615 31099541 31139447 30869392 29719389 29309474 28709563 28639624 28969659 29559674 30159649 MRGL 35527483 34458091 34318212 34418308 35128329 37277986 38267867 39197738 40057513 40687415 41517313 43997122 44117123 44227139 45747165 MRGL 41900375 41180214 40130134 39030123 38280185 38320282 39550436 40560465 41480470 41900375 MRGL 45182240 45632111 45222021 44141965 42762021 42262134 42522236 43762282 45182240 TSTM 28518344 29388289 29848254 30208212 30268144 29958107 29638067 99999999 48652489 48932128 48672024 47811975 47011978 46211972 45651943 45211917 44851861 44751797 45091716 45571623 45821586 46161520 47141362 47511267 47701111 47631016 47220856 47000742 46550380 46310297 45620162 44590004 43769896 43079820 41659653 40659555 39869491 38979462 38039460 37129507 36809553 36759644 36709731 36679773 36339820 35999820 35239770 34369696 33759641 33099539 32859450 32749332 33069233 33939096 34918979 35698853 35888784 36958481 38298091 39667755 40707551 41917394 43187302 44177271 45667287 99999999 33287841 33397966 33558110 33328228 32668321 31468394 30378435 29198487 99999999 25789675 26639756 29479906 30659966 31639987 33270023 34500078 35810150 36400222 36540290 36460348 36190392 35810417 34770429 33190447 32440435 31430423 30710425 30160438 29470473 99999999 31521265 32191251 32751263 33701322 34961402 35611441 36101499 36331567 36261655 35901774 35881857 36171897 36661929 37631957 39252016 40052102 40442188 40422291 40452394 40842476 && THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 NNE HSE 10 NNE RWI 15 NNW RDU 20 SE DAN 25 NE DAN 20 SE CHO 35 SW DCA 20 NNE SBY 60 E SBY THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NE HUL 35 NE BGR 20 NE AUG 25 NW AUG 50 NE BML 155 NNE BML THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SSW CLL 15 ENE CLL 25 N UTS 20 ESE LFK 45 WSW POE 20 SSE BPT 0 - GLS 30 SSW LBX 0 - PSX 20 ENE VCT 50 NNE VCT 30 SSW CLL THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 ENE HSE 40 NNE CAE 40 S GSP 20 WSW AND 45 WSW AVL 0 - ROA 10 E SHD 30 NW DCA 15 NNE PHL 0 - EWR 25 N BDR 20 SSE MWN 10 SSE MWN 0 - MWN 65 NNE EFK THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 W BFF 55 NNW IML 30 SSE IML 35 SE GLD 45 ENE LAA 20 NNW LAA 30 ESE DEN 20 ENE FCL 25 NNE CYS 10 W BFF THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SSE PDX 0 - DLS 55 ESE DLS 50 NW BNO 40 NNE LKV 20 ENE LMT 30 ENE MFR 30 SE EUG 30 SSE PDX GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 NW PIE 20 SE CTY 20 NW GNV 35 SW JAX 20 NNW SGJ 15 E SGJ 40 NE DAB ...CONT... 50 NNW UIL 55 E BLI 35 WNW OMK 35 NNW EPH 25 SSW EPH 45 ESE YKM 30 W PDT 40 SSW PDT 40 W BKE 10 SW BKE 35 ENE BKE 50 N MYL 25 SSW P69 20 E P69 25 NE MSO 60 NNE 3DU 20 NE GTF 50 NW LWT 45 ENE LWT 90 SSW GGW 25 ENE BHK 35 SSW DIK 35 SE Y22 20 NE PIR 20 E 9V9 50 S MHE 20 WSW TQE 10 SW SDA 0 - STJ 10 S MKC 55 S OJC 30 W JLN 25 E BVO 25 W BVO 10 W PNC 25 NNE END 15 W END 30 SSW END 15 SSW OKC 0 - ADM 15 S DUA 35 S PRX 35 NNE GGG 35 NE SHV 30 ESE ELD 30 N GLH 15 SE MEM 25 ENE MKL 55 SSW CKV 40 WSW LOZ 35 NNE BKW 10 ESE HGR 0 - ABE 20 N POU 25 S RUT 10 WSW MPV 60 NNW EFK ...CONT... 40 SE CRE 40 NNE CHS 15 WNW OGB 20 W AGS 25 E MCN 15 ESE ABY 0 - TLH 40 SSE AAF ...CONT... 45 ESE BRO 50 N BRO 10 NE HDO 10 NE JCT 40 ENE SJT 65 NNW ABI 30 W CDS 10 NW BGD 30 NE DHT 15 ENE CAO 20 W CAO 50 SE RTN 55 NW TCC 50 SW TCC 10 SSE ROW 10 NNW CNM 45 SE GDP 25 NNW MRF 25 SW MRF 75 SW MRF ...CONT... 95 S GBN 50 SSE GBN 15 SSE GBN 60 NNW GBN 20 SSW IGM 35 NW IGM 10 E LAS 30 SE DRA 40 SW DRA 15 NNW NID 40 NE BFL 50 N BFL 25 ESE FAT 60 N FAT 25 NNW TVL 65 E RBL 30 NE RBL 40 WNW RBL 25 SSE EKA 35 W EKA