Day 1 Areal Outline

Issued:

Risk area map for Day 1 Areal Outline

Summary

Marginal risks of severe thunderstorms, including possible tornadoes, hail, and wind, are expected across various regions including parts of the Gulf Coast, Southeast, and Central Plains on Wednesday. General thunderstorms are forecast to impact a broad area stretching from the Pacific Northwest through the Mid-Atlantic and into the Southeast.

Product Text

000 WUUS01 KWNS 230102 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0800 PM CDT WED JUL 22 2026 VALID TIME 230100Z - 231200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 35917489 35877679 36077750 36527760 37327694 38147458 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 43272097 42562156 42652214 42772233 43652262 44042266 44812242 44972199 44972132 44482090 43272097 && ... WIND ... 0.05 38320282 39550436 40110457 40560465 41480470 41830462 42130434 42180395 41180214 40130134 39030123 38280185 38320282 0.05 42662240 43762282 45182240 45632111 45222021 44141965 43092010 42572152 42662240 0.05 35537480 35347616 34887887 34488084 34318214 34398308 35118329 35998147 36487940 36577854 36817819 37217806 37677825 38167822 38327801 38617707 39547454 39737347 0.05 29439637 29699586 29709527 29289477 28709563 28639624 28969659 29439637 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... MRGL 29439637 29699586 29709527 29289477 28709563 28639624 28969659 29439637 MRGL 35537483 34318214 34398308 35118329 35998147 36487940 36577854 36817819 37217806 37677825 38167822 38327801 39547454 39737347 MRGL 41830462 42130434 42180395 41180214 40130134 39030123 38280185 38320282 39550436 40560465 41480470 41830462 MRGL 45182240 45632111 45222021 44141965 43092010 42562156 42662240 43762282 45182240 TSTM 48652489 48932128 48672024 47811975 47011978 46211972 45651943 45211917 44851861 44751797 45091716 45571623 45821586 46161520 47141362 47511267 47701111 47631016 47220856 47000742 46550380 46310297 45620162 44590004 43769896 43079820 41659653 40659555 39869491 38979462 38039460 37129507 36809553 36759644 36709731 36679773 36339820 35999820 35239770 34369696 33759641 33099539 32859450 32749332 33069233 33579094 34608952 35648831 35888784 36698484 37598066 38987698 40057465 40887310 42167145 42467062 42586968 99999999 44256681 44486821 44856862 45296853 46066823 47376761 99999999 33977682 34137824 33848024 33328228 32668321 31468394 30378435 29198487 99999999 31521265 32191251 32751263 33701322 34961402 35611441 36101499 36331567 36261655 35901774 35881857 36171897 36661929 37631957 39302015 40902053 41622117 42192311 42422488 99999999 28518344 29388289 29848254 30208212 30268144 29958107 29638067 99999999 25789675 26639756 29479906 30659966 31639987 33270023 34500078 35810150 36400222 36540290 36460348 36190392 35810417 34770429 33190447 32440435 31430423 30710425 30160438 29470473 && THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 N PSX 35 W HOU 0 - HOU 0 - GLS 30 SSW LBX 0 - PSX 20 ENE VCT 50 N PSX THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 ENE HSE 40 S GSP 20 WSW AND 45 WSW AVL 20 NNW HKY 0 - DAN 30 WSW AVC 10 NW AVC 35 N AVC 35 SSE CHO 15 E CHO 25 ENE CHO 0 - ACY 50 ESE NEL THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 WSW TOR 10 WNW TOR 15 NE TOR 55 NNW IML 30 SSE IML 35 SE GLD 45 ENE LAA 20 NNW LAA 30 ESE DEN 20 ENE FCL 25 NNE CYS 30 WSW TOR THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SSE PDX 0 - DLS 55 ESE DLS 50 NW BNO 65 NNE LKV 30 NNE LMT 30 NE MFR 30 SE EUG 30 SSE PDX GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 NNW UIL 55 E BLI 35 WNW OMK 35 NNW EPH 25 SSW EPH 45 ESE YKM 30 W PDT 40 SSW PDT 40 W BKE 10 SW BKE 35 ENE BKE 50 N MYL 25 SSW P69 20 E P69 25 NE MSO 60 NNE 3DU 20 NE GTF 50 NW LWT 45 ENE LWT 90 SSW GGW 25 ENE BHK 35 SSW DIK 35 SE Y22 20 NE PIR 20 E 9V9 50 S MHE 20 WSW TQE 10 SW SDA 0 - STJ 10 S MKC 55 S OJC 30 W JLN 25 E BVO 25 W BVO 10 W PNC 25 NNE END 15 W END 30 SSW END 15 SSW OKC 0 - ADM 15 S DUA 35 S PRX 35 NNE GGG 35 NE SHV 30 ESE ELD 0 - GLH 15 N UOX 35 E MKL 55 SSW CKV 55 NNE CSV 20 SW SSU 10 NNE DCA 20 SSE TTN 0 - ISP 30 N PVD 20 ENE BOS 70 NNE HYA ...CONT... 45 SSE EPM 10 ENE BHB 10 ENE BGR 35 NNE BGR 20 W HUL 40 NNE CAR ...CONT... 65 ESE ILM 20 WSW ILM 40 SW FLO 20 W AGS 25 E MCN 15 ESE ABY 0 - TLH 40 SSE AAF ...CONT... 95 S GBN 50 SSE GBN 15 SSE GBN 60 NNW GBN 20 SSW IGM 35 NW IGM 10 E LAS 30 SE DRA 40 SW DRA 15 NNW NID 40 NE BFL 50 N BFL 25 ESE FAT 60 N FAT 30 NNW TVL 40 S AAT 30 WNW AAT 15 SW MFR 40 NW 4BK ...CONT... 60 NW PIE 20 SE CTY 20 NW GNV 35 SW JAX 20 NNW SGJ 15 E SGJ 40 NE DAB ...CONT... 45 ESE BRO 50 N BRO 10 NE HDO 10 NE JCT 40 ENE SJT 65 NNW ABI 30 W CDS 10 NW BGD 30 NE DHT 15 ENE CAO 20 W CAO 50 SE RTN 55 NW TCC 50 SW TCC 10 SSE ROW 10 NNW CNM 45 SE GDP 25 NNW MRF 25 SW MRF 75 SW MRF