Day 1 Areal Outline

Issued: 2026-07-12 20:01 UTC

Summary

Slight risks of tornadoes, large hail, and severe thunderstorms are expected across parts of the central and southern United States, including portions of the Southwest, Gulf Coast, and Southeast, through midday Sunday. Marginal risks for severe thunderstorms also persist across several regions throughout much of the day.

Product Text

000 WUUS01 KWNS 122001 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0300 PM CDT SUN JUL 12 2026 VALID TIME 122000Z - 131200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 45448805 45678908 46038970 46418994 46729001 47168984 47448862 47638808 47568764 47268749 46818702 46758628 46748552 46498529 46058542 45738638 45448805 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 46468337 45438414 44948469 44558549 44518678 44688797 45088886 45408935 45768971 46309009 49019038 0.15 46998930 47318878 47538804 47458759 47018751 46758682 46768570 46448539 46078553 45928648 45818733 45878801 46178904 46558967 46818962 46998930 CIG1 45658749 45958859 46268922 46718953 47469010 47849026 48329022 48298852 47658762 47278704 46978635 46828568 46748531 46388523 45978540 45798640 45658749 && ... WIND ... 0.05 25747957 25588012 25668052 25998096 26328147 26868197 27858236 29268276 30048349 30738605 30898726 30989186 31369768 31860053 32220397 32730462 33600469 34660443 35370399 35890263 35890112 35409962 35189893 34829816 34459717 34279493 34459431 34419394 34089324 33799244 33429141 33358983 33748766 34538558 35738382 36548105 36637794 36417609 35867474 0.05 49370529 48010631 47300815 47460906 47850961 48320958 49520846 0.05 31821386 32981425 34071439 35341414 35881403 36281382 36371346 36211301 35531221 33350975 32730935 31780904 30900895 0.05 46478337 45438412 44928459 44348535 44158608 44148742 44398837 44798895 45498958 46489005 48869031 0.15 46548966 46798961 47018917 47298869 47438829 47518803 47458768 47038761 46688735 46618676 46718622 46718571 46478548 46148557 45978646 45848730 45948804 46188903 46548966 0.15 31201223 32401265 33141304 33481302 33801276 33981221 33811145 33561093 32791061 30860979 0.15 30608059 30648265 30898331 31118367 31598393 32188386 32628367 33428312 34058272 34528228 35118133 35247993 35147858 34787774 33957704 CIG1 31281104 32261399 32371406 32561410 32701415 32861398 33071368 33251327 33411257 33411169 33291123 32851053 32521010 31740953 31480955 31300963 31281104 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 31201223 32401265 33141304 33481302 33801276 33981221 33811145 33561093 30860979 SLGT 30608076 30648265 31118367 31598393 32188386 32628367 34058272 34528228 35118133 35247993 35147858 34787774 33957704 SLGT 46818962 47318878 47538804 47458759 47018751 46758682 46768570 46448539 46078553 45818733 45878801 46178904 46558967 46818962 MRGL 25747957 25588012 25668052 26328147 26868197 27858236 29268276 30048349 30738605 30898726 30989186 31369768 31860053 32220397 32730462 33600469 34660443 35370399 35890263 35890112 35189893 34459717 34279493 34459431 34419394 34089324 33429141 33358983 33748766 34538558 35738382 36548105 36637794 36417609 35937492 MRGL 31821386 32981425 34071439 35881403 36281382 36371346 36211301 33350975 32730935 31780904 30900895 MRGL 46468337 45438412 44928459 44348535 44158608 44148742 44398837 44798895 45498958 46309009 48569033 MRGL 49370529 48010631 47300815 47460906 47850961 48320958 49500848 TSTM 43988123 43418288 43238480 43478659 43998816 44658936 45529074 46539141 47099168 47769182 48839176 99999999 49660316 48730440 48130525 47650633 47000765 46470946 45921181 45791265 46181353 46841336 47641230 49650944 50090924 99999999 32061693 33791700 35201674 37191596 38691452 39011381 39071356 39001308 38931218 38981137 39211031 39740800 39960615 39900497 39470370 38130059 37259918 36259741 35959628 35739434 35729294 35939193 36759037 37708937 38448888 39038799 39488584 39928404 40528253 40998158 41178008 40767864 40327796 39307712 38397616 37667548 37487519 37267477 99999999 25767851 24998074 25038161 25368265 && THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 100 SW TUS 35 S GBN 25 NW GBN 40 NNW GBN 50 WNW PHX 40 NNW PHX 40 NE PHX 65 E PHX 45 SSW DUG THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 NE SGJ 40 ESE VLD 10 ENE MGR 15 ENE ABY 40 SSW MCN 0 - MCN 30 S AND 25 S GSP 25 WSW CLT 30 W SOP 20 NE FAY 10 WSW OAJ 55 ESE ILM THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NE IWD 15 NW CMX 30 NE CMX 65 N MQT 35 N MQT 40 ENE MQT 65 WNW ANJ 50 W ANJ 50 NW PLN 15 WNW ESC 0 - IMT 45 NNE RHI 20 E IWD 30 NE IWD THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 E MIA 20 SSE MIA 20 WSW MIA 20 ENE APF 20 NNW FMY 20 ESE PIE 35 SE CTY 35 NW CTY 30 E CEW 30 N PNS 40 SE ESF 20 NW TPL 35 N SJT 20 ESE CNM 35 NW CNM 25 NNW ROW 60 SW TCC 25 WNW TCC 10 SSW DHT 20 NE BGD 20 SE CSM 15 NW ADM 35 WNW DEQ 30 N DEQ 35 NE DEQ 30 SSW HOT 25 SE LLQ 20 SE GWO 35 N TCL 25 WNW RMG 10 ESE TYS 45 SSW PSK 0 - AVC 10 NNE ECG 65 NE HSE THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 SE YUM 30 NE YUM 35 NNE BLH 45 N IGM 55 SSW SGU 50 S SGU 50 WNW GCN 35 NNW SAD 20 ESE SAD 40 ENE DUG 55 SE DUG THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 E ANJ 35 NW APN 40 N HTL 30 SSE TVC 10 SE MBL 15 E MTW 15 WSW GRB 35 ESE AUW 10 SSW RHI 15 S IWD 55 N GNA THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 90 N OLF 20 SE GGW 65 ENE LWT 35 NE LWT 50 S HVR 20 SSE HVR 90 NE HVR GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 90 E BAX 25 SSE BAX 35 NNW LAN 30 NW MKG 20 E OSH 20 ESE CWA 60 NE EAU 25 W ASX 15 WSW BFW 10 SSE ELO 65 N ELO ...CONT... 105 NNE ISN 50 NW ISN 15 E OLF 40 SSE GGW 95 NNE BIL 20 E 3HT 35 WNW BZN 15 SSW BTM 40 SSW 3DU 15 NW 3DU 45 WNW GTF 75 N HVR 110 NNE HVR ...CONT... 50 SSE SAN 30 ESE RAL 25 N DAG 35 N DRA 45 SSE ELY 60 NW MLF 55 NNW MLF 40 N MLF 35 SSE U24 55 NW 4HV 15 NNW U28 50 NNE GJT 45 ENE EGE 10 NNW DEN 15 N LIC 15 NNE GCK 35 W P28 30 ESE END 30 SW TUL 20 SSW FYV 35 NNE RUE 20 NW BVX 0 - POF 10 SW MDH 10 N MVN 35 SSE MTO 30 SE IND 10 E DAY 20 S MFD 10 WNW CAK 20 SW FKL 30 SSE DUJ 20 E AOO 30 N DCA 15 ENE NHK 20 S WAL 35 SSE WAL 60 SE WAL ...CONT... 110 E MIA 25 NE MTH 35 NNE EYW 75 SW APF