Day 1 Areal Outline

Issued:

Risk area map for Day 1 Areal Outline

Summary

Severe thunderstorms, including risks of tornadoes, hail, and wind, are expected across parts of the Southeast, Gulf Coast, and Southern Plains on Sunday. These storms range from marginal to slight in severity, affecting areas from the Atlantic coast through Mississippi and into Texas and Oklahoma.

Product Text

000 WUUS01 KWNS 190602 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0100 AM CDT SUN JUL 19 2026 VALID TIME 191200Z - 201200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... && ... HAIL ... 0.05 49149303 47389397 45179514 44479621 44179852 44690125 45500343 46700354 47400312 48130264 48770209 49610130 0.15 49349606 48019677 46839748 46099915 45940070 46140206 46630238 47690181 48610045 49279882 CIG1 45769979 46300081 47930117 49279974 49329756 48889674 47099668 46119748 45749878 45769979 && ... WIND ... 0.05 33527712 33518006 33258256 32768448 32238584 31278691 29958772 29458794 99999999 28589072 30299053 32458954 34038863 35278718 36398342 36678187 37328041 37717870 37607361 0.05 48558930 47318932 45548999 44089073 43109187 42469306 42319437 42359605 42479758 42609985 42780272 43170457 43580586 43970667 44930802 45800823 46240717 46200524 46310463 46610410 46970386 48070345 49740257 0.05 27508239 28478256 29228280 29888339 30418395 31308384 31688304 31118202 30138154 29258111 28578102 27968102 27538126 27168152 27208208 27508239 0.15 34357544 34197841 33788192 33318393 33488511 34188520 35468303 37007986 37317806 36997422 0.15 49579582 48309551 46659557 45649575 45179609 44289718 44149850 44420015 45000161 45490250 46220300 47410303 48380276 49420229 CIG1 44800159 44170403 44050529 44190648 44710735 45000768 45780756 46050704 45980614 45990560 46340408 46890359 47400322 48870268 49480246 49519959 49459713 48659674 47509690 46639786 46179858 45230039 44800159 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 34337587 34197841 33788192 33318393 33488511 34188520 35468303 37007986 37317806 37077517 SLGT 49479580 48309551 46659557 45649575 45179609 44289718 44149850 44420015 45000161 45490250 46220300 47410303 48380276 49420229 MRGL 31308384 31688304 31118202 29258111 28578102 27968102 27168152 27208208 27508239 28478256 29228280 30418395 31308384 MRGL 33527740 33518006 33258256 32768448 32238584 31278691 29588788 99999999 28589072 30299053 32458954 34038863 35278718 36398342 36678187 37328041 37717870 37627476 MRGL 48558930 47318932 45548999 44089073 43109187 42469306 42319437 42359605 42780272 43170457 43580586 43970667 44930802 45800823 46240717 46200524 46310463 46610410 46970386 48070345 49490270 TSTM 28359157 31029099 33129086 34839177 36439366 37259556 37399819 37589880 38279908 40469768 41159776 41899938 42110060 41980306 40980449 40040524 37750572 36070330 35519990 35049803 34869633 34389565 33339571 32699655 32599773 32429906 31250046 28740138 99999999 30811119 32531231 32901299 33871438 35381550 36971650 40331629 41631552 43081341 44631396 45851271 47600727 48590586 49780505 99999999 46098261 45418482 45558764 45248925 42919076 41589231 40849243 38638756 38198356 38327680 38267425 && THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 SSW HSE 30 W ILM 30 N AGS 35 SE ATL 35 N LGC 10 S RMG 25 W AVL 25 SSE ROA 45 N AVC 60 SSE WAL THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 N ROX 40 SSE ROX 20 SE DTL 25 SW AXN 20 ESE VVV 20 W BKX 20 SW HON 0 - PIR 65 N PHP 35 SSW Y22 40 SSW DIK 45 NNW DIK 40 ENE ISN 90 NNW MOT THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 N MGR 50 NW AYS 25 ESE AYS 0 - DAB 20 E ORL 25 WSW MLB 35 SSW AGR 30 ESE SRQ 10 NE SRQ 40 N PIE 35 SSE CTY 25 E TLH 15 N MGR THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 SSE ILM 40 N CHS 35 WSW AGS 30 ENE CSG 25 NNE TOI 15 SE GZH 75 SW PNS ...CONT... 70 S HUM 25 NW MSY 35 ENE JAN 20 SSE TUP 45 NE MSL 50 NW HSS 30 ENE TRI 20 NE PSK 30 SSW CHO 45 ESE WAL THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 75 NE GNA 40 WNW CMX 25 WSW RHI 25 WNW VOK 45 NE ALO 35 W ALO 20 SSW FOD 15 ESE SUX 20 E CDR 50 NE DGW 55 SSW GCC 55 SSE SHR 65 N WRL 15 E BIL 65 WSW MLS 35 ESE MLS 20 W BHK 20 NNE BHK 45 NNE BHK 10 SE ISN 100 NNE ISN GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 100 SSW HUM 35 NNE BTR 25 SSE GLH 25 ENE LIT 35 SSE UMN 30 S CNU 20 ENE P28 25 NNW P28 45 SSW RSL 40 ESE HSI 30 SW OLU 15 WNW BUB 25 E MHN 15 WSW AIA 20 SE CYS 25 NW DEN 25 NNE ALS 30 SSW CAO 40 WNW CSM 0 - CHK 30 W MLC 35 SSE MLC 25 SW PRX 20 ESE DAL 25 ESE MWL 35 E ABI 10 SSE SJT 50 SSW DRT ...CONT... 75 SW FHU 35 SE GBN 15 W GBN 25 NE BLH 50 SSW LAS 35 NW DRA 35 ESE BAM 40 ESE OWY 40 NNE BYI 35 S SMN 10 SW BTM 50 SW GGW 35 NNW OLF 120 NNE OLF ...CONT... 85 NNE APN 10 S PLN 30 SE IMT 30 SSE RHI 35 N DBQ 35 NNE OTM 20 S OTM 40 N EVV 45 NNW JKL 20 W NHK 85 SSE ACY