Day 1 Areal Outline

Issued: 2026-06-16 05:51 UTC

Summary

Marginal risks of severe thunderstorms, including potential tornadoes, hail, and wind, are expected across portions of the central and eastern United States on Tuesday, June 16. Affected areas include parts of the Great Plains, Midwest, and South, stretching toward the Mid-Atlantic coast.

Product Text

000 WUUS01 KWNS 160551 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1250 AM CDT TUE JUN 16 2026 VALID TIME 161200Z - 171200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 42378778 43398649 43248464 42538379 40898477 39888619 39498778 39688894 40258887 41228799 41838770 42378778 0.02 30048066 29538245 29348380 99999999 27849626 28979585 29839381 31089000 31718701 31678502 32208073 31918011 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 37359717 38189635 38049329 38019236 37159171 35889366 35999499 36189659 36739679 37359717 0.05 49970211 49030063 47709961 46329934 45739918 45239991 44970046 45000107 45260263 46100379 46900593 48240833 49721176 0.05 42508783 43488650 43378468 42498367 40328508 38988762 39368892 39738912 40528888 41458794 42508783 0.05 44069392 42669024 40648987 40859174 42379408 43659493 44069392 && ... WIND ... 0.05 49850200 49010060 47819970 46789940 45779920 45289979 45010036 45030108 45290266 46100375 46980608 48290839 49731168 0.05 41298351 40498403 39338562 38948672 39038765 39328887 39778912 40518890 41458790 42478784 43458654 43408468 42258336 41298351 0.05 37469714 38199639 38009236 37159164 35859370 36189655 37469714 0.05 27799624 28989585 29849373 30599157 31128993 31678711 31698507 31858346 32228074 31967994 99999999 30108051 29538253 29348387 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... MRGL 30048066 29538245 29348380 99999999 27849626 28989585 29839381 31128993 31718701 31698507 32228074 31967994 MRGL 37469714 38199639 38019236 37159164 35859370 36189659 36829684 37359717 37469714 MRGL 40518890 41458794 42508783 43488650 43408468 42258336 41298351 40498403 39338562 38948672 38988762 39328887 39738912 40518890 MRGL 44069392 42669024 40648987 40859174 42379408 43659493 44069392 MRGL 49500136 49010060 47709961 45739918 45289979 44970046 45000107 45260263 46100379 46900593 48240833 49511128 TSTM 31641688 32661698 33651675 34221610 34941396 35181305 35151201 33900946 32720818 32320709 32940554 34180348 34760269 35960143 37140008 38719863 39779715 40599541 41699584 42919843 45020344 46300779 46881028 47821233 49681530 99999999 44617648 41677879 39218264 37998501 36628832 35509166 35369525 34109883 32420045 30520160 29110227 99999999 49849947 48229686 47059497 46119190 46738908 47158657 47848505 99999999 28150089 30769893 33039552 33899167 34338881 34608413 34258058 34917848 36897701 38287710 39737612 39957493 39707338 && THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 E SGJ 15 SW GNV 45 WSW CTY ...CONT... 60 S PSX 25 WSW LBX 15 ESE BPT 30 E MCB 20 N GZH 35 NE DHN 30 ENE SAV 65 S CHS THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SE ICT 15 SW EMP 20 NW TBN 30 NNE UNO 30 ESE FYV 35 NNE CQB 15 ENE PNC 25 SE ICT 20 SE ICT THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 0 - BMI 40 E MMO 20 S RAC 25 NNW MKG 30 WSW MBS 0 - DTW 20 NNE FDY 40 NNE DAY 45 SE IND 15 SSW BMG 35 SSW HUF 35 S DEC 15 WSW DEC 0 - BMI THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 S MKT 30 NE DBQ 10 WSW PIA 30 W BRL 15 SSE FOD 25 W FRM 10 S MKT THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 85 N MOT 60 NNE MOT 45 SW DVL 40 WNW ABR 35 ESE MBG 40 S MBG 50 SW MBG 50 SSW Y22 30 SE BHK 35 N MLS 70 ESE HVR 80 NE CTB GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 SSW CZZ 10 ESE SAN 35 W TRM 40 N TRM 20 S IGM 50 NW PRC 20 W FLG 40 SE SOW 0 - SVC 35 E DMN 35 S SRR 15 SSW CVS 45 NE CVS 20 N BGD 45 S DDC 15 SE RSL 30 ENE CNK 10 S SDA 20 ESE TQE 35 NNE ONL 40 S 2WX 50 NE BIL 40 NW 3HT 55 S CTB 105 NNW GPI ...CONT... 50 NNW ART 10 SW BFD 20 W UNI 20 W LEX 40 SE PAH 15 S BVX 20 SSE MKO 20 WNW SPS 45 W ABI 50 NE 6R6 65 S 6R6 ...CONT... 120 NNW DVL 25 NE GFK 35 S BJI 50 SSE DLH 40 SW CMX 65 NE MQT 100 NNW ANJ ...CONT... 85 S DRT 55 ENE JCT 40 S PRX 20 NNE LLQ 0 - TUP 70 NNE ATL 40 NE CAE 25 E FAY 45 SSE RIC 40 S DCA 30 W ILG 20 ENE PHL 55 ESE NEL