Day 1 Areal Outline

Issued: 2026-06-23 20:08 UTC

Summary

Severe thunderstorms with a risk of tornadoes, large hail, and damaging winds are expected across parts of the central and southeastern United States through Wednesday. An enhanced risk of severe weather is centered over portions of the Midwest and lower Mississippi Valley, with slight to marginal risks extending through the Southeast and Gulf Coast.

Product Text

000 WUUS01 KWNS 232008 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0307 PM CDT TUE JUN 23 2026 VALID TIME 232000Z - 241200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 40950557 42120612 42550569 42240440 41530354 40010238 38060129 36579976 35869853 35029753 33939746 33539774 33079883 33160043 34450182 35410256 36590374 37570483 38470508 39850509 40950557 0.02 34867502 35327678 35807790 36377849 36827827 36987736 37147687 38337590 38697523 38677411 0.02 49499558 47429419 46119380 45229387 44659458 44599596 45079666 46719774 47909850 48409889 49559902 0.05 48009496 47239435 46019412 45739453 45749519 46209577 47949650 48409592 48009496 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 50009241 45559398 42449534 40429583 38629559 37799469 36459469 35099529 33539622 33159716 33539876 33540021 33290118 33080198 32740284 32690337 32980351 33550316 34420305 35380341 36440394 37010470 37290505 38180542 40140625 41520689 42090703 42700693 43060665 43180636 42970538 42600435 42480377 42500242 42810162 43299937 44389811 45819815 46849915 49750023 0.15 40050558 41410616 42320616 42480584 42490540 42470504 42190435 41700333 40810202 40070150 39330086 38800049 37939969 37319828 35689785 34589832 34039898 33910014 34080123 34280190 34730249 35100293 36510374 36920425 37480495 38470534 40050558 0.30 37160363 37460455 38070492 39030506 40750557 41510583 42060591 42260569 42170515 41680462 41220411 40240312 39660248 39250221 38480227 37960242 37630250 37200305 37160363 CIG1 39890123 38830049 37319826 36859806 35529814 34819868 34319920 33590026 33380135 33670246 34700301 36400388 36620406 37270504 38220544 40110624 41560691 42100701 42700693 43030666 43180635 42940536 42580432 41010210 39890123 && ... WIND ... 0.05 49099270 47099314 44869378 43499439 42139522 40939514 39029430 35319224 33249148 32469152 31959233 32379367 32629536 31979793 31840172 31670318 31920387 32430414 33250371 33640317 34460309 35430344 36450393 37280505 40120628 41000790 41370952 41741011 42091018 42390999 42630942 42970797 43180640 43130319 43230152 43439919 44529816 45769811 47279936 49490013 0.05 33297752 35167963 36017984 37007932 37277868 37067734 37187700 38287606 39337463 39377359 0.05 30658732 31168745 31008485 30738188 30348123 29578109 29408169 29578292 30048518 30658732 0.15 33847733 34437787 35117825 35737838 36667774 37067683 37727636 38367532 38427436 0.15 36049517 34959523 33939600 33179664 32509815 32539969 32930086 33820179 34730270 35810328 37090403 37470458 38340507 39470541 40680620 41340673 41670689 41980696 42270679 42500636 42550545 42180371 41100197 38820049 37889964 37249807 37029605 36049517 0.30 34727577 34987622 35407703 35917716 36617701 37367648 37697609 37877555 37857477 CIG1 37239807 37039606 36049522 35009524 33919609 33179662 32549810 32579979 32590124 32390219 32000278 31700315 31950381 32450409 33680305 35190306 36810373 37920428 38930485 40600584 40960738 41330849 41610948 41980959 42300924 42580783 42730617 42260456 41260382 40660292 40190215 38790098 37869976 37239807 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... ENH 42260569 42170515 39660248 39250221 38480227 37630250 37200305 37160363 37460455 38070492 39030506 41510583 42060591 42260569 SLGT 33847733 34437787 35117825 35737838 36667774 37067683 37727636 38367532 38427440 SLGT 42270679 42500636 42550545 42180371 41100197 38820049 37939968 37249807 37029605 36049517 34959523 33179664 32509815 32539969 32930086 34730270 36510374 37480495 38470534 39630552 41340673 41980696 42270679 SLGT 48409592 48009496 47239435 46019412 45739453 45749519 46209577 47949650 48409592 MRGL 30738188 30348123 29578109 29408169 29578292 30048518 30658732 31168745 30738188 MRGL 33347757 35167963 36017984 37007932 37277868 37067734 37187700 38287606 39337463 39377359 MRGL 49049271 47099314 44869378 43499439 42139522 40939514 39029430 35319224 33249148 32469152 31959233 32379367 32629536 31979793 31840172 31670318 31920387 32430414 33250371 33640317 34460309 35430344 36440394 37280505 40120628 41000790 41370952 41741011 42091018 42390999 42630942 42970797 43180640 43130319 43439921 44529816 45819815 46849915 49350008 TSTM 48628873 47148775 45908708 45258669 44728657 44398665 43928690 43598718 43308746 42978794 42348955 41809145 41469268 40899331 40159344 39429223 38119106 35058942 33188790 32778697 32608636 32358535 32378473 32388362 32798088 33168035 33568032 34148063 34598074 35318058 36068018 37237939 37547898 37707842 37727781 38107689 39677500 40537415 40817362 41347182 41506942 99999999 31010632 32260621 32760615 33110602 33620569 34350505 34880457 35750441 36500474 37060526 37770575 38170597 38650629 39200670 39630718 39910766 40510908 40770962 41060999 41431042 41791061 42391077 43031053 43441029 43750951 43870871 43820695 44070226 44340126 44850051 45540019 46290021 46690064 47050147 47310263 49700766 99999999 28428865 29549130 30239323 30739452 31319597 31559681 31719810 31660014 31530127 31300215 30920292 30400393 29620500 99999999 35301721 36421669 37551594 38041486 38031381 37731284 37021111 36591022 36070965 35410954 34810958 34680971 34481044 34871159 35341268 35221355 34471502 34151569 34011637 34381708 34741721 35301721 && THERE IS A ENHANCED RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SSW DGW 40 SSE DGW 30 NNW ITR 0 - ITR 35 NE LAA 25 NNE SPD 25 WSW SPD 40 E TAD 20 NW TAD 25 WSW PUB 25 NW COS 15 NNW LAR 55 NNW LAR 40 SSW DGW THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SE ILM 10 N ILM 30 SW GSB 25 ESE RDU 15 N RZZ 35 WNW ORF 40 S NHK 10 ENE SBY 70 S ACY THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NNE RWL 30 SSE CPR 15 SSW DGW 20 NNW BFF 45 NNW IML 50 SW HLC 20 NE DDC 30 E P28 15 N BVO 30 NNE MKO 30 E MLC 25 NNE DAL 20 N SEP 10 N ABI 60 NE BGS 45 NE CVS 35 W CAO 35 WNW TAD 40 SW COS 35 WSW DEN 40 SE RWL 20 NE RWL 40 NNE RWL THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NNE TVF 35 N BJI 35 SE BJI 25 S BRD 25 WNW STC 15 SE AXN 30 NW AXN 15 WSW TVF 25 NNE TVF THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NW JAX 25 NNE SGJ 25 N DAB 35 ENE OCF 10 ESE CTY 25 NNW AAF 15 NW PNS 30 SW GZH 20 NW JAX THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 SSE ILM 15 WSW SOP 10 SE GSO 25 SSW LYH 30 E LYH 30 S RIC 30 SE RIC 20 E NHK 10 SSW ACY 55 E ACY THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NE INL 25 SW HIB 25 W MSP 10 S FRM 15 NE DNS 20 NE SDA 15 ESE MKC 40 N LIT 30 SSE LLQ 30 E MLU 40 N ESF 10 ESE SHV 20 N TYR 25 SE SEP 30 SSW BGS 10 S INK 35 SE CNM 10 NE CNM 50 NW HOB 50 S CVS 15 ENE CVS 20 NNE TCC 35 ESE RTN 40 W TAD 45 NE EGE 40 NNW CAG 30 SW RKS 55 S BPI 35 S BPI 15 SSE BPI 35 E BPI 25 ESE RIW 20 N CPR 20 NNW CDR 25 SSE 9V9 10 NNE HON 30 NNE ABR 25 WSW JMS 90 NE MOT GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 100 N CMX 45 NNW MQT 10 N ESC 40 SSE ESC 35 NNW MBL 20 WNW MBL 40 SW MBL 45 SE MTW 35 NE MKE 0 - MKE 25 WNW RFD 15 ESE CID 30 NNW OTM 30 SSW OXV 25 NNE CDJ 40 N COU 40 E VIH 30 E MEM 15 W TCL 30 N SEM 20 N MGM 20 SSE AUO 15 SE CSG 20 S MCN 45 S OGB 25 NW CHS 30 ENE OGB 30 ENE CAE 45 SSE CLT 20 ENE CLT 15 W GSO 15 WSW LYH 20 NE LYH 30 S CHO 30 WNW RIC 30 WSW NHK 20 SE PHL 10 S EWR 15 NE JFK 10 E GON 35 ENE ACK ...CONT... 55 S ELP 35 NNE ELP 0 - ALM 20 NNE ALM 15 NW SRR 40 ENE 4CR 60 SSE LVS 40 E LVS 20 SW RTN 40 SE ALS 25 NNE ALS 50 N ALS 35 ENE GUC 10 E ASE 15 W EGE 40 S CAG 25 ENE VEL 25 NNW VEL 50 NNW VEL 35 ENE EVW 40 NNE EVW 35 WSW BPI 40 SSE JAC 25 ESE JAC 60 SSW COD 45 SSE COD 65 S SHR 35 W PHP 25 NE PHP 35 NNW PIR 10 E MBG 40 SE BIS 10 SE BIS 40 S N60 35 NNE DIK 115 NNW GGW ...CONT... 75 SE BVE 40 W HUM 0 - LCH 35 SSE LFK 50 NW UTS 25 E ACT 35 S SEP 30 NE SJT 50 SSE BGS 45 S MAF 0 - FST 0 - MRF 80 SW MRF ...CONT... 35 SE NID 40 WSW DRA 60 N DRA 35 NNW P38 45 WNW CDC 15 E CDC 20 ENE PGA 70 SSE U17 60 NW GUP 45 W GUP 45 NNE SOW 35 NNE SOW 30 WNW SOW 20 SSE FLG 50 NNW PRC 20 E IGM 30 SW EED 45 NE TRM 30 NNW TRM 35 SSW DAG 25 WSW DAG 35 SE NID