Day 1 Areal Outline

Issued:

Risk area map for Day 1 Areal Outline

Summary

Marginal risk of severe thunderstorms including possible tornadoes, hail, and wind is expected across parts of the Southeast and Midwest through Tuesday. General thunderstorms are also forecast across much of the central and western United States.

Product Text

000 WUUS01 KWNS 220551 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1250 AM CDT TUE SEP 22 2026 VALID TIME 221200Z - 231200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... && ... HAIL ... 0.05 39011106 39031167 39151199 39471235 39981272 40641280 41191274 41541243 41781193 41831123 41591079 41411049 41001016 40421006 39951012 39441041 39011106 && ... WIND ... 0.05 33008404 32688500 31758848 31778967 32059028 32579042 33158985 34068816 35438559 36638296 36988135 37048048 36537951 35757920 34887936 34457982 33988083 33468244 33008404 0.05 39141200 39461237 39961272 40601280 41181273 41561242 41781193 41831123 41411048 40991016 40431006 39951010 39441039 39011105 39041167 39141200 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... MRGL 33158985 35438559 36638296 36988135 37048048 36537951 35757920 34887936 34457982 33988083 32688500 31758848 31778967 32059028 32579042 33158985 MRGL 41191274 41561242 41781193 41831123 41411048 41001016 40431006 39951010 39441039 39011105 39031167 39141200 39461237 39961272 40601280 41191274 TSTM 31501262 33491192 34401207 35771303 36481397 36701519 37071573 38371672 40951759 44101733 46051598 47051320 47291096 47380634 47250459 46580345 45980301 45050261 44040297 43100344 41960381 40360304 38280177 34270036 32749863 32069753 31959659 32319385 33359102 36528620 38218446 39268431 40978396 42098360 42598271 42898175 99999999 42898040 42438055 41808047 40607943 39517824 39227782 38487650 37327390 && THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SSE GWO 35 NW CHA 35 WNW TRI 25 SSW BLF 15 ESE PSK 10 WSW DAN 25 WSW RDU 25 S SOP 20 NNW FLO 15 ENE CAE 10 NNW CSG 45 SSE MEI 30 NW PIB 20 SSW JAN 25 NW JAN 30 SSE GWO THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 W OGD 30 NW OGD 35 SE MLD 40 NNW EVW 30 ENE EVW 50 NW VEL 30 W VEL 40 NE PUC 20 ESE PUC 45 SSW PUC 50 ESE U24 30 ESE U24 10 NE U24 20 SE DPG 30 NNE DPG 35 W OGD GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 100 S GBN 0 - PHX 25 SE PRC 50 WSW GCN 45 SSW SGU 45 N LAS 30 NNE DRA 30 NE TPH 10 ENE WMC 55 SSE BKE 20 WSW P69 25 N 3DU 25 SE GTF 60 SSE GGW 15 NE GDV 35 WSW DIK 35 NE 2WX 65 SSW Y22 0 - RAP 25 NW CDR 10 WNW BFF 15 NE AKO 50 ENE LAA 10 SSW CDS 35 W MWL 35 NNW ACT 10 WSW CRS 10 S SHV 10 SSW GLH 35 SSE BWG 15 NNE LEX 15 NNE LUK 15 WSW FDY 10 SE ARB 0 - MTC 60 ENE MTC ...CONT... 55 NNW ERI 30 NW ERI 25 SW ERI 20 N LBE 15 WNW MRB 15 SE MRB 15 NNW NHK 95 ESE WAL