Day 1 Areal Outline

Issued: 2026-06-16 13:00 UTC

Summary

Severe thunderstorms with risks of tornadoes, large hail, and damaging winds are expected across parts of the central and eastern United States on June 16. Marginal to slight risks of severe weather are forecast for various regions, including the Plains, Midwest, and Southeast, throughout the day.

Product Text

000 WUUS01 KWNS 161300 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0758 AM CDT TUE JUN 16 2026 VALID TIME 161300Z - 171200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 27939629 28839609 29589512 31089000 31718701 31678502 32208073 31918011 99999999 30048066 29538245 29348380 0.02 42378778 43398649 43228470 42908405 42358342 41258408 40608498 39888619 39498778 39688894 40258887 41228799 41838770 42378778 0.05 40788515 40088611 40348726 41328745 41748680 42488604 42508544 41778480 40788515 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 36169660 34630022 34490186 34850216 35490200 36780084 37619929 38189641 38049329 38019236 37159171 35889366 35999499 36169660 0.05 49970211 49030063 47709961 47419957 46449909 45469790 44979807 44789927 44820035 45000107 45260263 46100379 46560631 47450925 48611112 49661203 0.05 42508783 43568654 44028514 43928404 43058353 42498367 40328508 38988762 39368892 39738912 40528888 41458794 42508783 0.05 43109564 44009554 44329409 44349312 43479200 42729029 40648987 40449178 41729429 43109564 0.05 37447534 37647628 38327683 38707679 39087644 39147539 38747466 38277466 37447534 0.15 43149345 42929208 42279121 41509110 41069132 40969194 41659347 42319418 42679404 43149345 0.15 41318741 41878677 42878549 42688474 41398472 40428536 40038600 40178715 40668748 41318741 && ... WIND ... 0.05 49850200 49010060 47819970 47619959 46419900 45879815 45539786 44989801 44899877 45000057 45030108 45290266 46100375 46370583 46880779 47570965 48561127 49551218 0.05 35909372 36189652 35879754 34940026 34880098 35500127 36550052 37019989 37359887 38199639 38009236 37159164 35909372 0.05 27799612 28799608 29559522 30239303 31088977 31678711 31698507 31858346 32228074 31967994 99999999 30108051 29538253 29348387 0.05 42729124 41759017 40809011 40589087 40549170 41599418 42639489 43349426 43149234 42729124 0.05 37347483 37617631 38227694 38697691 39257651 39537598 39527476 39247330 0.05 43398487 42658258 41368294 40248401 39338562 38948672 39038765 39328887 39778912 40518890 41458790 42478784 43458654 43398487 0.15 42658475 42108451 41608452 40478522 40078608 40318704 40918711 41278686 42658475 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 41328745 42488604 42878549 42688474 42108451 41608452 40478522 40038600 40178715 40668748 41328745 SLGT 42679404 43149345 42929208 42279121 41509110 41069132 40969194 41659347 42319418 42679404 MRGL 30048066 29538245 29348380 99999999 27939629 28839609 29559522 31089000 31718701 31698507 32228074 31967994 MRGL 35490200 36780084 37619929 38199639 38019236 37159164 35889366 36169659 34630022 34490186 34850216 35490200 MRGL 44009554 44329409 44349312 43479200 42729029 40648987 40449178 41599418 43109564 44009554 MRGL 49500136 49010060 47709961 46419900 45879815 45539786 44989801 44789927 44820035 45260263 46100379 46370583 46880779 47570965 48561127 49521215 MRGL 37377499 37617631 38227694 38697691 39257651 39537598 39527476 39307363 MRGL 40518890 41458794 42508783 43568654 44028514 43928404 43058353 42968355 42658258 41368294 40248401 39338562 38948672 38988762 39328887 39738912 40518890 TSTM 27910054 30399869 31899679 33449368 34129015 34538347 34888039 35437893 36187790 36957747 37827735 38347726 38907725 39407695 39857647 40047565 40017448 39727353 99999999 32111695 32731708 33361720 34091704 34621673 35011586 35711339 35771175 35161027 33940890 33240829 32930771 33010710 33680544 34170392 35230255 36720099 38889937 40109754 40649676 40969644 41399640 41869664 43009933 43790274 44540567 45850914 47761312 48201379 49451648 99999999 45377258 44377321 42557491 41307659 39708072 37848451 36558783 35599163 35369525 34109883 32420045 30520160 29430209 99999999 49339627 47939453 47299267 47019074 47398928 47748780 48068652 && THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 WSW VPZ 30 NE BEH 0 - GRR 10 SW LAN 10 S JXN 45 S JXN 20 NNE MIE 25 NE IND 20 SW LAF 30 N DNV 25 WSW VPZ THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 NE FOD 0 - MCW 30 NNE ALO 25 WSW DBQ 30 W MLI 20 NNW BRL 30 ESE OTM 15 NE DSM 15 S FOD 10 NE FOD THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 E SGJ 15 SW GNV 45 WSW CTY ...CONT... 55 S PSX 10 NE PSX 10 SSE HOU 30 ESE MCB 20 N GZH 35 NE DHN 30 ENE SAV 65 S CHS THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NW AMA 20 SSE LBL 40 ESE DDC 15 SW EMP 20 NW TBN 30 NNE UNO 30 ESE FYV 35 NNE CQB 15 NNE CDS 25 NNW PVW 35 SW AMA 25 NW AMA THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 N OTG 10 NW MKT 40 S MSP 40 SE RST 35 S LNR 10 WSW PIA 40 SW BRL 25 W DSM 25 W SPW 25 N OTG THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 85 N MOT 60 NNE MOT 45 SW DVL 40 SSW JMS 30 NNE ABR 30 ENE ABR 40 SSE ABR 70 N 9V9 30 N PIR 50 SSW Y22 30 SE BHK 0 - MLS 85 NNE BIL 35 NNW LWT 75 N GTF 65 N CTB THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SE WAL 45 S NHK 30 W NHK 15 SSE DCA 10 ENE BWI 25 WSW ILG 10 WNW ACY 50 E ACY THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 0 - BMI 40 E MMO 20 S RAC 30 NNW MKG 35 SW HTL 25 N MBS 10 ENE FNT 10 E FNT 15 ENE MTC 45 NNW MFD 25 NNE DAY 45 SE IND 15 SSW BMG 35 SSW HUF 35 S DEC 15 WSW DEC 0 - BMI GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 WNW LRD 60 NNW SAT 25 WSW CRS 20 E TXK 45 N GWO 40 N AHN 40 SE CLT 30 SSW RDU 20 SSW RZZ 40 NNE RZZ 20 N RIC 35 SSW DCA 10 WNW DCA 20 NW BWI 30 SE CXY 25 N ILG 10 WSW NEL 50 ESE NEL ...CONT... 45 SSE SAN 0 - SAN 45 N SAN 25 ENE RAL 15 S DAG 55 ENE DAG 45 NE IGM 25 ESE GCN 25 ENE INW 65 ESE SOW 45 N SVC 30 SW TCS 20 SE TCS 15 NNE SRR 35 WSW CVS 55 S DHT 20 S LBL 30 W RSL 40 N CNK 15 S LNK 20 ENE LNK 30 SSW TQE 25 WNW TQE 55 S 9V9 25 SE RAP 15 NNW GCC 30 W BIL 75 N 3DU 25 ESE GPI 135 NNE GEG ...CONT... 35 NNW EFK 10 SSW BTV 50 SSE UCA 15 ENE IPT 35 S HLG 15 SSE LEX 20 WSW HOP 10 S BVX 20 SSE MKO 20 WNW SPS 45 W ABI 50 NE 6R6 45 S 6R6 ...CONT... 40 NW ROX 35 NNE BJI 10 SE HIB 35 NNE ASX 40 WNW CMX 50 NE CMX 115 NNE MQT