Day 1 Areal Outline

Issued:

Risk area map for Day 1 Areal Outline

Summary

Severe thunderstorms capable of producing tornadoes, large hail, and damaging wind are expected across parts of the central and southern United States throughout Tuesday. An enhanced risk of severe weather is particularly noted for areas spanning from eastern Oklahoma through parts of Arkansas and Mississippi.

Product Text

000 WUUS01 KWNS 141232 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0730 AM CDT TUE JUL 14 2026 VALID TIME 141300Z - 151200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 43076952 43207082 43417312 43797469 44497640 0.05 45826694 45106789 44556882 44156981 43977103 44167289 44407393 44727495 45017564 0.10 46797035 46406966 45896899 45416882 44946932 44767002 45067112 45477201 CIG1 43607154 43647244 43777361 44147497 44537577 44667580 44777574 44907566 45067542 45277495 45277380 45317238 45587118 45807088 46267064 46997021 47666946 47736899 47666817 47256759 46816747 45836745 44926786 44406851 44166896 43627104 43607154 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 44911208 45081349 45261420 45541447 46251396 47341279 47891203 48191108 48311010 48390841 48270784 47960714 47540686 46720729 46000770 45330828 45010901 44821003 44911208 0.05 42956959 43067059 43217185 43487375 43667496 44317666 0.15 45546715 45236767 44936836 44566928 44147065 44017170 44137317 44327397 44577482 44757527 44937560 CIG1 44546883 44147011 43997071 43887166 43927244 44027326 44277431 44457491 44637534 44797553 44977552 45077539 45257499 45277386 45337238 45577120 45797091 46647038 46737024 46796982 46686912 46336846 46056818 45836809 45576802 45226816 44866841 44546883 && ... WIND ... 0.05 45020898 44931004 45141146 45541268 46321331 47341280 48191162 48481084 48900892 49000752 48920658 48800564 48520500 47910502 46700654 45900721 45340824 45020898 0.05 42966959 43067061 43227193 43477371 43667495 44317667 0.05 26207961 26038054 26348155 27398208 27988223 28638185 29088138 29438052 0.15 45940867 45750973 45821106 46091177 46651226 47541147 48230965 48340827 48140764 47620733 46830734 46360779 45940867 0.15 43346930 43437032 43587174 43897370 44217491 44717608 0.30 46446724 45916762 45346818 44806890 44426990 44307069 44267168 44447294 44737396 45247527 CIG1 45536740 44746783 44246821 43946882 43706994 43867143 44347301 44727421 45137517 45247494 45277394 45247179 45537160 45577102 45957072 46237061 46837028 47676942 47736901 47656817 47226754 46626738 45836745 45536740 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... ENH 46196742 45346818 44806890 44426990 44307069 44267168 44447294 44737396 45177509 SLGT 43346930 43587174 43897370 44217491 44717608 SLGT 47541147 48230965 48340827 48140764 47620733 46830734 46360779 45940867 45750973 45821106 46091177 46651226 47541147 MRGL 26207961 26038054 26348155 27398208 27988223 28638185 29088138 29438052 MRGL 42966969 43667496 44317667 MRGL 46251396 47341280 48191162 48481084 48900892 49000752 48800564 48520500 47910502 46700654 45900721 45010901 44821003 44911208 45081349 45261420 45541447 46251396 TSTM 43538128 44178304 44648455 45278642 45308900 45619087 46079301 46499450 46859589 47079735 47349945 47440072 47520225 47650345 47590412 47340493 46680599 45650672 45170673 44600667 43900701 43580784 43270850 43030888 42450957 41850975 41280958 40250886 40080846 40090759 40090671 39880614 39250560 38180521 36470393 35940309 35420228 35220195 35260175 35430174 36380170 36920107 37070085 37190002 37139945 37199840 37379781 37269710 36899633 36499561 36599499 36869487 37269429 37359361 37429244 37219048 37408921 37558786 37198593 36598420 36048344 35598315 35258274 35078255 34718083 34977860 35717536 35837456 99999999 27009639 27349705 27699809 27799911 27290013 99999999 42456974 42897179 43117350 43247563 44237830 99999999 31661666 33891753 34491755 34761736 34921711 35041699 35201684 35511690 35721726 35781775 35861845 36581899 37571976 39162079 39882170 40152191 40232204 40122235 39932243 39482249 39052236 38722260 39002332 40372382 41472420 41852401 42112363 42072333 42412255 43012230 43652216 44152208 44672183 45302171 45492142 45642110 45981917 46401800 46581731 46511681 46381655 46241625 46281567 46491531 47051479 47941389 48811299 49891232 && THERE IS A ENHANCED RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 ENE HUL 50 NE BGR 0 - BGR 10 NW AUG 35 SE BML 20 W MWN 10 E BTV 25 NNE SLK 20 NW MSS THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 ESE PWM 15 W LCI 40 N GFL 50 S MSS 50 N ART THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 0 - GTF 25 SSE HVR 70 ESE HVR 45 W GGW 55 SW GGW 75 WNW MLS 50 NE BIL 10 NW BIL 45 S 3HT 0 - BZN 35 SSE HLN 15 WNW HLN 0 - GTF THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SE PBI 25 NW MIA 20 NE APF 30 E SRQ 30 E PIE 30 W ORL 20 WSW DAB 35 ENE DAB THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 SSE PWM 40 NNE UCA 40 NW ART THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 S MSO 50 NNE 3DU 50 NNW GTF 50 W HVR 45 ENE HVR 70 NW GGW 50 N OLF 40 NE OLF 30 ESE OLF 35 WNW MLS 80 N SHR 35 N COD 65 SSE LVM 25 NNE MQM 20 E SMN 20 WNW SMN 40 NW SMN 45 S MSO GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 85 E BAX 25 N BAX 20 NNE HTL 45 SE ESC 30 SE RHI 65 S ASX 65 SW DLH 20 WNW BRD 0 - DTL 25 WNW FAR 45 NW JMS 45 N BIS 40 WSW N60 40 SSE ISN 10 SSE SDY 15 NNW GDV 20 NNW MLS 60 NNE SHR 30 NNE SHR 20 SE SHR 60 S SHR 30 SSE WRL 15 N RIW 15 NNW LND 30 ESE BPI 40 WNW RKS 35 SW RKS 35 ESE VEL 65 N GJT 30 S CAG 30 NNE EGE 45 ENE EGE 55 SW DEN 40 W PUB 35 ESE RTN 35 S CAO 35 WNW AMA 15 W AMA 0 - AMA 15 N AMA 25 SSW GUY 10 SSW LBL 0 - LBL 40 S DDC 55 SSE DDC 10 SE P28 30 SW ICT 30 SE ICT 20 WNW BVO 25 NE TUL 15 W GMJ 20 NNW GMJ 15 ENE JLN 15 NW SGF 30 SW TBN 30 N POF 25 S MDH 40 SSW EVV 30 ENE BWG 35 S LOZ 35 ENE TYS 30 SW HSS 15 SW AVL 25 S AVL 35 S CLT 15 E FAY 35 NNE HSE 75 NE HSE ...CONT... 85 SE CRP 40 SE CRP 0 - ALI 30 NE LRD 45 WSW LRD ...CONT... 60 NNE HYA 25 SW CON 15 SSE GFL 15 WNW UCA 85 NNW ROC ...CONT... 65 S CZZ 0 - RAL 35 SE EDW 30 ESE EDW 20 WNW DAG 20 NW DAG 25 N DAG 45 N DAG 25 E NID 10 NNW NID 45 NE BFL 45 ESE FAT 55 N FAT 45 WNW TVL 35 ESE RBL 20 E RBL 10 ENE RBL 0 - RBL 20 SSW RBL 50 SSW RBL 45 E UKI 45 SE UKI 10 SW UKI 35 SSE EKA 20 S CEC 10 ENE CEC 35 E 4BK 30 SW MFR 15 E MFR 55 NNE MFR 60 ESE EUG 45 W RDM 45 NW RDM 35 SW DLS 15 SW DLS 0 - DLS 25 NW PDT 25 NNE ALW 15 SW PUW 15 NE LWS 20 E LWS 30 WNW P69 10 NNW P69 25 NNE P69 35 WNW MSO 30 SSE GPI 30 WNW CTB 90 N CTB