Day 1 Areal Outline

Issued: 2026-07-15 12:02 UTC

Summary

Marginal risks of tornadoes, hail, and wind are expected across various regions including parts of the central and southern United States on Wednesday, July 15. Severe thunderstorms are also forecast for multiple areas throughout the day.

Product Text

000 WUUS01 KWNS 151202 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0700 AM CDT WED JUL 15 2026 VALID TIME 151300Z - 161200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 29160130 29770105 30190041 30309949 30249884 29669825 29099825 28499862 28299961 28270058 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 39147357 40417702 41017713 41507622 41557442 41177218 40847096 && ... WIND ... 0.05 39147357 40417702 41017713 41507622 41557442 41177218 40847096 0.05 45847123 45306936 43706793 99999999 43116959 43687078 44077160 44447254 44677312 45267309 0.05 44461012 45311055 46251032 46760955 46890829 46360715 45270687 44450750 43950924 44010980 44461012 0.05 31671347 32801415 33851437 34631422 35081411 35401353 35271310 35011238 34721163 34211089 33231024 31581037 30961044 0.05 45142163 45872126 46562052 46771970 46681884 46011836 45211860 44291947 43472156 43642193 44102191 45142163 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... MRGL 29160130 29770105 30190041 30309949 30249884 29669825 29099825 28499862 28299961 28270058 MRGL 31671347 32801415 33851437 35081411 35401353 34721163 34211089 33231024 30961044 MRGL 39197372 40417702 41017713 41507622 41557442 41177218 40847096 MRGL 45827117 45306936 43706793 99999999 43116959 44077160 44677312 45267309 MRGL 44102191 45142163 45872126 46562052 46771970 46681884 46011836 45211860 44291947 43472156 43642193 44102191 MRGL 46251032 46760955 46890829 46360715 45270687 44450750 43950924 44010980 44461012 45311055 46251032 TSTM 48989304 48179294 47439316 47189373 47139468 47169695 47740016 47340421 44920454 43680569 42250782 41770810 41050815 40780765 41000689 41190600 40780530 39690468 38600448 37350357 35610305 35520127 36989987 37709828 38559707 38829218 38388791 36858538 35088191 33327761 99999999 43848041 42907760 42427527 42207334 42427191 42827058 43667147 44197315 44947470 45567516 99999999 42831465 42661308 43331293 43781416 44451499 45701517 46421418 47221472 48301587 48331710 47621817 46961843 45871709 45211693 44091711 43571706 43401664 43281574 42831465 99999999 32331518 34321538 35491626 36341717 36511817 36911897 37601944 38291961 39131871 40271806 41541852 41961979 42262220 42972292 43342289 46412451 99999999 25819673 26609736 27059849 26909980 99999999 38647409 40347929 40648058 41328432 42578983 43989301 45339377 45569234 44728953 43788747 43358502 43328370 43558133 && THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 WSW DRT 30 NNW DRT 45 WSW JCT 25 SE JCT 55 NNW SAT 15 WSW BAZ 35 SSE SAT 35 E COT 25 WSW COT 80 SSE DRT THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 100 SSW GBN 30 ENE YUM 25 NE BLH 15 SW IGM 25 ENE IGM 30 S FLG 55 S INW 45 NW SAD 45 S FHU THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 ESE ACY 15 NW CXY 20 SSW IPT 30 WNW AVP 20 ESE MSV 15 SSW GON 40 SE BID THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 80 N BML 45 NW BGR 55 SSE BHB ...CONT... 50 SE PWM 20 SW MWN 15 N BTV 55 N BTV THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 WSW RDM 40 SW DLS 20 NNW DLS 0 - YKM 40 SSW EPH 50 NNW ALW 0 - ALW 35 SSE PDT 55 NNW BNO 60 SSW RDM 55 SW RDM 40 WSW RDM THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 WSW 3HT 20 S LWT 75 N BIL 60 W MLS 35 N SHR 35 SW SHR 40 SSW COD 50 SW COD 50 ESE WEY 25 S LVM 25 WSW 3HT GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NNE INL 35 SE INL 15 WNW HIB 55 NNE BRD 30 SSE BJI 20 NNW FAR 70 NNE BIS 25 S SDY 55 SE 4BQ 45 S GCC 45 NW RWL 45 W RWL 50 NW CAG 20 NNW CAG 50 NE CAG 20 WSW LAR 25 NNW FCL 10 ESE DEN 20 N PUB 50 S LHX 40 SW DHT 15 SSE BGD 50 N GAG 35 NNE P28 35 ESE SLN 0 - COU 30 NW EVV 65 NNW CSV 10 NNE SPA 70 SSE ILM ...CONT... 120 N ERI 15 SSE ROC 50 S UCA 15 S PSF 10 N ORH 20 SSE PSM 0 - LCI 20 S BTV 0 - MSS 45 NNW MSS ...CONT... 25 NNW TWF 30 SW PIH 35 NNW PIH 20 NNE SUN 75 NNW SUN 35 SE P69 35 S MSO 35 NW MSO 55 NNW 3TH 55 NNE GEG 30 W GEG 60 N ALW 35 S LWS 45 WNW MYL 60 SE BKE 40 W BOI 25 WSW BOI 30 SE BOI 25 NNW TWF ...CONT... 40 SSE IPL 55 SW EED 55 NNE DAG 55 NNE NID 60 S BIH 45 SW BIH 60 NNE FAT 45 SSE TVL 25 S NFL 30 ENE LOL 60 NW WMC 35 ESE LKV 25 WNW LMT 40 N MFR 55 SSE EUG 35 WNW AST ...CONT... 45 E BRO 45 N BRO 55 SSW ALI 50 SSW LRD ...CONT... 60 SSE ACY 0 - LBE 20 WNW PIT 30 WSW TOL 50 SSE LNR 25 W RST 20 SE STC 65 NW EAU 10 ESE CWA 25 SSE MTW 40 NE GRR 25 N FNT 85 E BAX