Mesoscale Discussion 1575
Issued: · Valid: –
Summary
Scattered thunderstorms will move across the central Carolinas and far eastern Georgia this afternoon and evening, bringing a risk of isolated damaging wind gusts up to 60 mph.
Product Text
000 ACUS11 KWNS 101932 SWOMCD SPC MCD 101932 NCZ000-SCZ000-GAZ000-102130- Mesoscale Discussion 1575 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0232 PM CDT Fri Jul 10 2026 Areas affected...portions of the central Carolinas and far eastern Georgia Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 101932Z - 102130Z Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent SUMMARY...Widely scattered convection will progress eastward across the Carolina Piedmont this afternoon, bringing a risk for isolated damaging wind gusts. DISCUSSION...Widely scattered convection has developed amid a hot and humid air mass (temperatures in the upper 90s and dewpoints in the mid-60s to near 70 F) in place across the Southeast, with a couple of reports of thunderstorm wind damage noted over the past hour. Two areas of greater convective coverage are noted via recent radar imagery: one in the vicinity of Charlotte, NC, and the other in western SC. Weak effective shear and deep-layer flow (generally 25 kts or less sampled through the column by the CAE VWP) will limit convective organization and severity, but steep low-level lapse rates (8.5-9.0 C/km) and high PW (1.75+ inches) will facilitate a risk for isolated damaging wind gusts as this convection progresses eastward through this evening. A locally greater risk for damaging wind gusts will likely manifest with any more marginally organized clusters that can develop/persist. Given the limited potential for storm organization and the expectation for the severe magnitude to remain limited, watch issuance is not expected. ..Chalmers/Smith.. 07/10/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...RAH...ILM...CAE...GSP...FFC... LAT...LON 35618090 35798074 35968040 35997997 35947951 35797922 35427914 34807935 34217975 33718029 33478089 33228150 33178177 33228207 33338237 33538261 33808275 34098273 34338248 34488204 34748157 35028132 35318119 35478105 35618090 MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH