Day 1 Areal Outline

Issued: 2026-06-22 19:58 UTC

Summary

Severe thunderstorms capable of producing tornadoes, large hail, and damaging winds are expected throughout much of the central and eastern United States on Monday. A marginal risk of these severe storms is forecast for a broad area spanning from the Atlantic coast toward the Rockies, while a slight risk is present for parts of the Mid-Atlantic and Upper Midwest.

Product Text

000 WUUS01 KWNS 221958 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0257 PM CDT MON JUN 22 2026 VALID TIME 222000Z - 231200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 35398416 34498472 33088655 32718879 32509033 32879082 33479076 33859046 34288991 35658804 36208642 36178535 35938481 35398416 0.02 38327433 38327657 38377750 38777844 39538004 39818020 40367987 40797787 40987558 40877398 40217296 0.02 43160339 42490227 41470168 40180140 39210158 38090179 37270209 37130273 37210320 37580438 38350489 39490472 40530468 42580542 43580600 44280665 45110651 45480587 45320481 44390421 43160339 0.05 40680409 41340405 41690381 41810348 41820299 41650253 41030219 40460216 39730260 39650330 40120378 40680409 0.05 35208730 35278592 34808566 34398570 34018603 33628751 34118813 34858807 35208730 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 36908138 39687854 40897482 40407423 39727452 38627577 37557682 37067771 36157976 35698072 35378146 35678202 36908138 0.05 40400535 41540540 44160703 44820887 45691014 46641033 47150964 47390722 47470557 47030248 46200168 42380101 38780010 36339951 34959809 34529708 34229601 33729582 33109591 32839621 32749709 32789844 32279968 31580030 31180197 31550245 32710265 34220108 34950161 35520356 36980449 38520525 40400535 0.15 37380384 38820458 39620428 40430447 42240535 43280601 44550670 45120714 45570657 45850584 45410455 44560366 42510208 39940134 38820126 37740123 37080199 36960332 37380384 CIG1 42800178 39100089 37110056 36270160 36130335 37070436 38550484 39980440 42910603 44080669 44290680 44520663 45290621 45340490 44700339 42800178 CIG1 32740223 33840059 34339802 33969667 33349674 32979863 32630011 32150052 31630124 31480191 32010228 32740223 && ... WIND ... 0.05 36167448 35537657 34287825 32678194 32088423 31568692 31409197 31989540 32599808 32799925 32100003 31410095 31180197 31550244 32700264 33340204 34280101 34590127 35050175 35710298 37810468 38540493 40820456 43390582 45060751 45880763 47450565 47260415 46110325 43910213 42380103 38740008 36309950 35169784 34679673 34059516 33819303 34129163 35009007 36248781 37098587 38508439 40678125 41317345 40747235 40027187 0.15 37257478 37067597 36427735 35507845 34868014 34018314 32968628 32188853 32459005 32609071 32949092 33639062 34728963 34938839 35398705 36568500 40348010 40777794 40977451 40877393 39887256 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 37207509 37067597 36427735 35507845 34868014 34018314 32188853 32609071 32949092 33639062 34728963 34938839 35398705 36568500 40348010 40777794 40977451 40877393 40057279 SLGT 45570657 45850584 45410455 44560366 42510208 39940134 37740123 37080199 36960332 37380384 38820458 39620428 40430447 42240535 44550670 45120714 45570657 MRGL 36027496 35537657 34287825 32678194 32088423 31568692 31409197 31989540 32699866 32279968 31580030 31180197 31550245 32710265 34220108 34960166 35520356 36980449 38520525 41540540 44160703 44820887 45691014 46641033 47150964 47390722 47470557 47030248 46200168 42380101 36339951 35169784 34059516 33819303 34129163 36248781 37098587 38508439 40678125 41317345 40747235 40307206 TSTM 50059690 48589626 47319584 45899558 44769553 43639616 42449723 40779817 39369854 37989821 37439788 36989724 36799651 36709582 36769492 37159360 37369177 37268999 37518847 37948756 39048621 40198447 41118252 41927954 42367528 43527422 44157376 44737386 45077425 45677532 99999999 28559019 29569091 30009243 30379454 31079737 31119838 30849951 29860092 28760133 99999999 29330456 31250387 33600329 34130340 34970382 36440536 37410611 39500714 40300775 40740864 40980941 41160978 41691014 42170997 43160962 44571024 45511117 46261280 46771462 47521554 50011711 && THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 SSE WAL 15 NE ORF 20 E RZZ 25 W GSB 55 NNW FLO 10 ENE AHN 15 SE MEI 40 WNW JAN 35 S GLH 25 ENE GLH 25 NNW UOX 50 NNE TUP 55 NNW HSV 40 N CSV 15 SSE PIT 0 - UNV 25 NW EWR 20 NNW JFK 55 SSE ISP THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 NNE SHR 40 S MLS 40 E 4BQ 45 NW RAP 50 NE AIA 45 SSE IML 30 WSW GCK 0 - EHA 35 NNW CAO 30 ENE TAD 10 E COS 35 ESE DEN 30 E FCL 35 S DGW 20 SE SHR 25 NNW SHR 60 NNE SHR THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 NNE HSE 40 NE EWN 20 W ILM 40 NE VDI 40 N ABY 10 NE GZH 20 E ESF 25 S TYR 35 W MWL 10 S ABI 20 NE SJT 55 SSE MAF 30 SSW MAF 35 E HOB 35 E PVW 20 S AMA 25 N TCC 20 N RTN 35 SW COS 20 NE LAR 40 S SHR 20 NNE COD 15 E LVM 30 WNW 3HT 10 NW LWT 65 SSW GGW 45 S OLF 20 NE DIK 30 NE Y22 25 N MHN 15 E GAG 10 ENE CHK 35 NNE PRX 40 NNW ELD 15 ESE PBF 35 SW CKV 30 ENE BWG 35 NNE LEX 20 SSE CAK 20 WNW BDR 45 SSW GON 65 SSW BID GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 90 N HCO 35 N TVF 35 N DTL 10 W AXN 25 WNW RWF 30 E FSD 35 NNE OFK 15 SSE GRI 40 NNE RSL 20 WSW HUT 30 WSW ICT 20 NNW PNC 25 W BVO 10 ESE BVO 15 NW GMJ 15 WSW SGF 35 SE TBN 25 W CGI 35 NNE PAH 0 - EVV 25 ESE BMG 25 NNW DAY 20 N MFD 20 SW JHW 35 ENE BGM 35 WNW GFL 25 SE SLK 30 NE SLK 30 ENE MSS 55 NNW MSS ...CONT... 70 SW BVE 15 W HUM 25 NW 7R4 40 NW BPT 0 - TPL 60 SE BWD 25 NE JCT 35 N DRT 50 SSW DRT ...CONT... 80 SSW MRF 55 SW INK 55 S CVS 20 SSW CVS 20 SW TCC 55 NNW LVS 15 W ALS 15 SW EGE 20 SW CAG 50 ENE VEL 40 N VEL 50 NNW VEL 60 S BPI 30 SSE BPI 45 NNE BPI 45 E WEY 20 S BZN 25 NW BTM 30 WSW MSO 10 SW 3TH 165 N GEG