Day 1 Areal Outline

Issued: 2026-07-11 05:59 UTC

Summary

Slight risks of severe thunderstorms, including potential tornadoes, hail, and wind, are expected across parts of the central and southern United States on Saturday. Marginal risks for severe thunderstorms will also affect areas spanning from the Southwest through the Southern Plains.

Product Text

000 WUUS01 KWNS 110559 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1257 AM CDT SAT JUL 11 2026 VALID TIME 111200Z - 121200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 36518748 36558855 36548951 36649017 36929054 37359065 37629048 37998995 38298905 38328822 38138743 37898706 37558655 37368633 37088624 36838635 36628669 36518748 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 34389089 34489159 34759287 35079429 35289522 35499596 35659629 35869647 36289637 36529622 36679597 36739521 36879318 36979200 37509065 37978996 38388899 38338817 38138739 37628662 36868566 35878512 35148510 34728543 34288602 34198656 34158763 34389089 && ... WIND ... 0.05 31701369 32401292 32791216 33291102 33620979 33820843 34220737 35090634 36340521 36940412 37170278 37389957 37359679 37449436 37659282 37969208 38339168 38839118 39299053 39558967 39918421 39877960 39417691 38777546 38147443 99999999 29488053 29498131 29698273 30028409 30708553 31598674 32218786 32939027 33379193 34309568 34399753 34259937 33960095 32990470 32300590 31730656 31200692 0.15 34389092 34459148 34629232 34739279 34929359 34999396 35189489 35399535 35709564 35929567 36149556 36499521 36669457 36839328 36989201 37469072 37998996 38308908 38338817 38138742 37718674 36878566 35908513 35178508 34728540 34318597 34188654 34158764 34389092 0.15 31431276 31971222 32301164 32601085 32651021 32460964 32150927 31780917 31050918 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 31431276 31971222 32301164 32601085 32651021 32460964 32150927 31780917 31050918 SLGT 36149556 36499521 36669457 36989201 37469072 37998996 38308908 38338817 38138742 37718674 36878566 35908513 35178508 34728540 34318597 34188654 34158764 34389092 35189489 35399535 35709564 35929567 36149556 MRGL 29488053 29498131 29698273 30028409 30708553 31598674 32218786 32939027 34309568 34399753 34259937 33960095 32990470 32300590 31730656 31290686 99999999 31701369 32401292 33291102 33620979 33820843 34220737 35090634 36340521 36940412 37170278 37389957 37359679 37449436 37659282 37969208 38839118 39299053 39558967 39918421 39877960 39417691 38777546 38177447 TSTM 48198631 47498647 46458691 46088747 45708824 45138950 45019033 45259215 46199337 46999411 47589452 49959496 99999999 32021485 32301463 32711414 33091341 33381317 33771304 34281342 35051318 35401288 35501246 35411169 35251126 35051085 34831027 34700975 34690920 34760878 34950849 35440806 36150781 37250750 38420668 39840620 40740597 42220537 43460477 44440454 44800418 45010350 44630264 44230229 43300205 42470211 42010241 41620264 40910281 40410282 39930268 39660246 39300190 39150162 38770071 38539968 38239836 38199693 38159578 38139510 38159470 38249398 38379371 38619351 39119329 39639276 40479200 40988998 41468700 41458401 41578121 41797847 42277687 42437599 42257506 42067432 41297387 40747335 40207251 40077188 99999999 29950490 29950417 30050373 30150356 30280324 30360300 30560275 30690249 30870226 31030191 31380107 31560021 31989703 31989671 32069652 32149637 32229618 32439601 32569598 32729598 32839597 33029607 33169616 33249632 33299658 33499706 33469768 33050083 32370377 31690544 30750608 && THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 105 S GBN 70 SSE GBN 40 WNW TUS 35 N TUS 35 WSW SAD 25 S SAD 50 NNE DUG 35 NE DUG 40 SE DUG THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 ESE TUL 25 WSW GMJ 10 ENE GMJ 20 NNW UNO 25 SW FAM 30 ENE FAM 10 W MVN 40 E MVN 10 NE EVV 25 E OWB 45 E BWG 0 - CSV 10 NE CHA 25 SSW CHA 25 NNE GAD 30 WNW GAD 40 S MSL 65 N GLH 20 NW RKR 20 S MKO 15 W MKO 25 SSE TUL 20 ESE TUL THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 ENE DAB 25 NW DAB 25 E CTY 30 SSE TLH 25 WSW MAI 20 ENE GZH 50 W SEM 40 SSW GWO 40 S MLC 30 WNW ADM 30 SSW LTS 45 ESE PVW 25 SSW ROW 40 SSE ALM 10 WSW ELP 45 SW ELP ...CONT... 85 SE YUM 40 SSW GBN 60 E PHX 45 SSE SOW 85 N SVC 30 WNW ONM 15 ENE ABQ 50 N LVS 25 SSE TAD 10 SW SPD 35 SE DDC 45 NNE PNC 20 NNE JLN 40 W TBN 15 N TBN 45 W STL 40 NNW STL 20 S SPI 0 - DAY 25 NE MGW 20 NW BWI 25 S DOV 55 ENE WAL GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 130 NNE MQT 85 NE MQT 30 E MQT 30 S MQT 10 SW IMT 15 NNE AUW 35 WNW CWA 40 NW EAU 40 ESE BRD 40 N BRD 20 ENE BJI 75 NNE RRT ...CONT... 45 SSW YUM 25 S YUM 25 E YUM 45 WNW GBN 40 NW GBN 60 NNW GBN 60 WSW PRC 45 ESE IGM 60 NNW PRC 35 SSW GCN 20 N FLG 25 ENE FLG 10 WNW INW 30 ESE INW 35 NNE SOW 55 ENE SOW 50 S GUP 35 WSW GNT 20 NNW GNT 50 SSE FMN 15 ENE DRO 15 ESE GUC 40 ENE EGE 45 SSW LAR 35 S DGW 60 NNE DGW 50 E GCC 60 SSW 2WX 40 S 2WX 45 NNE RAP 35 WNW PHP 55 SSW PHP 45 NE AIA 20 E AIA 30 SSE AIA 15 SE SNY 25 NE AKO 35 ESE AKO 30 NNW ITR 10 WSW GLD 15 SSE GLD 60 N GCK 55 NNE DDC 30 WNW HUT 45 NE ICT 25 ESE EMP 40 NNE CNU 50 S OJC 40 SW SZL 25 SSW SZL 10 SSE SZL 30 NNE SZL 35 SSW IRK 40 NE IRK 25 NW PIA 0 - VPZ 15 SW TOL 35 NW YNG 10 E BFD 0 - ELM 15 N BGM 40 NNW MSV 35 NE MSV 25 S POU 15 WSW ISP 50 SE ISP 80 SSW BID ...CONT... 60 WSW MRF 30 SSW MRF 30 SE MRF 30 ESE MRF 50 SSW FST 40 S FST 25 SSE FST 30 ESE FST 40 E FST 65 SSE MAF 35 W SJT 20 NE SJT 25 NNE ACT 20 W CRS 0 - CRS 10 NNE CRS 20 NE CRS 35 NE CRS 35 WNW TYR 40 NW TYR 45 NW TYR 45 ENE DAL 45 ENE DAL 40 SSE GYI 30 S GYI 25 SW GYI 50 NNW FTW 70 NE BGS 30 E CNM 40 WSW GDP 75 SSE ELP