Mesoscale Discussion 2067

Issued:  ·  Valid: –

Risk area map for Mesoscale Discussion 2067

Summary

Scattered thunderstorms may bring isolated damaging wind gusts to portions of the central Gulf Coast and central/southern Georgia through this evening. These wind gusts are expected to reach speeds between 55 and 70 mph.

Product Text

000 ACUS11 KWNS 211810 SWOMCD SPC MCD 211810 GAZ000-FLZ000-ALZ000-212015- Mesoscale Discussion 2067 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0110 PM CDT Fri Aug 21 2026 Areas affected...portions of the central Gulf Coast into central/southern Georgia Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 211810Z - 212015Z Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent SUMMARY...Widely scattered to scattered thunderstorms may pose a risk for isolated damaging downburst wind gusts through this evening. Watch issuance appears unlikely at this time. DISCUSSION...Isolated thunderstorms are ongoing across west-central Alabama and southern Georgia as of 1800 UTC, with additional development expected along a remnant outflow boundary and within pockets of modestly enhanced surface convergence across the region through the afternoon. High PW (1.75-2.0+ inches) and steepening low-level lapse rates will foster at least an isolated risk for damaging wind gusts with water-loaded downbursts; however, marginally cooler temperatures (low 90s F) and modestly weaker low-to-mid level flow (less than 15-20 kts per area VWPs) suggest the coverage and magnitude of the severe risk may be somewhat more limited compared to areas farther west. Given this, the need for a Severe Thunderstorm Watch is more uncertain but appears unlikely at this time. Trends will continue to be monitored, and a watch could be considered should a corridor of greater damaging wind gust potential become evident. ..Chalmers/Smith.. 08/21/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...CHS...CAE...JAX...FFC...TAE...BMX...MOB... LAT...LON 30618401 30338569 30488632 30828677 31338705 31938709 32268681 32498648 33168410 33328308 33228222 33018191 32638160 32308146 31788150 31268179 30998225 30838276 30618401 MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH