Day 1 Areal Outline

Issued:

Risk area map for Day 1 Areal Outline

Summary

Severe thunderstorms, including potential tornadoes, hail, and damaging winds, are forecast for parts of the central and southern United States through Friday. Marginal and slight risks of these severe weather phenomena extend across a wide range of areas from the Southern Plains through the Midwest and into the Northeast.

Product Text

000 WUUS01 KWNS 101955 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0253 PM CDT FRI JUL 10 2026 VALID TIME 102000Z - 111200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 38828840 36988834 36658890 37259000 37769148 37639361 38069481 38869579 39549598 40019536 40349425 40429261 40009063 39418907 38828840 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 46079492 45389503 43089646 42849686 42579763 42589807 42789832 43149852 45199811 46159734 46439651 46439574 46329515 46079492 0.05 36379040 36489252 36879627 36599904 36210039 35460145 34850230 34600300 34700375 35060427 35600447 36250452 38770485 39560461 39890384 39860293 39520206 39210115 38990005 38899828 39189691 40159568 40529454 40599258 40439050 40068928 39678861 39068806 38418790 37678808 37018849 36478915 36379040 && ... WIND ... 0.05 28888342 28998284 28928243 28688205 28318186 26698127 26088152 25658212 0.05 31538053 32388213 33848582 35319006 35999294 36239634 36139742 35829876 35449980 34290211 33810300 33790349 33920387 34620436 38760485 39570460 39890386 39850287 39330189 38970126 38600014 38519830 39189690 40189570 40559461 40629268 40469045 39828839 38968645 38298508 37458360 37268261 37398159 37728048 38387958 39087930 39667970 39628123 39618283 39798374 40258433 41018443 41428380 41468285 41808081 42257919 42357799 42097653 41647539 40677426 40017385 39377360 0.05 43129853 45199811 46159736 46429654 46429576 46329516 46059493 45399503 43079646 42849684 42569762 42589806 42799835 43129853 0.05 31501292 32431227 33531103 33641077 33501033 32760894 32350864 30960878 0.15 35440221 35540292 35980346 36500381 37530397 38230379 38510347 38680266 38420200 37910156 37390123 37010116 36330109 35790132 35470161 35440221 0.15 39559537 40139486 40249464 40249401 40249339 40249236 40069163 39369013 38518871 38088818 37488804 36968836 36658892 36698992 36899088 36989202 36989323 37109464 37309538 37789568 38529563 39559537 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 38230379 38510347 38680266 38420200 37390123 36330109 35790132 35470161 35440221 35540292 35980346 36500381 37530397 38230379 SLGT 38529563 39559537 40139486 40249464 40249236 40069163 39369013 38518871 38088818 37488804 36968836 36658892 36698992 36899088 36989202 36989323 37109464 37309538 37789568 38529563 MRGL 28888342 28998284 28928243 28688205 28318186 26698127 26088152 25658212 MRGL 31501292 32431227 33531103 33641077 33501033 32760894 32350864 30960878 MRGL 31538053 32388213 33848582 35319006 35999294 36239634 36139742 35829876 35449980 33810300 33790349 33920387 34620436 38760485 39560461 39890386 39860293 39210115 38990005 38899828 39189691 40189570 40559461 40629268 40469045 39828839 38298508 37458360 37268261 37398159 37728048 38387958 39087930 39667970 39618283 39798374 40258433 41018443 41428380 41468285 41808081 42257919 42357799 42097653 41647539 40677426 40017385 39377360 MRGL 45199811 46159736 46439651 46439574 46329515 46079492 45389503 43079646 42849684 42569762 42589807 42799835 43129853 45199811 TSTM 31501364 33471169 34581109 35111052 35550971 35710913 35790852 35830805 35810769 35970732 36190702 36440679 36820670 37460680 37940708 38940828 39580985 39781056 40061138 40731279 41871445 42241481 42711502 43301477 44941380 45351345 46081228 46910983 47220607 47090499 46900402 46640348 46210315 44510319 42520334 42020334 41510311 41270292 40960242 40840198 40960146 41130106 41380073 41960055 46289973 47069983 47530018 47990248 48280317 49550457 99999999 48798819 47539106 46749250 46119318 45579315 45319283 45339211 45579109 45889005 45988890 45938786 45728735 45468719 44848730 44468739 43878803 43558810 43238792 42998671 42988615 43328374 43548132 99999999 29320219 29890158 30330095 30540042 30819973 31049910 31339833 31959646 32449446 32909286 33109261 33469229 33959224 34549258 35149340 35499449 35529571 35309824 35039928 33850109 33130213 32580293 31740384 31030445 30280517 99999999 43327946 43077626 42907375 42577106 42066916 && THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NW LHX 35 N LHX 40 N LAA 45 ENE LAA 30 NNW LBL 35 SE GUY 10 NE BGD 20 NNE AMA 30 WNW AMA 40 SSW DHT 35 SSW CAO 35 W CAO 25 NE TAD 20 NW LHX THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 S TOP 25 WNW FLV 25 N STJ 35 NNE STJ 15 NE IRK 25 WNW UIN 30 N ALN 15 NNE MVN 35 W EVV 45 SW EVV 25 ESE PAH 30 SSW PAH 30 E POF 25 WNW POF 20 NNW UNO 20 SSE SGF 10 WSW JLN 25 SSE CNU 15 NW CNU 40 S TOP THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 SSW CTY 40 WSW OCF 20 SW OCF 35 SSE OCF 35 WSW ORL 40 ENE FMY 15 ESE APF 40 SSW APF THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 100 S GBN 45 SE GBN 55 E PHX 60 SW SOW 55 SSW SOW 40 E SAD 35 SW SVC 60 SE DUG THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 SE SAV 20 NE VDI 20 N ANB 20 NNW MEM 25 SSE HRO 25 W TUL 30 ESE END 40 NE CSM 35 WNW CSM 45 SSE CVS 40 SSW CVS 45 SW CVS 60 SW TCC 10 WSW COS 20 SE DEN 45 NNW LIC 25 SE AKO 30 ESE GLD 30 SSW HLC 30 E RSL 15 WNW MHK 10 NW FNB 35 W LWD 35 SSW OTM 40 ESE BRL 15 SSW CMI 30 NW LEX 15 WSW JKL 55 NNW TRI 20 WNW BLF 10 WSW SSU 35 SSE EKN 30 ENE EKN 10 E MGW 25 S CMH 25 ESE DAY 25 NNW DAY 40 E FWA 10 S TOL 45 NNW MFD 40 N YNG 10 NNE JHW 55 SSW ROC 20 ESE ELM 25 NE AVP 0 - EWR 25 E NEL 55 E ACY THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SE ABR 60 SSW FAR 35 SSE FAR 30 SSE DTL 35 NNE AXN 25 ENE AXN 40 SSE AXN 40 SSE FSD 30 E YKN 30 SSW YKN 30 ENE ONL 30 NE ONL 45 N ONL 25 SE ABR GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 95 SE YUM 20 E PHX 35 SW INW 15 ENE INW 50 W GUP 25 NW GUP 25 NE GUP 45 N GNT 45 NNE GNT 20 W 4SL 10 NNW 4SL 30 NNE 4SL 55 NNE 4SL 50 W ALS 40 SSW GUC 20 SE GJT 45 NNE U28 15 NE PUC 45 NW PUC 40 N DPG 40 S TWF 25 SW TWF 30 WNW TWF 25 WSW SUN 15 SSE SMN 25 NE SMN 15 NE BTM 20 WSW LWT 55 N MLS 10 WSW GDV 40 NNE BHK 35 WSW DIK 45 SSW DIK 35 NNW RAP 25 SSW CDR 15 NE BFF 30 NNW SNY 10 NNE SNY 30 ESE SNY 30 NW IML 30 NNE IML 20 W LBF 15 N LBF 25 ESE MHN 60 NNE MBG 50 ENE BIS 60 NNE BIS 55 WNW N60 20 ENE ISN 105 NNW ISN ...CONT... 115 N CMX 30 NE BFW 15 WSW DLH 50 ESE BRD 50 N MSP 35 NNE MSP 45 NW EAU 50 NNE EAU 35 WNW RHI 35 NE RHI 15 ENE IMT 10 W ESC 20 SSW ESC 50 NNE MTW 25 NNE MTW 25 SW MTW 35 SE OSH 20 N MKE 25 WSW MKG 15 SSE MKG 25 N FNT 85 E BAX ...CONT... 50 S 6R6 40 ESE 6R6 65 N DRT 40 W JCT 20 N JCT 55 S BWD 50 SE BWD 0 - CRS 15 ENE GGG 20 S ELD 15 SE ELD 35 WSW LLQ 25 SW PBF 25 WSW LIT 20 WSW RUE 15 NNW FSM 20 WSW MKO 20 NW CHK 20 SSW CSM 40 ESE PVW 40 SSW LBB 20 ESE HOB 40 W INK 50 NNW MRF 70 W MRF ...CONT... 45 NW BUF 10 WSW SYR 10 NNE ALB 15 NNW BOS 65 ENE HYA