Day 1 Areal Outline

Issued: 2026-06-18 16:17 UTC

Summary

Severe thunderstorms, including potential tornadoes, hail, and damaging wind, are expected across parts of the central and southeastern United States today. Areas ranging from the Gulf Coast to the Midwest face marginal to slight risks of severe weather through the afternoon and evening.

Product Text

000 WUUS01 KWNS 181617 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1116 AM CDT THU JUN 18 2026 VALID TIME 181630Z - 191200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 30949208 31229162 31468971 32948663 34268462 35648060 36087860 35597804 34767858 32568076 32008118 31548255 30828356 30018547 29588870 29438939 29359009 29419068 30289098 30949208 0.02 45837129 44327028 42927057 41777148 41517255 41657475 42277579 42207641 42537639 43797540 44737494 45407483 0.02 37088468 37858456 37868337 37168181 36968126 36598170 36368266 36518413 37088468 0.05 45647152 44577136 43427153 42847173 42447225 42387341 42687471 42557605 43697514 44577471 45427456 0.05 30028873 30068920 30298956 30718969 31188950 31728866 32228773 32528664 33988436 35388050 35417950 34787962 33498191 31388524 30818591 30388653 30238727 30088783 30028873 0.10 30318857 30598916 31058914 31908769 32148633 31918560 31428576 30548716 30318857 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 34489730 33619826 31609889 30960011 31410052 31780069 32370073 34400023 35589916 37359818 37979711 37869592 37479513 37009460 36389381 35869455 35219639 34489730 0.05 36787753 36737808 36097934 35778068 35988165 36438206 37088129 37667913 37677721 37187680 36907710 36787753 && ... WIND ... 0.05 34310025 37049771 37009458 36189357 34989383 33579667 31099807 30940012 31430054 31800070 32500071 34310025 0.05 28417966 28068086 28278148 29418221 30348265 30418351 29418477 28828548 99999999 46077116 45216994 43526783 99999999 29118811 30449124 31659105 32208993 32408735 34688569 35648542 36058614 36268752 36768786 37878646 38378240 38798050 40337653 41237612 42527643 43717544 44707493 45677473 0.15 36037424 36177577 35947740 35637951 34767960 32408367 32068439 32398503 33138519 33938447 35008169 35988175 36308271 36408411 36178564 36728627 37398599 37828410 38008278 38188107 38947700 38367339 0.15 42226993 41307211 40867386 41717521 42557604 43627521 44537469 45017460 45007147 45327135 45347098 44347031 42646964 42226993 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 36107500 36177577 35637951 34767960 32678320 31388524 30388653 30088783 30028873 30068920 30298956 30718969 31188950 31728866 32228773 32528664 33938447 35008169 35988175 36308271 36408411 36178564 36728627 37398599 37828410 38188107 38947700 38527440 SLGT 45647152 45097144 45327135 45347098 44347031 42916975 99999999 42636964 42226993 41307211 40867386 41717521 42557605 43627521 44057496 44577471 45427456 MRGL 45977101 45216994 43596791 99999999 28337994 28068086 28278148 29418221 30348265 30418351 29008526 99999999 29198829 29518904 29359009 29419068 30289098 30949208 31229162 31289111 31659105 32208993 32368783 32708713 34688569 35648542 36058614 36268752 36768786 37878646 38378240 38798050 40337653 41237612 42217635 42207641 42527643 43797540 44737494 45407483 MRGL 34400023 35589916 37359818 37979711 37869592 37479513 36189357 34989383 33579667 31099807 30940012 31430054 31800070 32370073 34400023 TSTM 31181164 32271132 32931146 33761212 34171270 34801313 35511292 35901249 36181145 36030957 35810853 35920786 36000732 36410682 36920661 37230643 37710574 37830472 37720419 37350385 36600353 36290321 36210244 36840181 38430010 39659815 40259545 40039107 39628814 39378379 39678074 40147856 40717774 41627756 42667824 43297880 43827937 99999999 23918103 24508106 25148135 25608184 25968228 99999999 49669714 48839639 47129544 46269474 45879403 45679335 45669267 45869187 46249121 46499060 46728968 46638837 46358631 45878543 45308512 44418585 43828709 41989040 41629136 41689404 42349589 43339954 43740338 44230600 45060867 45881117 46771292 47811435 49431663 99999999 29089242 29459323 29699390 29999470 30219518 30389587 30269663 29529793 28899865 27899923 26439950 99999999 39192272 39862347 41342398 42122390 42592352 42812300 42982178 42912051 42421944 41291850 39851772 39031698 38491588 38161566 37511610 36891679 36291774 35971858 36281955 37102059 38442178 39192272 && THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 NNE HSE 25 ESE ECG 30 NNW SOP 35 SSW SOP 25 E MCN 15 ENE DHN 30 S CEW 50 SSE MOB 35 SE GPT 25 SSW GPT 15 ESE ASD 25 NNE ASD 20 SSW PIB 40 S MEI 45 WSW SEM 20 NW MGM 20 N ATL 15 ENE SPA 25 NW HKY 20 SW TRI 40 N TYS 35 WNW CSV 20 SSE BWG 35 NE BWG 30 ESE LEX 30 N BKW 0 - DCA 65 S ACY THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 NE EFK 35 NNW BML 45 N BML 50 NNE BML 25 W AUG 60 SSE PWM ...CONT... 75 NNE HYA 40 NNE HYA 0 - GON 15 NNW JFK 20 W MSV 25 N BGM 35 NNE UCA 45 WSW SLK 25 SSE MSS 35 NNE MSS THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 90 N BML 60 N AUG 65 SSE BHB ...CONT... 45 ENE MLB 15 W MLB 20 SSW ORL 15 N OCF 50 NNW GNV 30 SSW VLD 50 SSW AAF ...CONT... 70 E BVE 25 ENE BVE 40 ESE HUM 10 S HUM 20 SSE BTR 35 SSE ESF 35 SW HEZ 25 SSE HEZ 15 E HEZ 10 SE JAN 50 W SEM 25 NNW SEM 35 SW CHA 30 SW CSV 30 E BNA 25 SSW CKV 20 WNW HOP 40 ENE OWB 10 E HTS 35 W EKN 20 ENE CXY 20 WSW AVP 20 SSE ITH 20 S ITH 0 - ITH 45 N UCA 15 SSW MSS 30 N MSS THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 0 - CDS 15 N CSM 20 E P28 30 NE ICT 25 WNW CNU 25 SE CNU 25 WSW HRO 40 SE FSM 10 S GYI 40 W TPL 35 NW JCT 0 - SJT 30 NNW SJT 45 ENE BGS 0 - CDS GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 75 SSW TUS 25 WNW TUS 45 SE PHX 25 NNW PHX 35 SSW PRC 40 WNW PRC 55 SW GCN 20 W GCN 40 ENE GCN 55 NW GUP 25 NE GUP 50 N GNT 20 W 4SL 30 NNE 4SL 55 SW ALS 35 WSW ALS 20 NNE ALS 35 SSW PUB 30 NNE TAD 25 ENE TAD 25 WNW CAO 10 SSW CAO 15 NNE DHT 10 SSE EHA 45 N DDC 30 WNW CNK 15 NNE FNB 10 NE UIN 15 NE MTO 45 SSE DAY 35 S HLG 15 SW AOO 10 SSE UNV 40 NW IPT 30 SE BUF 25 N BUF 70 NNW BUF ...CONT... 55 S MTH 15 S MTH 35 NNW MTH 40 S APF 35 WSW APF ...CONT... 65 N HCO 25 ENE HCO 30 NE DTL 30 WSW BRD 20 N STC 35 ENE STC 60 NNE MSP 70 SSE DLH 25 SW ASX 15 ESE ASX 25 ENE IWD 40 S CMX 60 NE ESC 35 NW PLN 25 SW PLN 25 SSW TVC 35 SE MTW 35 SSE DBQ 25 SE CID 20 WNW DSM 25 E SUX 30 SSW 9V9 25 SW RAP 25 WSW GCC 40 NNE COD 0 - BZN 15 ENE 3DU 35 S GPI 130 NNE GEG ...CONT... 50 SSW 7R4 45 S LCH 20 SSE BPT 45 N GLS 40 N HOU 35 SW UTS 25 SW CLL 15 SSE BAZ 45 SSW SAT 30 NNE LRD 75 S LRD ...CONT... 25 E UKI 50 NNW UKI 25 NNE ACV 20 E 4BK 35 WNW MFR 30 NNW MFR 55 N LMT 50 N LKV 50 ENE LKV 45 NW WMC 40 NW U31 35 SSE U31 70 S P68 70 WNW P38 60 N DRA 45 WNW DRA 40 N NID 45 NE BFL 35 SSE FAT 15 SSW MER 15 WSW SAC 25 E UKI