Day 1 Areal Outline

Issued:

Risk area map for Day 1 Areal Outline

Summary

There is a marginal risk of severe thunderstorms including tornadoes, hail, and wind across portions of the central and southern United States throughout the afternoon and evening. General thunderstorms are also expected to move across various regions including the eastern and western U.S. during this time.

Product Text

000 WUUS01 KWNS 161614 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1112 AM CDT WED SEP 16 2026 VALID TIME 161630Z - 171200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... && ... HAIL ... 0.05 39081157 39411194 39931222 40661223 41001157 40751001 40260857 39870862 39480896 39190987 39081157 && ... WIND ... 0.05 41178402 41248184 41108036 40977994 40587966 40067975 39258050 39018089 38818198 39048390 39588540 40058578 40598563 40968487 41178402 0.05 40631222 41021156 40861071 40001054 39521140 39531197 39951221 40631222 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... MRGL 40598563 40968487 41178402 41248184 41108036 40977994 40587966 40067975 39258050 39018089 38818198 39048390 39588540 40058578 40598563 MRGL 41021156 40751001 40260857 39870862 39480896 39190987 39081157 39411194 39931222 40661223 41021156 TSTM 42668091 42767933 42627784 42297673 41727602 40997606 40257671 38957910 37998028 36318222 34718403 34408463 34278564 34438628 34978673 36378690 37088671 37448702 37628795 37368886 36649063 36029196 35329278 34719303 33999293 33079255 32219254 31399267 31049227 31019150 31109015 30978921 30508824 29798714 99999999 26069923 28539923 29349908 29839844 30509712 31109626 31609597 32029580 33049590 34229634 35519696 36599679 37709593 38149549 38469562 38699616 38699736 38549830 38119976 37350137 36380208 35090224 33670251 32150291 31180326 30490379 30070519 99999999 31871466 33861536 36231581 38421601 40791549 42001566 42841601 44191732 44711750 45191749 45541712 45881589 45781363 44920958 44520860 43510745 42620602 42100416 41680296 41600209 41680124 42329925 42569870 42839855 43489854 44919922 45870001 46580099 47180127 47950099 48519981 48589838 47919550 46909320 45649091 44198930 43508848 42988733 42688578 42608409 42528203 99999999 28318328 28668231 28878185 29308119 29748067 99999999 42812443 43802363 44132270 44132152 44052075 43702014 43011978 41532017 40402148 39372250 39222314 39672397 40552452 41942479 42812443 && THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NNW MIE 15 E FWA 20 WNW FDY 10 S CLE 20 ESE YNG 30 S FKL 25 NNW LBE 25 SW LBE 40 SW MGW 35 SE PKB 30 SSE UNI 30 E LUK 45 S MIE 25 SW MIE 25 NNW MIE THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NE SLC 35 NW VEL 50 ESE VEL 55 N GJT 35 NW GJT 20 NE U28 55 SW PUC 30 E U24 40 NNE U24 15 WSW SLC 25 NE SLC GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 NW ERI 40 N JHW 35 SSW ROC 10 NE ELM 35 S BGM 30 SW AVP 0 - CXY 50 NNW SHD 15 N SSU 15 SE TRI 65 NW AHN 30 E RMG 25 WSW RMG 35 NNW GAD 20 N HSV 20 NW BNA 20 WNW BWG 20 SSE OWB 35 SW EVV 20 NNW PAH 15 SW POF 25 NW BVX 20 ENE RUE 15 NNE HOT 35 SSE HOT 20 ESE ELD 35 SW MLU 20 W ESF 25 S ESF 40 NNW BTR 20 ESE MCB 35 SSE PIB 10 S MOB 45 S PNS ...CONT... 65 W MFE 0 - COT 0 - HDO 20 N SAT 35 ENE AUS 35 N CLL 40 SE CRS 35 SW TYR 50 SSW PRX 20 N DUA 15 SSW CQB 20 ESE PNC 25 W CNU 30 N CNU 30 ENE EMP 25 N EMP 15 ESE SLN 35 SE RSL 25 NNE DDC 30 NW LBL 35 NE DHT 30 WSW AMA 40 W LBB 30 NNE INK 25 NW FST 15 ENE MRF 75 WSW MRF ...CONT... 55 S YUM 40 WNW BLH 30 SSE DRA 75 S P68 15 E EKO 25 E OWY 50 SSE BOI 50 SSE BKE 20 ESE BKE 30 NNE BKE 60 S LWS 25 SW P69 45 NNE SMN 40 NW COD 20 E COD 40 SE WRL 30 SE CPR 0 - TOR 25 SSW AIA 50 SE AIA 25 SSW MHN 40 N BUB 0 - ONL 25 NNE ONL 30 SW MHE 55 SW ABR 30 NE MBG 20 SW BIS 35 SSE N60 25 SSE MOT 50 WNW DVL 40 NE DVL 40 NW BJI 35 SSW HIB 60 S ASX 45 SSE CWA 35 S OSH 30 ENE RAC 20 SW GRR 30 SW FNT 40 E MTC ...CONT... 45 NW PIE 35 S OCF 30 SE OCF 10 NW DAB 45 NNE DAB ...CONT... 45 SSW OTH 30 SW EUG 25 E EUG 20 WSW RDM 25 SE RDM 65 SE RDM 60 SW BNO 20 E AAT 45 ENE RBL 40 ENE UKI 0 - UKI 55 NW UKI 25 SW EKA 30 WSW 4BK 45 SSW OTH