Day 1 Areal Outline

Issued:

Risk area map for Day 1 Areal Outline

Summary

Severe thunderstorms with risks of tornadoes, large hail, and strong winds are expected across portions of the central and eastern United States on Wednesday evening and through Thursday morning. An enhanced risk of severe weather is centered over parts of the Midwest, while slight and marginal risks extend across the Plains and Southeast.

Product Text

000 WUUS01 KWNS 020101 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0759 PM CDT WED JUL 01 2026 VALID TIME 020100Z - 021200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 44028427 43358596 42508839 41959133 41479503 41079673 41269773 41889852 43019746 44159631 45469500 46349183 46858661 46268518 45768451 45328358 44648323 44198355 44028427 0.05 44159522 44959271 45678908 45658796 45008744 44538747 43988758 43488811 42868924 42559038 42369223 42289417 42429483 42759521 43709574 44159522 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 44698135 42469241 40959639 38449894 37379995 36190125 36020216 36090268 36530308 37260339 39160257 40040253 40330293 40350379 41090414 42370349 43440303 45030315 45390273 45050124 44810004 45109894 45579820 47679178 48528568 0.15 36910264 37760261 39620166 39930126 39940015 39619952 39039916 38339942 37619999 37040074 36570167 36510234 36910264 0.15 42479425 42149625 42439687 43019704 44259629 44659580 45439412 45809228 46209024 46188939 45748879 44728883 44168901 43798939 43259083 42479425 CIG1 43928892 43278982 42829114 41859416 40959635 40029755 40169889 40950033 42279994 45219565 45279521 46079090 45848909 45428854 44578869 43928892 && ... WIND ... 0.05 47137061 46617040 46047021 45507018 44847051 44457080 43947173 42997256 42527298 42397353 42397435 42797506 43707613 44597663 99999999 42638187 42818382 42448635 41828914 40769335 40439511 39809663 39209744 38559808 35560016 34660076 33380202 32760283 32490365 32700451 33640503 34530493 37230359 39370255 40000249 40420286 40600385 41260414 42300349 43430304 45000317 45470273 44840011 45089881 46419363 48888764 0.05 32019355 33549248 35019087 36138802 35998683 35508598 34918561 34198520 33778511 33268513 33208511 31988587 31158775 30188966 29699059 29719233 30149331 30879354 32019355 0.15 39930015 39639956 39029919 38349940 37540009 37000081 36600161 36540233 36940268 37810262 39570171 39900132 39970101 39930015 0.15 43408164 43328441 42598844 41349310 41169445 41439568 41269737 41059840 41319902 41699953 42429903 43899652 44979452 46928793 47228460 0.15 46827250 45007270 43537289 42957308 42627339 42637426 42647430 42797481 44837625 0.30 44918169 44118327 42998807 42599031 42379134 42339328 42489453 42889537 43439543 43749522 44219409 44619272 45029134 45468860 45758624 46098278 CIG1 37399972 36630011 33460208 32910270 32570367 32730451 33670495 34530490 36970370 39320239 40180127 40559993 40169909 39409886 38149930 37399972 CIG1 44089554 45019373 46029080 46338956 46578338 45918211 45038156 44628198 44138290 42968532 42158771 41788939 41789049 41829152 42049357 42129522 41329747 41219848 41649895 42299878 42759787 43979596 44089554 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... ENH 44858180 44118327 42998807 42379134 42339328 42489453 42889537 43439543 43749522 44219409 45029134 45468860 46078295 SLGT 37810262 39620166 39900132 39970101 39940015 39619952 39039916 38349940 37619999 37040074 36570167 36510234 36940268 37810262 SLGT 43408166 43328441 42598844 41349310 41169445 41439568 41269737 41059840 41319902 41699953 42429903 43909650 44259629 44659580 45439412 46139061 46928793 47228460 SLGT 45487265 43537289 42957308 42627339 42637426 42797481 44807623 MRGL 33549248 35019087 36138802 35998683 35508598 34198520 33778511 33208511 31988587 31158775 29699059 29719233 30149331 30879354 32019355 33549248 MRGL 42648196 42818382 42448635 40769335 40439511 39809663 39209744 38559808 34660076 33380202 32760283 32490365 32700451 33640503 34530493 39350256 40040253 40330293 40350379 41090414 41260414 42370349 43430304 45000317 45470273 44840011 44959950 45109894 45579820 47679178 47928996 48728802 MRGL 46617040 46047021 45507018 44847051 44457080 43947173 42527298 42397353 42397435 42797506 43707613 44577662 TSTM 27089981 31199665 34309442 35439317 36839061 37378757 37328482 36878176 36138155 34648261 33208342 32428383 31688419 31128429 30648412 30168377 29598295 29178130 28988013 28968004 99999999 30880836 33680554 36600544 38660531 39460549 41860553 43140553 43430564 43580600 43610669 43290752 42740817 41710890 41270949 40901033 40461147 39071392 38341517 38191579 38191623 38411678 39161735 42031809 43241826 45201771 46211688 46891616 47671485 48321358 48781283 49231244 49751237 99999999 37987467 38967667 40327872 41348034 41758122 42308261 42518355 42308569 41428851 40439203 39559489 38459636 36949750 35269882 32910014 31220087 30200105 28820081 && THERE IS A ENHANCED RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 95 NE BAX 25 SSE OSC 10 WNW MKE 40 NNE CID 55 S MCW 15 WSW FOD 20 NNW SLB 15 SSE OTG 20 ENE OTG 10 W MKT 10 NNE EAU 35 SW IMT 75 NNE APN THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 S LAA 20 N GLD 40 NNE GLD 30 SW MCK 30 SE MCK 25 NE HLC 20 WNW RSL 50 SW RSL 10 S DDC 15 E LBL 10 SW GUY 35 NNE DHT 25 S SPD 20 S LAA THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 ESE BAX 20 SW MBS 30 E JVL 0 - OXV 45 NW LWD 15 NE OMA 15 S OLU 0 - GRI 35 SSE BUB 20 NNE BBW 20 W ONL 25 NNE FSD 25 E BKX 35 WNW RWF 10 SSW STC 30 SSE ASX 30 NNW MQT 55 NNW ANJ THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NNW EFK 0 - RUT 40 NNE PSF 15 NNW PSF 25 WSW ALB 40 SE UCA 55 N ART THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NE ELD 60 SSW JBR 50 SW HOP 15 SW BNA 55 NW CHA 10 S RMG 40 S RMG 15 N LGC 10 NE TOI 45 NE MOB 10 NNE HUM 15 WSW 7R4 0 - LCH 25 WSW POE 35 SSE SHV 30 NE ELD THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 E MTC 10 SSW FNT 20 N BEH 40 SSW OXV 25 SE SDA 35 S BIE 25 SSE CNK 30 SW SLN 30 WNW CDS 25 SSW LBB 25 ENE HOB 30 WSW HOB 30 NNW CNM 30 ENE SRR 50 NE 4CR 15 WNW ITR 40 ESE AKO 20 NE AKO 30 WNW AKO 35 E CYS 35 ENE CYS 35 N BFF 40 N CDR 45 SSE 2WX 40 SW Y22 35 NNE PIR 55 NE PIR 35 SW ABR 15 NE ABR 15 SSE ELO 20 ENE GNA 110 N CMX THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 140 NNE BML 105 NNE BML 85 NNW AUG 35 ENE BML 25 SE BML 30 NNW LCI 15 ENE PSF 10 WSW PSF 35 SW ALB 30 SSE UCA 20 SSW ART 50 NW ART GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SSW LRD 45 NNW CLL 15 N DEQ 15 NNW RUE 10 WNW POF 35 SW OWB 50 SSW LEX 40 SW BLF 30 NNW HKY 10 NNE AND 35 NNE MCN 20 SSW MCN 10 N ABY 30 S ABY 20 NE TLH 40 ESE TLH 10 ESE CTY 15 W DAB 55 ESE DAB 65 ESE DAB ...CONT... 85 ESE DUG 15 N SRR 60 SSE ALS 35 WSW COS 40 WSW DEN 40 N LAR 30 NNW DGW 50 NNW DGW 55 NNE CPR 50 NNW CPR 50 SSE WRL 25 SSE RIW 10 NE RKS 30 SW RKS 45 SE EVW 35 SE SLC 50 ESE ELY 60 NW P38 70 E TPH 45 E TPH 30 NE TPH 25 SSW U31 40 SSW REO 50 NNW REO 25 NNE BKE 15 SSE LWS 60 NNW P69 25 ENE 3TH 30 E GPI 25 WNW CTB 40 N CTB 80 N CTB ...CONT... 45 E WAL 15 S BWI 20 W AOO 20 ENE YNG 40 NE CLE 25 SSE MTC 20 NNE ARB 10 NW AZO 10 ENE MMO 35 NE IRK 15 N FLV 15 NW EMP 25 NW PNC 20 ESE CSM 45 NW ABI 25 WSW SJT 60 N DRT 40 S DRT