Day 1 Areal Outline

Issued: 2026-07-17 19:52 UTC

Summary

Marginal risks of severe thunderstorms, including possible hail, wind, and tornadoes, are expected across portions of the central and eastern United States through Friday afternoon. Affected areas include parts of the Plains, Midwest, and Southeast.

Product Text

000 WUUS01 KWNS 171952 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0251 PM CDT FRI JUL 17 2026 VALID TIME 172000Z - 181200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 48779005 47778950 47088776 46778681 46778493 46388400 46168394 45988417 45918461 45938518 45848567 45588636 45198696 45409046 45629278 46469393 47609404 48819298 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 46458217 44278504 44568795 44868974 44539224 44799344 45289384 46939408 47959408 48859295 0.05 49861049 46641015 45211115 43661402 43841564 44581609 45261613 45821610 46461602 47151615 47921646 48551769 49491821 && ... WIND ... 0.05 44118094 43398319 44458747 44578799 44868970 44519222 44759345 45259387 46939409 47959410 48869293 0.05 49630741 48400777 46480791 45420874 44711071 42561361 42191519 42631614 44421608 46551600 47991647 49871803 0.05 34238266 29388112 28998094 28668088 28438106 28488143 28478183 28358220 28408253 28538271 28938279 29158305 29708353 31118369 32798394 33678472 35278554 36768533 38328584 39328633 40578655 41058620 41168536 40418290 39298189 38338178 37028175 36168190 35488261 34238266 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... MRGL 41058620 41168536 40418290 39298189 38338178 37028175 36168190 35488261 34238266 28998094 28668088 28438106 28488143 28478183 28358220 28408253 28538271 28938279 29708353 32798394 33678472 35278554 36768533 38328584 39328633 40578655 41058620 MRGL 49490745 48400777 46480791 45420874 44711071 42561361 42191519 42631614 44561607 45261613 46461602 47921646 48551769 49491821 MRGL 43898163 43398319 44568794 44868972 44519222 44759345 45259387 46939409 47959410 48839298 TSTM 32769310 30629118 30469082 30479048 30479010 30588970 30768947 31038939 31508936 31818959 32209011 32909105 33569195 33919235 34099267 34139297 34009326 33469331 32769310 99999999 49900638 46580486 45000282 44829897 45099719 45709606 46379528 47599490 48099444 49069340 99999999 28049586 30369602 31189647 31249740 27870038 99999999 32201620 32971667 34171734 34951737 35691651 36501660 37251679 38111706 38691713 39401712 40201719 42371735 44091810 47271809 48171901 49572143 99999999 42639604 43039756 42700346 43270728 43090796 42490825 41960786 41680605 40710540 38740457 37490347 36210224 36270080 37399849 39659607 42639604 99999999 45317520 43557629 42017624 38927566 37677475 99999999 36677530 33947690 && THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 S SBN 15 NW FWA 30 N CMH 20 ENE UNI 10 WSW CRW 35 WSW BLF 35 SE TRI 0 - AVL 20 S AND 15 SSE DAB 30 ENE ORL 20 ESE ORL 10 SW ORL 30 W ORL 40 NE PIE 35 NNE PIE 40 N PIE 40 WSW OCF 25 W CTY 20 WNW MCN 15 W ATL 25 NW CHA 60 NNW CSV 10 NNW SDF 20 NE BMG 20 ENE LAF 45 S SBN THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 95 NNW GGW 55 WNW GGW 55 NNE BIL 30 SSW BIL 20 E WEY 10 E BYI 40 WSW TWF 45 N OWY 20 S MYL 25 N MYL 30 NW P69 55 ENE GEG 65 N GEG 95 NE OMK THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 E BAX 30 SSW BAX 10 ENE GRB 0 - CWA 45 NNE RST 15 SW MSP 20 SSE STC 35 N BRD 50 NE BJI 25 NE INL GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSW ELD 0 - BTR 20 ESE BTR 35 NNW MSY 20 WNW ASD 15 NNE ASD 35 NW GPT 30 S PIB 0 - PIB 30 NNW PIB 10 SSW JAN 40 S GLH 15 WSW LLQ 30 SW PBF 35 SE HOT 25 SSE HOT 35 SSW HOT 35 WNW ELD 35 SSW ELD ...CONT... 115 N GGW 40 S GDV 50 SE 2WX 50 SSW ABR 10 N ATY 30 NNE VVV 35 N AXN 0 - BJI 45 NNE BJI 35 N INL ...CONT... 55 SSE PSX 25 SE CLL 40 N CLL 0 - TPL 60 WNW LRD ...CONT... 30 SSE CZZ 25 NNW CZZ 15 NNE RAL 30 E EDW 60 NNE DAG 35 WSW DRA 60 SSE TPH 0 - TPH 45 N TPH 0 - U31 30 SSW BAM 30 ESE REO 55 SSW BKE 35 SW GEG 30 SE OMK 75 NE BLI ...CONT... 25 NE SUX 10 NW YKN 20 WSW CDR 50 WNW CPR 25 E RIW 35 SE LND 35 WNW RWL 30 NW LAR 25 NW FCL 10 SE COS 40 S LHX 20 NE DHT 55 S LBL 10 NE P28 40 SW FNB 25 NE SUX ...CONT... 30 NNW MSS 30 NNW SYR 20 SW BGM 20 SW DOV 45 ESE WAL ...CONT... 50 ESE ORF 60 ESE ILM