Day 1 Areal Outline

Issued: 2026-09-19 16:31 UTC

Summary

A slight risk of tornadoes, hail, and damaging winds exists for parts of the central and southern United States through the evening of September 19, 2026. Marginal risks for severe thunderstorms are also expected across various regions including the southern Plains and the Southeast during this timeframe.

Product Text

000 WUUS01 KWNS 191631 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1129 AM CDT SAT SEP 19 2026 VALID TIME 191630Z - 201200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... && ... HAIL ... 0.05 34810086 34850124 35130156 35500162 35850146 36400106 37310017 39199803 39959698 40959481 41129387 41059368 40859336 40479312 40119316 39599342 39159378 38699441 38419482 37449659 36169855 35140010 34810086 0.05 42210292 40890226 39790193 38370183 37890190 37270218 37060265 37020339 37090369 37270400 37520435 38000455 39210491 40480528 42700599 43310617 43730616 44000610 44270582 44350516 44140453 43070342 42210292 0.15 36519904 36539933 36669963 36929967 37209956 37709907 38429827 39829627 39929578 39829545 39519516 39229512 38979520 38769538 38559567 38299615 37859689 37319769 36519904 0.15 38230319 38110372 38280413 38580443 39270462 39900473 40230456 40380424 40420352 40260326 39920304 39410291 38970279 38600279 38400289 38230319 && ... WIND ... 0.05 36919672 34919962 33830066 32600151 31590207 30150279 30080307 30240352 30560385 31040394 32330380 33210344 34770192 36110117 36810079 36940082 37000098 37000325 37060365 37530434 37950453 43310620 43970614 44260580 44320511 44130452 42930328 42130288 41040184 40150041 39269978 39009915 38979832 39949697 40999479 41999081 41939015 41438993 40809027 39329221 38699350 37399582 36919672 0.05 40298818 40798669 40958518 40978424 40888352 40588272 40258241 39828202 39178186 38278176 37408194 35008277 32858379 32518418 32198511 32198623 32418698 32748734 33458735 34408672 35538592 36468541 37658572 38848685 39358831 39738862 40118843 40298818 0.15 35799961 35670029 35840059 35980063 36230059 36550033 37129972 38389837 39139729 39839629 40109540 39999481 39679455 39369459 39059473 38599524 37909629 35799961 0.15 38040210 38110371 38470403 39880409 40310386 40430348 39810223 38860137 38210147 38040210 CIG1 38289630 38229629 36139790 34919963 33940057 33500095 31900192 31560254 31770379 32330380 33320336 34030270 34850187 36740082 37250016 39009827 39179723 39129660 38839632 38289630 CIG1 40400344 39820223 39610205 38050207 38130371 38460403 39890409 40300388 40400344 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 36230059 36550033 38389837 39839629 40109540 39999481 39679455 39059473 38599524 35799961 35670029 35840059 35980063 36230059 SLGT 40230456 40380424 40430348 39810223 38860137 38210147 38040210 38110372 38280413 38580443 39900473 40230456 MRGL 43970614 44270582 44350516 44140453 42930328 42130288 41040184 40150041 39269978 39009915 38979832 39959698 40999479 41999081 41939015 41438993 40809027 39329221 38699350 36919672 34919962 33830066 32600151 30150279 30080307 30240352 30560385 31040394 32330380 33210344 34770192 35350160 35500162 35850146 36810079 36940082 37000098 37000325 37060365 37520435 43310620 43970614 MRGL 40118843 40298818 40798669 40978424 40888352 40588272 39828202 39178186 38278176 37408194 35008277 32858379 32518418 32198511 32198623 32418698 32748734 33458735 35538592 36468541 37658572 38848685 39358831 39738862 40118843 TSTM 42378172 41807978 40457834 40067827 38937888 37817964 37267978 36687971 35967891 35357798 35027713 35167588 35507455 99999999 30931001 31880988 32690994 33381023 34061042 34821030 35581014 36511020 37861082 38481150 39061200 39951251 40901282 41801328 43371459 44691572 45921636 46671656 47331606 47691505 47571429 47091398 46551342 46241243 46121126 46750968 47400862 47630704 47430553 46970396 46120177 44960032 43699961 42819943 42209928 41899899 41699855 41679801 42099684 42889496 44359081 44448950 43468556 42528216 99999999 25509766 28249732 28889676 29829537 29949485 29789408 29279336 29099287 29099210 29269049 29288947 29178838 29308778 29718774 30118812 30958909 31968971 32569001 33308987 36128727 37038676 37598691 38218769 38908916 38848991 38529120 37799251 35969536 34769793 33939860 33469875 32639872 31709853 30929866 30259912 28000080 && THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 W GAG 35 WNW GAG 35 NW HUT 40 SE BIE 10 E FNB 15 NNE STJ 20 ESE STJ 10 WSW MKC 35 WSW OJC 35 SSE GAG 50 SW GAG 45 ENE BGD 45 ENE BGD 45 W GAG THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 ESE FCL 40 E FCL 20 NW AKO 40 N ITR 40 SSE GLD 45 WNW GCK 30 E LAA 10 WNW LHX 20 E PUB 20 N PUB 10 NE DEN 30 ESE FCL THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SW GCC 15 WSW GCC 20 E GCC 50 ESE GCC 10 NW CDR 0 - AIA 40 NNW IML 10 ESE MCK 10 SSE HLC 20 WNW RSL 30 ENE RSL 25 SSW BIE 35 ENE SDA 30 S DBQ 40 NNE MLI 30 E MLI 30 WNW PIA 35 N COU 0 - SZL 25 ENE PNC 25 NW LTS 45 SSW CDS 25 N BGS 35 WNW 6R6 60 S FST 30 ESE MRF 15 NE MRF 45 N MRF 25 E CNM 40 NNW HOB 35 SSW AMA 10 NE AMA 20 NNE AMA 10 NNW BGD 20 SSE LBL 10 SE LBL 0 - LBL 40 N CAO 40 ESE TAD 15 N TAD 30 NNE CPR 40 SW GCC THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 NW CMI 20 NNE CMI 30 NNE LAF 30 W FDY 10 SE FDY 20 SSW MFD 10 SW ZZV 20 E UNI 10 SW CRW 40 W BLF 30 SSW AVL 15 NW MCN 35 WSW MCN 25 SSW CSG 10 SE MGM 0 - SEM 35 NW SEM 20 NE TCL 55 NW CHA 40 NNW CSV 35 S SDF 25 SSW BMG 10 S MTO 15 ESE DEC 10 NW CMI GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 N CLE 30 N FKL 10 N AOO 15 S AOO 45 N SHD 40 NNE ROA 10 ESE ROA 20 WNW DAN 10 NW RDU 0 - GSB 0 - EWN 15 WSW HSE 65 ENE HSE ...CONT... 45 SSW DUG 35 NNW DUG 20 WSW SAD 50 NW SAD 30 WSW SOW 30 ESE INW 50 NE INW 75 SSE U17 25 NNW U17 45 W 4HV 35 SE U24 25 SE DPG 50 N DPG 60 SSE BYI 15 WSW SUN 25 SE MYL 40 WSW P69 30 NE LWS 35 WSW 3TH 15 ENE 3TH 45 NNW MSO 15 NNE MSO 15 WSW 3DU 20 N BTM 25 NNW BZN 25 NNE 3HT 45 ENE LWT 45 SSW GGW 45 S OLF 45 NNE BHK 25 NE Y22 40 S MBG 15 WSW 9V9 30 ENE ANW 30 NNW BUB 10 NE BUB 30 E BUB 35 SW OFK 30 SW SUX 20 SSE SPW 40 NE LSE 25 SSE CWA 40 N GRR 35 E MTC ...CONT... 35 SSW BRO 25 ESE NIR 10 ENE VCT 15 NNW HOU 35 NE HOU 10 SSW BPT 60 S LCH 65 SW 7R4 50 S 7R4 25 SSE HUM 0 - BVE 60 E BVE 90 SSW PNS 60 SSW PNS 40 S MOB 40 N GPT 35 SE JAN 15 NNE JAN 20 SE GWO 35 SSE CKV 20 WNW BWG 15 ESE OWB 15 NW EVV 20 NNW SLO 10 ESE ALN 40 NE VIH 20 W TBN 20 N MKO 25 S CHK 0 - SPS 40 SSW SPS 40 WSW MWL 25 ESE BWD 65 SSE BWD 45 ESE JCT 95 S DRT