Day 1 Areal Outline

Issued:

Risk area map for Day 1 Areal Outline

Summary

Severe thunderstorms, including potential tornadoes, large hail, and damaging winds, are forecast for parts of the central and southern United States on Tuesday. Risks range from marginal to slight across various regions, including areas from the Plains through the Southeast and Mid-Atlantic.

Product Text

000 WUUS01 KWNS 300556 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1255 AM CDT TUE JUN 30 2026 VALID TIME 301200Z - 011200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 46097136 44737088 43347167 42317328 41777574 41827700 42157753 42827793 43447795 44167797 0.02 46488377 44878754 44509006 45169117 46429072 47278875 48218479 0.05 45637270 44717228 44137238 43677316 43467434 43747515 45067589 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 45808222 44698521 43608821 43289036 42959395 42269683 41159812 38639969 35500078 35090127 34880170 34860260 35060318 35540347 36610353 37440322 39090272 40170336 40530352 41290353 42210311 42990198 44399871 46129376 46619236 48738796 0.05 45747112 44197129 43357207 42217329 41787577 41947677 42137735 42847798 44247804 0.15 46948416 46078598 45688770 45968924 46408981 47028956 47668725 48068507 CIG1 37630319 38560270 39410222 40360104 40550052 40340007 39670005 38690037 37600094 36850147 36680235 36930292 37630319 && ... WIND ... 0.05 44358166 44168553 43728793 42409286 41289573 39429821 36179998 35020044 34020132 34030270 34680339 36570358 37610321 39150279 40220345 40640354 41400357 42170315 43590104 44669831 45359650 46039401 46659224 48728787 0.05 46347078 44007010 42797102 41767337 41487560 41587654 41967735 42857799 44287806 0.05 29258818 29759039 30079077 30399082 31179049 32128925 33378706 33638623 33508517 33238471 32608424 32178423 29518575 0.15 45218197 45118325 45108519 44558842 44388995 45019124 45779119 46429065 47278943 47918814 48238661 0.15 45447244 44317217 43377240 42647363 42727500 43097614 44827654 0.15 37840281 39990173 40470105 40960012 41169908 40809855 39979886 38709963 37440031 36860062 35230113 34910190 35270295 35980329 37060305 37840281 CIG1 46518307 46088252 45588230 45318240 45188275 45178342 45348460 45528712 45738800 46048833 46678877 47018890 47378831 47548791 47708751 47868690 47828628 47588515 46518307 CIG1 35170072 34080119 34020175 34060267 34660328 36020353 36690352 38160302 39020262 39880198 40580121 41080002 41309900 41039847 40579832 39709865 36770033 35170072 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 37840281 39990173 40470105 40960012 41169908 40809855 39979886 36860062 35230113 34910190 35270295 35980329 37840281 SLGT 45447244 44317217 43377240 42647363 42727500 43097614 44647650 SLGT 45218197 45118325 45108519 44558842 44388995 45019124 45779119 46429065 47278943 47918814 48218673 MRGL 29278828 29759039 30079077 30399082 31179049 32128925 33378706 33638623 33508517 33238471 32608424 32178423 29518575 MRGL 44358170 44168553 43748783 42409286 41289573 39429821 36179998 35020044 34020132 34030270 34680339 36570358 39150279 40220345 40640354 41400357 42210311 43590104 45359650 46029404 46619236 48718800 MRGL 46347078 44007010 42797102 41767337 41487560 41587654 41967735 42857799 44097805 TSTM 30820897 33500850 35510832 36180817 37220771 38190689 39140628 40140615 41320649 41760694 41820743 41470821 40780904 40050987 39711092 40111202 40541225 41051212 41631205 42201221 42661308 42581388 42451482 42711603 42961653 43861772 44301808 44791790 46261681 47091561 47611454 48031407 48531426 48851519 48581623 48131730 48031836 48311926 48691980 49662028 99999999 26719680 27299740 28059781 29219813 30469794 31299700 31239582 31069465 30859392 30699332 30739273 30899238 31249207 31799163 32639077 33368992 34158864 35728611 37148397 38258264 39628161 40188129 40598110 41758065 42318072 42888136 43288201 43408246 43348315 43168404 42588649 41639007 40399246 39309438 37439724 34999881 32750045 31510114 30680120 28880108 99999999 39967236 40397531 40367634 40257715 39357808 38647858 38097866 36877927 35478031 35008052 34148048 33178022 32848004 32657974 32657920 32647887 99999999 49489941 48850137 48470303 48180446 47790561 47010656 46240690 45840667 45750617 45720526 45730452 45870238 46029998 46019833 46349595 46699401 47109251 47589128 48149019 48938905 && THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SSW LAA 35 S IML 30 NW MCK 30 ESE LBF 30 N EAR 15 NNW HSI 50 SSW HSI 25 ESE LBL 35 SSE BGD 25 SSW AMA 35 E TCC 35 SSW CAO 15 SSW LAA THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NNW EFK 20 ENE MPV 20 SSW LEB 10 SE ALB 35 SSE UCA 0 - SYR 50 NNW ART THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 80 E APN 15 E APN 30 NE TVC 15 WNW GRB 30 SSW CWA 15 NE EAU 55 SSW ASX 15 ESE ASX 45 W CMX 55 NNE CMX 120 NNE MQT THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 E BVE 20 SSW MSY 35 N HUM 20 ESE BTR 0 - MCB 35 WSW MEI 25 SW BHM 25 SSW GAD 35 N LGC 25 NE LGC 35 W MCN 45 N ABY 50 S PFN THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 75 ENE BAX 40 S TVC 30 SSW MTW 25 WSW ALO 10 E OMA 30 WSW CNK 15 SW GAG 40 NNW CDS 25 ESE PVW 45 SE CVS 20 N CVS 25 WNW CAO 30 WSW ITR 10 WNW AKO 35 NNW AKO 35 S BFF 20 NW AIA 40 SE PHP 0 - VVV 25 S BRD 15 SSW DLH 110 NNE CMX THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 120 N BML 25 NNE PWM 25 SSW PSM 30 ENE POU 10 NNE AVP 30 NE IPT 25 WSW ELM 25 SW ROC 70 NNW ROC GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 SE DUG 65 NNW SVC 25 E GUP 40 S FMN 0 - DRO 25 S GUC 30 E ASE 55 NE EGE 45 W LAR 15 ESE RWL 10 W RWL 45 E RKS 35 NE VEL 30 SW VEL 10 NW PUC 45 S SLC 20 SW SLC 10 SSW OGD 30 N OGD 0 - MLD 30 SW PIH 0 - BYI 15 W TWF 55 N OWY 45 SSW BOI 65 S BKE 40 SSW BKE 0 - BKE 15 SE LWS 35 SSW 3TH 50 SSW GPI 20 SSE GPI 15 N GPI 55 NW GPI 80 NNW 3TH 35 NNE GEG 50 NW GEG 15 SE OMK 20 NW OMK 90 NNW OMK ...CONT... 65 NE BRO 35 S CRP 25 SSW NIR 30 SE SAT 20 NW AUS 25 SSE ACT 40 NNW UTS 15 SSE LFK 45 WSW POE 25 SSW POE 35 SE POE 35 S ESF 15 SE ESF 25 WNW HEZ 45 WNW JAN 15 SE GWO 10 SE TUP 45 SE BNA 0 - LOZ 10 SSW HTS 20 NNW PKB 35 W HLG 30 SE CAK 35 N YNG 30 WNW ERI 80 NW ERI 65 NE MTC 35 SE BAX 30 SSW BAX 20 NW FNT 30 N BEH 25 ENE MLI 20 NNE IRK 20 NE MKC 20 SE ICT 30 SE CSM 50 WNW ABI 40 WNW SJT 65 SW SJT 35 SSW DRT ...CONT... 70 SE ISP 20 SSE ABE 30 ENE CXY 15 W CXY 0 - MRB 30 NE SHD 10 WSW CHO 20 N DAN 40 ENE CLT 30 ESE CLT 40 ENE CAE 20 NNW CHS 0 - CHS 25 SE CHS 50 ESE CHS 70 S CRE ...CONT... 95 NNW DVL 40 N MOT 35 NE ISN 35 NNW SDY 20 S OLF 50 NW MLS 50 WSW MLS 55 SW MLS 50 SSW MLS 20 NNE 4BQ 45 SSW BHK 10 WSW Y22 40 NNE MBG 40 N ABR 35 S DTL 20 NNE BRD 25 SE HIB 25 NNE BFW 30 NNE GNA 100 NE GNA