Day 1 Areal Outline

Issued: 2026-06-16 19:57 UTC

Summary

Severe thunderstorms, including risks of tornadoes, large hail, and damaging winds, are forecast across portions of the central and eastern United States through Tuesday evening. Marginal and slight risks of these severe weather phenomena affect a wide area spanning from the Great Plains and Texas through the Midwest and into the Mid-Atlantic and Southeast.

Product Text

000 WUUS01 KWNS 161957 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0255 PM CDT TUE JUN 16 2026 VALID TIME 162000Z - 171200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 27939629 28839609 29589512 31089000 31738703 31718464 31398354 30868287 30218316 29788396 29048522 0.02 42328771 43398649 43228470 42908405 42358342 41258408 40608498 39888619 39498778 39688894 40258887 41228799 41838770 42328771 0.05 40788515 40088611 40348726 41328745 41748680 42488604 42508544 41778480 40788515 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 36159657 34930021 34470183 34850216 35490200 36780084 37619929 38509621 38429419 38069321 37249258 36789245 35889366 35999499 36159657 0.05 49640463 48460153 47190046 46349945 45439920 44990007 45070103 45260263 46140379 47520690 48430863 48641112 49661203 0.05 38978826 39248887 39708916 40178919 40678861 41528781 43358794 44168841 45168837 45888805 46418673 46278548 45458386 44908312 43598249 42648258 39658536 38908746 38978826 0.05 41899462 43129656 44009610 44109408 43159183 41639056 40599047 40449178 41899462 0.05 37447534 37647628 38327683 38707679 39087644 39147539 38747466 38277466 37447534 0.15 43149345 42959206 41969117 41509110 41069132 40969194 41659347 42319418 42679404 43149345 0.15 39458684 39238778 39538827 40238837 40678806 41348749 41878677 42878549 42688474 41398472 40428536 39788593 39458684 && ... WIND ... 0.05 49540433 48440155 47210051 45489802 45079729 44219477 43619298 42969192 41569041 40629046 40479178 41599425 42079485 42959668 43799834 45200262 46100375 46370583 46880779 47570965 48561127 49551218 0.05 35909372 36189652 35879754 34940026 34880098 35500127 36550052 37019989 37429929 38049789 38179546 37979376 37239247 36759230 35909372 0.05 37347483 37617631 38227694 38697691 39257651 39537598 39527476 39247330 0.05 43398487 42658258 41368294 40248401 39338562 38808653 38758765 38888828 39098871 39508900 40418871 41328781 42478784 43458654 43398487 0.05 30108051 29538253 29358387 30158500 30848518 31428402 31598002 0.15 42658475 42388377 41588416 40048528 39398687 39598740 40658748 41278686 42658475 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 41348749 42878549 42388377 41588416 40048528 39398687 39238778 39538827 40238837 41348749 SLGT 42679404 43149345 42959206 41969117 41509110 41069132 40969194 41659347 42319418 42679404 MRGL 30068065 29538253 29358387 29618424 29048522 99999999 27939629 28839609 29589512 31089000 31738703 31718464 31438369 31578040 MRGL 35490200 36780084 37619929 38509621 38429419 38069321 37339265 37239247 36759230 35889366 36159657 34930021 34470183 34850216 35490200 MRGL 49480419 48460153 47110036 45489802 45079729 44089440 44109408 43159183 41949082 41569041 40599047 40449178 41599425 42189507 43799834 45200262 46100375 46370583 46880779 47570965 48561127 49521215 MRGL 37377499 37617631 38227694 38697691 39257651 39537598 39527476 39307363 MRGL 40678861 41588782 43358794 44168841 45168837 45888805 46418673 46278548 45458386 44908312 43598249 42648258 41368294 40248401 38808653 38758765 38888828 39098871 39708916 40178919 40678861 TSTM 32111695 32731708 33361720 34091704 34621673 35011586 35711339 35771175 35161027 33940890 33240829 32930771 33010710 33680544 34170392 35640276 37290262 38910170 39299898 40579662 40919601 41409604 41869664 42649954 43790274 45540670 45850914 47761312 48201379 49451648 99999999 27910054 30399869 31899679 33449368 33519064 34538347 34888039 35297839 35927762 36597718 37267703 37987738 38827795 39447756 39857647 40047565 40017448 39727353 99999999 45377258 44047311 42557491 41307659 39708072 37848451 36558783 35279185 35369525 34109883 32420045 30520160 29430209 99999999 49339627 47939453 47299267 47019074 47398928 47748780 48068652 && THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 WSW VPZ 0 - GRR 10 N ARB 20 W TOL 15 SSE MIE 20 NW BMG 30 WSW HUF 0 - MTO 15 NNW CMI 25 WSW VPZ THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 NE FOD 0 - MCW 35 NNE ALO 30 E CID 30 W MLI 20 NNW BRL 30 ESE OTM 15 NE DSM 15 S FOD 10 NE FOD THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 E SGJ 20 WSW GNV 50 WSW CTY 55 S TLH 50 SSW AAF ...CONT... 55 S PSX 10 NE PSX 10 ESE HOU 30 ESE MCB 20 N GZH 30 WNW ABY 25 NNE MGR 60 SE SAV THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NW AMA 20 SSE LBL 40 ESE DDC 10 N EMP 40 SE OJC 50 SSE SZL 40 SW TBN 40 SSW TBN 25 W UNO 30 ESE FYV 35 NNE CQB 35 N CDS 20 NNW PVW 35 SW AMA 25 NW AMA THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 95 NNW ISN 15 NW MOT 30 NE BIS 20 E ABR 10 NNW ATY 30 N FRM 10 SW MKT 50 NE ALO 30 S DBQ 10 NNE MLI 35 ESE BRL 40 SW BRL 30 W DSM 20 NE DNS 15 W MHE 55 SSW Y22 30 SE BHK 0 - MLS 85 NNE BIL 35 NNW LWT 75 N GTF 65 N CTB THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SE WAL 45 S NHK 30 W NHK 15 SSE DCA 10 ENE BWI 25 WSW ILG 10 WNW ACY 50 E ACY THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NE BMI 45 WNW VPZ 30 N MKE 15 NNE OSH 45 SSW IMT 0 - IMT 50 NNE ESC 60 NW PLN 30 NNW APN 25 ESE APN 30 ESE BAX 15 ENE MTC 45 NNW MFD 25 NNE DAY 25 SSE BMG 50 N EVV 40 S MTO 35 NNE SLO 20 WSW DEC 25 SW BMI 20 NE BMI GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SSE SAN 0 - SAN 45 N SAN 25 ENE RAL 15 S DAG 55 ENE DAG 45 NE IGM 25 ESE GCN 25 ENE INW 65 ESE SOW 45 N SVC 30 SW TCS 20 SE TCS 15 NNE SRR 35 WSW CVS 30 SSW DHT 0 - SPD 30 S GLD 30 NNW RSL 20 NNE BIE 30 SSW OMA 10 NW OMA 25 WNW TQE 25 E ANW 25 SE RAP 55 NNE SHR 30 W BIL 75 N 3DU 25 ESE GPI 135 NNE GEG ...CONT... 70 WNW LRD 60 NNW SAT 25 WSW CRS 20 E TXK 20 E GLH 40 N AHN 40 SE CLT 25 WSW GSB 15 ENE RWI 30 ENE RZZ 25 SE RIC 35 N RIC 40 S MRB 20 SSE HGR 30 SE CXY 25 N ILG 10 WSW NEL 50 ESE NEL ...CONT... 35 NNW EFK 30 S BTV 50 SSE UCA 15 ENE IPT 35 S HLG 15 SSE LEX 20 WSW HOP 35 SSW BVX 20 SSE MKO 20 WNW SPS 45 W ABI 50 NE 6R6 45 S 6R6 ...CONT... 40 NW ROX 35 NNE BJI 10 SE HIB 35 NNE ASX 40 WNW CMX 50 NE CMX 115 NNE MQT