Day 1 Areal Outline

Issued:

Risk area map for Day 1 Areal Outline

Summary

Severe thunderstorms with potential for tornadoes, large hail, and damaging winds are forecast across much of the central and eastern United States today. The highest risk of severe weather is located in the central Plains, with varying levels of risk extending through the Midwest, South, and into parts of the Southeast.

Product Text

000 WUUS01 KWNS 301959 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0257 PM CDT TUE JUN 30 2026 VALID TIME 302000Z - 011200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 46787035 46457027 45387009 44887017 44407041 44037085 42287321 41697411 41337456 41297495 41427559 41787652 42307731 43137775 44477801 0.02 45998310 45818604 45308679 44378758 44068802 43928838 43688954 43819026 43969073 44419107 44679108 45259116 45699101 46259049 46818964 47018889 46948819 46778694 46958433 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 46377092 44886979 44446997 43857098 42607272 41277583 41197653 41397692 41867739 42917798 44247804 0.05 45808222 44698521 43608821 43289036 42959395 42269683 41159812 38639969 35500078 35090127 34880170 34860260 35060318 35540347 36610353 37440322 38630281 39090291 39390336 40000413 40200422 40770429 41280397 42220316 42990198 44399871 46129376 46619236 48738796 0.15 46948416 46078598 45688770 45968924 46408981 47028956 47668725 48068507 0.15 37860221 38550188 38770090 38510041 38000043 37330089 37300196 37860221 0.15 43359563 42669668 41030074 40730140 40660166 40720205 40890218 41170225 41370228 41610211 41960176 44299694 44319586 44109532 43739524 43359563 CIG1 37630319 38560270 39410222 40360104 40550052 40340007 39259973 38520003 37580041 36740110 36680235 36930292 37630319 && ... WIND ... 0.05 29258818 29759039 30079077 30399082 31179049 32128925 33378706 33778620 34218502 34208466 34058433 33868418 33448403 32678388 32098375 31638346 30938286 28958142 27178067 26548049 26328063 26148086 26058112 26198145 26438222 26558274 26388304 0.05 46837039 45506938 44876933 44446960 43447048 41747217 41267309 41037410 40627539 40607617 40977750 43007946 0.05 44378183 43009082 42409286 41289573 39389799 37009936 35170009 33030189 32840270 32930339 33530387 35120391 36570358 37610321 39150279 40220345 40640354 41400357 42170315 43590104 44669831 45319670 47349021 48618798 0.15 45447244 44317217 43377240 42057344 41447546 41687633 42077695 44267779 0.15 45218197 44248681 43998849 43838988 43599119 43349244 43049343 42679442 42049590 41559657 41019715 40259809 38669928 35560058 34690102 34150137 33980191 33970243 34280293 34830317 35900331 37220289 40120205 40540221 40960238 41340231 41980180 44279725 46389099 48088715 48238661 0.30 37400204 38200201 39530114 40010023 40009935 39629912 37480064 37220111 37180157 37400204 CIG1 33880119 33040192 32850270 32950337 33530388 35110391 36690352 38160302 39180274 41270237 41590211 41990177 42880023 44399691 45199445 45939236 46379097 46489027 46378943 45938862 45308826 44538807 44138800 43808818 43478866 43218917 43039053 42669207 41829445 41239577 40329689 39489788 36989936 35160009 33880119 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... ENH 38200201 39530114 40010023 40009935 39629912 37480064 37220111 37180157 37400204 38200201 SLGT 45218197 44248681 43838988 43349244 42679442 42049590 40259809 38669928 35560058 34150137 33980191 33970243 34280293 34830317 35900331 40120205 40960238 41340231 41980180 44279725 46389099 48088715 SLGT 45447244 44317217 43377240 42057344 41447546 41687633 42077695 44097773 MRGL 29278828 29759039 30079077 30399082 31179049 32128925 33378706 34218502 34208466 34058433 33868418 33448403 32098375 28958142 27178067 26548049 26148086 26058112 26558274 MRGL 44378183 43009082 42409286 41289573 39389799 37009936 35170009 33030189 32840270 32930339 33530387 35120391 36570358 38880286 39090291 40000413 40770429 41280397 42220316 43590104 45319670 46779202 48718800 MRGL 46787035 45506938 44876933 44446960 43447048 41747217 41267309 40627539 40607617 40977750 43007946 TSTM 26719680 27029683 27179723 27789769 28779809 29629828 30579806 30979755 31269694 31289638 31399427 31409331 31509246 31879136 32839006 34198843 35608656 36538518 37988319 39628166 40188129 40598110 41758065 42318072 42888136 43288201 43408246 43348315 43168404 42578637 41718984 41629041 41459121 41089256 40719381 40479444 39929529 38849674 38139739 34949900 32750045 31510114 30680120 28880108 99999999 39967236 40107388 39667651 39417714 38917784 38427824 37047938 36137991 35398030 34718058 34008093 33238086 32538041 31897988 99999999 30820897 33500850 35510832 36180817 37220771 38190689 39140628 40140615 41090660 41460692 41570718 41490759 41330787 41100823 40920846 40580891 39900983 39601038 39531063 39481088 39501122 39591152 39761181 40051229 41811514 42951671 44181795 44611822 45451783 46331688 46911606 47641454 48031407 48531426 48851519 48581623 48131730 48031836 48311926 48691980 49662028 99999999 49559856 48570132 48230247 47980385 47290602 46830684 46430710 46110697 45810668 45670613 45720526 45730452 45870238 46029998 46019833 46349595 46699401 47109251 47589128 48149019 48938905 && THERE IS A ENHANCED RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 ENE LAA 30 ENE GLD 25 SE MCK 50 NNE HLC 40 ENE HLC 30 S GCK 15 NNW LBL 20 NE EHA 30 NNW EHA 35 ENE LAA THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 80 E APN 30 W MBL 20 ESE VOK 40 S RST 15 NW FOD 25 NE TQE 30 SE HSI 30 WSW RSL 45 ESE BGD 20 E PVW 15 SW PVW 40 WNW LBB 25 ESE CVS 30 NNE CVS 40 SSW CAO 35 SW IML 35 ESE SNY 40 ENE SNY 40 W MHN 20 W BKX 10 SSW ASX 110 N MQT THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NNW EFK 20 ENE MPV 20 SSW LEB 25 SSW PSF 15 ENE AVP 40 SSW BGM 0 - ELM 65 N ROC THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 E BVE 20 SSW MSY 35 N HUM 20 ESE BTR 0 - MCB 35 WSW MEI 25 SW BHM 15 SE RMG 30 ESE RMG 30 N ATL 20 NE ATL 25 ESE ATL 45 S MCN 30 N ORL 35 SSW VRB 25 WSW PBI 45 WNW MIA 40 E APF 55 W FMY THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 NE BAX 40 N DBQ 25 WSW ALO 10 E OMA 20 WSW CNK 40 WNW AVK 50 NNE CDS 45 S LBB 30 ENE HOB 20 NNW HOB 40 ENE ROW 20 WSW TCC 25 WNW CAO 40 SW ITR 35 WSW ITR 45 ENE DEN 40 SE CYS 45 SSW BFF 20 WNW AIA 40 SE PHP 15 W VVV 10 ESE DLH 110 NNE CMX THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 150 NNE BML 55 NNW BGR 25 WNW BGR 15 NE AUG 15 SSW PWM 30 NNW GON 0 - BDR 0 - ABE 40 W ABE 20 ENE UNV 35 W BUF GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 NE BRO 65 SE CRP 45 SSE CRP 10 W CRP 40 NW NIR 15 ENE SAT 30 NW AUS 15 SSW TPL 30 SE ACT 50 N CLL 30 ENE LFK 25 NNW POE 10 NW ESF 20 NNW HEZ 35 N JAN 20 ESE TUP 35 S BNA 40 N CSV 30 NNE JKL 20 NNW PKB 35 W HLG 30 SE CAK 35 N YNG 30 WNW ERI 80 NW ERI 65 NE MTC 35 SE BAX 30 SSW BAX 20 NW FNT 30 N BEH 40 ENE MLI 15 NNE MLI 40 SE CID 0 - OTM 10 NE LWD 30 WSW LWD 20 ESE FNB 20 S MHK 35 N ICT 25 NE LTS 50 WNW ABI 40 WNW SJT 65 SW SJT 35 SSW DRT ...CONT... 70 SE ISP 25 E NEL 35 NNE BWI 30 WNW BWI 35 SSE MRB 25 NNE CHO 20 SSW LYH 0 - GSO 40 ENE CLT 40 SSE CLT 10 ENE CAE 15 S OGB 35 SW CHS 70 S CHS ...CONT... 60 SE DUG 65 NNW SVC 25 E GUP 40 S FMN 0 - DRO 25 S GUC 30 E ASE 55 NE EGE 60 SSE RWL 30 SSE RWL 15 S RWL 30 SW RWL 45 SW RWL 55 NW CAG 55 SE RKS 35 ENE VEL 40 SSW VEL 20 E PUC 10 SE PUC 10 SW PUC 25 WSW PUC 40 W PUC 45 NE U24 35 ESE DPG 55 SW TWF 50 SSW BOI 45 S BKE 25 SW BKE 45 N BKE 0 - LWS 55 NNW P69 50 SSW GPI 20 SSE GPI 15 N GPI 55 NW GPI 80 NNW 3TH 35 NNE GEG 50 NW GEG 15 SE OMK 20 NW OMK 90 NNW OMK ...CONT... 100 N DVL 20 N MOT 55 E ISN 15 SW ISN 60 N MLS 55 WNW MLS 60 W MLS 55 WSW MLS 55 SW MLS 40 WNW 4BQ 20 NNE 4BQ 45 SSW BHK 10 WSW Y22 40 NNE MBG 40 N ABR 35 S DTL 20 NNE BRD 25 SE HIB 25 NNE BFW 30 NNE GNA 100 NE GNA