Day 3 Areal Outline

Issued:

Risk area map for Day 3 Areal Outline

Summary

Severe thunderstorms with a slight risk are expected across parts of the Southeast and Mid-Atlantic through Wednesday. Marginal risks for severe thunderstorms and general thunderstorm activity will affect much of the eastern United States, including portions of the Deep South, the Carolinas, and the Northeast.

Product Text

000 WUUS03 KWNS 161934 PTSDY3 DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0232 PM CDT TUE JUN 16 2026 VALID TIME 181200Z - 191200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 3 ... ANY SEVERE ... 0.05 28159459 31809331 33219378 33699518 33299732 31929982 31620046 31580154 31830216 32640279 33670276 34630201 36229943 36619859 37789583 38269395 38099181 38138795 38858555 40028202 41118000 42417809 44797608 99999999 46377082 44826918 43046837 99999999 36917367 36567679 33988060 30768307 28948425 0.15 38127401 37457784 36518360 36098669 35968882 36488904 36988874 37498805 38548468 40087971 41147769 41847532 41677336 40297072 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 3 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 38037454 36518360 36098669 35968882 36488904 36988874 37498805 40087971 41147769 41847532 41677336 40557123 MRGL 46367081 44826918 43426854 99999999 36737526 36567679 33988060 30768307 29308401 99999999 28799436 31809331 33219378 33699518 33299732 31620046 31580154 31830216 32640279 33670276 34630201 36229943 37789583 38269395 38099181 38138795 40028202 41118000 42417809 44797608 TSTM 27299580 29909676 30039733 28719885 27750031 27750072 99999999 29270525 32880395 35360249 37089955 38139753 38599516 38629316 38718871 39938382 42427978 43817957 99999999 49540395 45939786 44719658 43779688 43739814 44920317 46530779 48191220 49831393 && THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 E WAL 45 SE LOZ 0 - BNA 25 NNE MKL 40 NNE DYR 0 - PAH 45 SW EVV 20 SW LBE 20 NNE UNV 30 WNW MSV 25 E POU 45 SSE BID THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 120 N BML 15 W BGR 70 S BHB ...CONT... 55 ESE ORF 40 WNW ECG 30 E CAE 15 E VLD 60 WSW CTY ...CONT... 45 SSE GLS 15 WNW IER 20 SE TXK 15 ENE PRX 35 N FTW 15 N SJT 45 S BGS 10 SSE MAF 25 E HOB 60 SSE CVS 35 NNW PVW 20 ESE GAG 20 WNW CNU 40 SW SZL 0 - VIH 25 WNW EVV 10 NW ZZV 20 SSW FKL 50 NNE BFD 55 N ART GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 105 SSE PSX 50 SSW CLL 30 SE AUS 30 NE COT 55 WNW LRD 80 W LRD ...CONT... 105 SW MRF 40 NNE CNM 45 S DHT 55 SSE DDC 20 ENE HUT 30 SW OJC 20 ESE SZL 15 ENE SLO 20 E DAY 30 NE ERI 75 NW BUF ...CONT... 95 N ISN 45 NE ABR 30 NNE BKX 15 NNW FSD 0 - MHE 50 SSE 2WX 60 NE BIL 30 SSE CTB 105 N GPI