Day 1 Convective Outlook

Issued: 2026-10-04 00:38 UTC  ·  Valid: 2026-10-04 01:00 – 2026-10-04 12:00 UTC

Summary

Showers and occasional thunderstorms are possible tonight along and south of a surface front extending from the Carolinas toward the upper-Gulf coast of Texas, with no severe weather expected.

Product Text

000 ACUS01 KWNS 040038 SWODY1 SPC AC 040036 Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0736 PM CDT Sat Oct 03 2026 Valid 040100Z - 041200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Organized severe thunderstorms are not forecast through tonight. ... 01Z ... Showers and the occasional thunderstorm will be possible this evening along and south of a surface front stretched from the Carolinas southwest toward the upper-Gulf coast of Texas. Limited instability should preclude any severe potential. Overnight a secondary cold front will move south into the southern Plains. Cool surface temperatures and moist vertical profiles will limit overall instability, but enough elevated instability may develop to support an occasional thunderstorm. The severe potential will remain low through the forecast period. ..Marsh.. 10/04/2026 $$