Day 1 Areal Outline
Issued:
Summary
Severe thunderstorms capable of producing tornadoes, large hail, and damaging winds are forecast for parts of the central and southern United States today. These storms range from marginal to slight risk in severity across broad areas including the Southern Plains, the Midwest, and parts of the Gulf Coast.
Product Text
000 WUUS01 KWNS 170102 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0800 PM CDT TUE JUN 16 2026 VALID TIME 170100Z - 171200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 41248405 40118515 38488719 37938772 38028835 38678843 40168728 41948569 42578547 42938477 42898405 42358342 41248405 0.02 27939629 28839609 29589512 30928999 31098732 30768655 29628657 0.05 40268568 39738579 39098685 39088729 39308744 40268645 40388604 40268568 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 36159657 34930021 34470183 34850216 35490200 36780084 37949976 38509621 38429419 38069321 37249258 36789245 35889366 35999499 36159657 0.05 49640463 48490168 44109400 43279172 42199059 41449043 40559045 40439183 41929462 43189660 45210245 46140379 47520690 48430863 48641112 49661203 0.05 42648257 40518393 39578519 37778763 37848824 38088879 38528851 39478790 41928575 43698521 44898567 45808451 45458386 44908312 43598249 42648257 0.15 43149345 42959206 41969117 41509110 41069132 40969194 41659347 42319418 42679404 43149345 CIG1 36399855 35470030 35700074 35860079 36790035 37589994 37769938 37889896 37589863 36919847 36399855 && ... WIND ... 0.05 49540433 48440155 47210051 45489802 45079729 44219477 43709301 43139101 42409028 41629041 40509054 40479178 41599425 42079485 42959668 43799834 45200262 46100375 46370583 46880779 47570965 48561127 49551218 0.05 37949365 37059179 36369152 35809186 35769289 35909372 36189652 35879754 34940026 34480173 34900197 36550052 37019989 37429929 38049789 38179546 37949365 0.05 43658247 42658258 41518324 40248401 39318536 38758636 38308745 38348824 38818833 39458794 40238725 41928570 42828541 43998302 43658247 0.15 43119190 42299077 41149129 40969204 41599344 42379412 42699414 43169350 43119190 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 40268645 40388604 40268568 39738579 39098685 39088729 39308744 40268645 SLGT 42699414 43169350 43119190 42299077 41069132 40969204 41599344 42319418 42699414 MRGL 27939629 28839609 29589512 30928999 31098732 30768655 29758657 MRGL 35490200 37949976 38509621 38429419 38069321 37549281 37059179 36369152 35809186 35769289 36159657 34480173 34470183 34850216 35490200 MRGL 39458794 41928575 43698521 44898567 45808451 45458386 44908312 43658247 42648257 40248401 39318536 38898612 37778763 37848824 38088879 39458794 MRGL 49480419 48440155 44109400 43569251 43139101 42409028 41449043 40559045 40439183 41599425 42089487 43779830 45200262 46100375 46370583 46880779 47570965 48561127 49521215 TSTM 32111695 32731708 33361720 34091704 34621673 35011586 35711339 35771175 35161027 33940890 33240829 32930771 33010710 33680544 34170392 35640276 37290262 38910170 39299898 40579662 40919601 41409604 41869664 42649954 43790274 45540670 45850914 47761312 48201379 49451648 99999999 27910054 30399869 31899679 33449368 33519064 34538347 34888039 35297839 35927762 36597718 37267703 37987738 38827795 39447756 39857647 40047565 40017448 39727353 99999999 45377258 44047311 42557491 41307659 39708072 37848451 36558783 35279185 35369525 34109883 32420045 30520160 29430209 99999999 49339627 47939453 47299267 47019074 47398928 47748780 48068652 && THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 ESE LAF 35 WNW MIE 15 W MIE 25 E IND 15 WSW BMG 25 S HUF 10 SSW HUF 30 ESE LAF THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 NNE FOD 10 W MCW 45 NNE ALO 10 SSW DBQ 20 NNW BRL 25 ESE OTM 15 ENE DSM 15 S FOD 10 NNE FOD THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 S PSX 10 NE PSX 10 ESE HOU 35 ESE MCB 30 SW GZH 0 - CEW 60 SE PNS THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NW AMA 15 NE DDC 10 N EMP 40 SE OJC 50 SSE SZL 40 NE SGF 20 NNE UNO 35 SE UNO 15 WNW BVX 35 NNE RUE 35 NNE CQB 20 N PVW 20 NNW PVW 35 SW AMA 25 NW AMA THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 E MTO 25 SSW AZO 55 SSW HTL 10 NNW TVC 20 NE PLN 30 NNW APN 25 ESE APN 25 ESE BAX 15 ENE MTC 25 NNE DAY 65 S MIE 30 ESE BMG 20 SSW EVV 40 WSW EVV 15 SSE MVN 20 E MTO THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 95 NNW ISN 15 NW MOT 10 SSW MKT 25 S RST 55 NNW DBQ 20 E DBQ 0 - MLI 40 ESE BRL 45 WSW BRL 30 W DSM 25 ENE DNS 15 W MHE 55 SSW Y22 30 SE BHK 0 - MLS 85 NNE BIL 35 NNW LWT 75 N GTF 65 N CTB GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SSE SAN 0 - SAN 45 N SAN 25 ENE RAL 15 S DAG 55 ENE DAG 45 NE IGM 25 ESE GCN 25 ENE INW 65 ESE SOW 45 N SVC 30 SW TCS 20 SE TCS 15 NNE SRR 35 WSW CVS 30 SSW DHT 0 - SPD 30 S GLD 30 NNW RSL 20 NNE BIE 30 SSW OMA 10 NW OMA 25 WNW TQE 25 E ANW 25 SE RAP 55 NNE SHR 30 W BIL 75 N 3DU 25 ESE GPI 135 NNE GEG ...CONT... 70 WNW LRD 60 NNW SAT 25 WSW CRS 20 E TXK 20 E GLH 40 N AHN 40 SE CLT 25 WSW GSB 15 ENE RWI 30 ENE RZZ 25 SE RIC 35 N RIC 40 S MRB 20 SSE HGR 30 SE CXY 25 N ILG 10 WSW NEL 50 ESE NEL ...CONT... 35 NNW EFK 30 S BTV 50 SSE UCA 15 ENE IPT 35 S HLG 15 SSE LEX 20 WSW HOP 35 SSW BVX 20 SSE MKO 20 WNW SPS 45 W ABI 50 NE 6R6 45 S 6R6 ...CONT... 40 NW ROX 35 NNE BJI 10 SE HIB 35 NNE ASX 40 WNW CMX 50 NE CMX 115 NNE MQT