Day 1 Areal Outline

Issued:

Risk area map for Day 1 Areal Outline

Summary

Severe thunderstorms with a risk of tornadoes, large hail, and damaging winds are expected across portions of the Southeast, Gulf Coast, and Central United States today. These hazards range from marginal to slight severity, affecting areas from coastal North Carolina and South Carolina through the Gulf States and into the Mississippi Valley.

Product Text

000 WUUS01 KWNS 191955 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0253 PM CDT SUN JUL 19 2026 VALID TIME 192000Z - 201200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... && ... HAIL ... 0.05 49159300 48859318 47769390 46529455 45599523 44969592 44329711 44159851 44410147 44470208 44720273 45090330 45520356 45790369 46200366 46510350 46810329 47140297 47590245 48170169 49300038 0.15 49349606 48019677 46949748 46519782 45899825 45329910 44919974 44710022 44720085 45300209 45540244 45990258 46590249 47100211 49089985 49429949 CIG1 46979671 46219711 45469822 44959918 44710014 44710085 44880174 45190244 45620273 46090293 46500295 46850277 49020061 49099721 48889674 46979671 && ... WIND ... 0.05 28589072 30299053 32458954 34038863 35278718 36398342 36758191 37258032 37737816 37607361 99999999 33527712 33518006 33258256 32768448 32238584 31278691 29958772 29458794 0.05 48558930 47318932 45548999 44089073 43109187 42469306 42319437 42359605 42479758 42509980 42170206 41830320 42030417 43290501 43580586 43970667 44930802 45770783 45990695 45950514 46190398 46890325 47550254 48390139 49320040 0.05 27928238 28478256 29158280 29728339 30208402 31208390 31688304 31208202 30488155 29258111 28578102 28118107 27918117 27848150 27788188 27928238 0.15 34357544 34197841 33788196 33538355 33598389 33878410 34188416 34448416 34838390 35328313 36118165 36797992 37237808 36997422 0.15 49159300 47779390 46529456 45599525 44919595 44319712 44179848 44480026 45000153 45490250 46280277 46900247 48060127 49439963 CIG1 44600106 44170403 44050529 44130667 44810765 45170784 45640757 45850704 45920626 45950504 46210392 46650345 47460264 48440132 49300037 49310007 49139538 48959518 48189526 45859592 45059691 44849840 44600106 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 34337587 34197841 33538355 33598389 33878410 34188416 34448416 34838390 35328313 36118165 36797992 37237808 37057518 SLGT 49109303 47779390 46529456 45599525 44919595 44319712 44179848 44480026 45000153 45490250 46280277 46900247 48060127 49439963 MRGL 31208390 31688304 31208202 30488155 29258111 28578102 28118107 27918117 27788188 27928238 29158280 30208402 31208390 MRGL 33527740 33518006 33258256 32768448 32238584 31278691 29588788 99999999 28589072 30299053 32458954 34038863 35278718 37258032 37737816 37637476 MRGL 48558930 47318932 45548999 44089073 43109187 42469306 42319437 42509980 42170206 41830320 42030417 43290501 43580586 43970667 44930802 45770783 45990695 45950514 46190398 47550254 48180168 49320040 TSTM 28529127 30279119 30749113 31499085 32179073 32509104 32699147 32969289 32959381 32839464 32349579 31049798 30559972 30310031 30140060 29840073 29460092 29000088 28650103 99999999 46628296 46258331 45908401 45648471 45608507 45568656 45358808 44468966 43239093 41909214 41289245 40699224 39819141 38988885 38388579 38198327 38178156 38717899 38737705 38257522 38147411 99999999 38400547 37710552 36950549 36460508 36070435 36180347 36720236 37490092 38439938 39349840 39689811 40039793 40529791 41129815 41619843 41749887 41729957 41610088 41040260 40310402 39870467 39090520 38400547 99999999 31301206 32631325 33681433 35091527 36081603 36601648 37021708 37051758 37011801 36861849 36901885 37141939 37541994 37872023 38382052 39292039 39642010 39831972 40091897 40751769 42251565 43701478 44841381 44841381 46481000 46920852 47200733 47770607 48560500 49390428 49740386 && THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 SSW HSE 30 W ILM 30 SSW AHN 30 E ATL 25 NE ATL 40 NNE ATL 60 NNE ATL 70 S TYS 35 WSW AVL 30 NNW HKY 35 S ROA 35 N AVC 65 SSE WAL THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NNE INL 60 SSW INL 20 WNW BRD 20 SSE AXN 35 SE VVV 15 W BKX 20 SW HON 0 - PIR 65 N PHP 35 SSW Y22 35 S DIK 15 ENE DIK 15 S MOT 95 NNW DVL THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 NW MGR 50 NW AYS 25 E AYS 10 E JAX 0 - DAB 20 E ORL 25 W MLB 20 NNE AGR 35 WNW AGR 20 E PIE 40 SSE CTY 25 SE TLH 10 NW MGR THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 SSE ILM 40 N CHS 35 WSW AGS 30 ENE CSG 25 NNE TOI 15 SE GZH 75 SW PNS ...CONT... 70 S HUM 25 NW MSY 35 ENE JAN 20 SSE TUP 45 NE MSL 20 WSW ROA 30 SSE CHO 45 ESE WAL THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 75 NE GNA 40 WNW CMX 25 WSW RHI 25 WNW VOK 45 NE ALO 35 W ALO 20 SSW FOD 10 ESE ANW 40 ENE AIA 20 E BFF 0 - TOR 40 NNE DGW 55 SSW GCC 55 SSE SHR 65 N WRL 35 E BIL 60 WSW MLS 40 NNE 4BQ 15 SE BHK 55 NNE DIK 20 WSW MOT 85 NNE MOT GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 80 SSW HUM 20 S BTR 15 N BTR 30 ESE HEZ 40 WSW JAN 65 NNE HEZ 35 ENE MLU 20 SSW ELD 35 N SHV 30 N GGG 25 W TYR 35 WSW TPL 0 - JCT 35 WSW JCT 55 NNE DRT 35 NNE DRT 0 - DRT 25 S DRT 50 S DRT ...CONT... 70 E ANJ 55 ESE ANJ 45 SSE ANJ 0 - PLN 15 W PLN 30 ESE ESC 35 S IMT 20 S CWA 50 SSE LSE 20 W CID 10 N OTM 30 SSE OTM 15 SW UIN 25 NNE SLO 15 NNW SDF 45 N JKL 15 S CRW 30 N SHD 10 S DCA 15 ESE SBY 75 ENE WAL ...CONT... 50 SW COS 25 NE ALS 40 SSE ALS 35 WSW RTN 45 S RTN 25 SW CAO 30 SW EHA 30 N LBL 40 SW RSL 40 NE RSL 25 WNW CNK 35 NNW CNK 30 ESE HSI 15 NE GRI 45 N GRI 15 E BUB 20 N BBW 30 SSE MHN 20 ESE SNY 45 WNW AKO 15 ENE DEN 30 NW COS 50 SW COS ...CONT... 85 SW TUS 40 WSW GBN 25 ENE BLH 45 WNW EED 40 S DRA 25 W DRA 75 S TPH 50 ESE BIH 30 SE BIH 35 S BIH 40 SW BIH 30 NE FAT 35 ENE MER 45 NNE MER 45 SW TVL 35 NW TVL 20 WNW RNO 25 N RNO 20 W LOL 10 SSE WMC 35 NE OWY 30 WNW SUN 20 S SMN 20 S SMN 10 WNW 3HT 45 E LWT 80 SSW GGW 30 SW OLF 40 NE OLF 90 NNW ISN 110 N ISN