Day 1 Areal Outline

Issued: 2026-07-31 16:29 UTC

Summary

Slight risks of tornadoes, large hail, and damaging winds are expected across parts of the central and southern United States through Friday evening. Marginal risks for severe thunderstorms also persist across a broad area including parts of the Plains and Midwest.

Product Text

000 WUUS01 KWNS 311629 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1128 AM CDT FRI JUL 31 2026 VALID TIME 311630Z - 011200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 35979042 35879091 35929172 36029228 36439300 37219363 38459358 39819307 40349293 40649266 40849222 40789167 40579120 40179040 39918999 39628971 39088947 38698930 38118922 37448925 37008937 36638955 36388976 35979042 0.05 38119102 37339112 36849129 36679159 36719214 37219262 37679282 38109292 38579277 39069243 39349181 39219124 38519108 38119102 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 34280340 34190375 34150412 34230448 34380468 34990508 36200530 37820533 38870527 39610515 39830481 39910426 39560376 38990359 38080348 37100324 36480308 35730285 35220288 34860296 34510313 34420319 34280340 0.05 37909103 36989115 36669143 36619169 36649215 36939296 37249324 37619331 38149319 38909305 39559279 40559213 40649137 40359083 39549069 38699088 37909103 && ... WIND ... 0.05 35338968 34589173 33879347 33209623 32829840 32730025 32850179 32750383 33320497 34940507 36190529 37790534 39110523 39610515 39830485 39910427 39580380 39000360 38060349 36460308 35640239 35280167 35050041 35169971 35349848 36019604 36669512 37379441 38519390 39539368 40509341 41349319 42099249 42329117 42269011 41938906 41328808 40148749 38878747 37238796 35968882 35338968 0.15 36539057 36459127 36559185 36769260 37179272 38059300 39699237 39989207 40449161 40539087 40459035 40208983 39668932 38758911 37928926 37128971 36689013 36539057 0.15 34660461 35700444 35990411 35900358 35620327 35070266 34870207 34450100 34310052 34209999 33889987 33490004 33240070 33300197 33520349 33960430 34230454 34660461 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 35700444 35990411 35900358 35070266 34450100 34209999 33889987 33490004 33240070 33300197 33520349 33960430 34230454 34660461 35700444 SLGT 39699237 40449161 40539087 40459035 40208983 39668932 38758911 37928926 37128971 36689013 36539057 36459127 36769260 38059300 39699237 MRGL 39610515 39830485 39910426 39560376 36450307 35640239 35280167 35050041 35349848 36019604 36669512 37379441 38519390 41349319 42099249 42329117 42269011 41938906 41328808 40148749 38878747 37238796 35968882 35338968 33879347 33209623 32829840 32730025 32850179 32750383 33320497 34940507 36200530 37790534 39610515 TSTM 29309339 30029319 30809309 31289295 31549347 31329439 31019576 31399725 32189817 31970147 31820382 29750560 99999999 30961141 32191117 32871108 33541171 34211203 34801191 35171162 35361101 35521019 35650932 35730851 35950822 36340789 37130776 38960758 40010772 40680797 41200845 40790912 40390963 40431041 41371095 41681122 42021194 42511278 43501456 43981474 44771456 45301356 45171236 45151078 45560943 46780749 47660654 49030699 50140764 99999999 49400072 48170138 46350205 44420215 43670230 42760263 40190309 37820267 36500188 36220106 36079967 36309800 36919581 37379488 39309420 40969413 41889477 42439573 42649644 43999745 44549763 45549745 46329642 47359431 48069239 48489044 99999999 43177991 42788036 42368123 42268192 42898318 43348403 44168579 44388678 44148701 43778672 42798571 41398490 38778434 37898426 36998455 35728524 34848570 34178570 33558528 33068428 32778282 32888195 33388119 33538043 33417993 33047949 32577920 99999999 45767106 45637096 45157063 44437011 43466973 43026969 42066986 41047025 40577107 99999999 40457249 40997354 41887425 43037438 43537413 44017384 44527359 45097346 45557346 && THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 E LVS 55 SSE RTN 45 SSW CAO 55 E TCC 40 W CDS 25 SE CDS 45 SSE CDS 65 SSE CDS 70 ESE LBB 25 SSW LBB 60 S CVS 50 NNE ROW 65 N ROW 75 SSE LVS 40 E LVS THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SSE IRK 35 SW BRL 20 SE BRL 40 WSW PIA 25 NNW SPI 25 SE SPI 10 NW SLO 10 N MDH 10 SW CGI 20 ESE POF 15 SSW POF 30 NW ARG 40 N FLP 55 SSE SZL 30 SSE IRK THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SW DEN 0 - DEN 35 ENE DEN 20 NNW LIC 0 - CAO 30 SSE DHT 0 - AMA 45 N CDS 35 WNW CHK 15 SW TUL 20 W GMJ 15 NNE JLN 25 SW SZL 0 - OXV 30 S ALO 25 WSW DBQ 35 ESE DBQ 20 S RFD 30 E MMO 0 - DNV 40 SSW HUF 45 NW HOP 25 NNE MKL 25 NE MEM 40 NE TXK 45 SE GYI 20 W MWL 40 WNW ABI 45 NNW BGS 40 NE CNM 25 W ROW 50 S LVS 40 NNW LVS 40 NE ALS 20 SW DEN GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 S LCH 10 SSE LCH 20 SSE POE 20 NE POE 25 WSW IER 20 ENE LFK 25 NW UTS 15 S ACT 0 - SEP 15 S BGS 35 W INK 105 WSW MRF ...CONT... 85 SSW TUS 15 WNW TUS 55 N TUS 20 ENE PHX 40 SE PRC 25 SSW FLG 0 - FLG 30 NW INW 45 NE INW 30 WNW GUP 20 NE GUP 45 NE GUP 35 SE FMN 0 - DRO 35 NNE MTJ 35 SSW CAG 25 WNW CAG 40 SE RKS 35 NE VEL 0 - VEL 60 NNE PUC 0 - EVW 30 NNW EVW 20 ESE MLD 30 SSW PIH 15 W SUN 40 NNW SUN 40 SW SMN 20 NE SMN 10 ESE DLN 35 NNE WEY 45 WSW BIL 85 NE BIL 40 S GGW 60 NNW GGW 140 NNW GGW ...CONT... 80 NNE MOT 10 SSW MOT 30 N Y22 35 NW PHP 45 SW PHP 25 ESE CDR 0 - AKO 15 S LAA 25 WSW GUY 40 NNE BGD 15 SSE GAG 0 - END 15 NE BVO 25 NW JLN 25 ENE MKC 25 NNW LWD 30 ESE DNS 30 WSW SLB 15 N SUX 35 ENE MHE 35 SW ATY 45 NNW ATY 45 SSE FAR 30 ESE BJI 25 WNW ELO 50 N GNA ...CONT... 75 N ERI 50 N ERI 55 WNW ERI 60 N CLE 25 NW MTC 15 S MBS 25 ESE MBL 25 WNW MBL 35 E MTW 40 SW MBL 10 WSW GRR 30 NNE FWA 25 S LUK 20 ESE LEX 25 WSW LOZ 20 SSW CSV 30 WSW CHA 25 ENE GAD 35 E ANB 40 SSE ATL 50 NNW VDI 35 S AGS 20 WSW OGB 25 ENE OGB 35 N CHS 35 ENE CHS 55 ESE CHS ...CONT... 75 N BML 70 N BML 45 NE BML 15 WNW AUG 30 ESE PWM 55 SE PWM 35 NE HYA 20 SW ACK 50 SSE BID ...CONT... 40 SE ISP 30 NNE JFK 25 NW POU 35 WNW ALB 30 WNW GFL 30 SE SLK 20 W BTV 45 NNW BTV 75 NNW BTV