Day 1 Areal Outline

Issued: 2026-07-01 12:37 UTC

Summary

Severe thunderstorms with potential for tornadoes, large hail, and damaging winds are expected across much of the central and eastern United States on Wednesday, July 1. Risks range from enhanced to marginal for several regions, including parts of the Plains, Midwest, and Northeast.

Product Text

000 WUUS01 KWNS 011237 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0735 AM CDT WED JUL 01 2026 VALID TIME 011300Z - 021200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 42079348 41829621 42439706 43049721 44159631 45469500 46349183 46858661 46268518 45768450 45028460 44418538 43538781 42699099 42079348 0.05 44149544 45359276 45948933 45658796 45008744 44538747 44078789 42849311 42729423 43009531 43839559 44149544 CIG1 43489059 43439174 44039240 44479237 45159101 45558782 44928743 44168782 43489059 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 45617220 43747078 43147091 42567165 41277388 41157499 42117606 43557538 45717433 0.05 44698135 42469241 40959639 38449894 37379995 36190125 36020216 36090268 36530308 37260339 39160257 40110247 40390276 40710388 41310406 42540331 43480299 44970310 45440265 45050124 44810004 45109894 45579820 47679178 48528568 0.15 42479425 42149625 42439687 43019704 44259629 44659580 45479456 45879250 46209024 46188939 45748879 44728883 44168901 43798939 43259083 42479425 0.15 36910264 37760261 39620166 39930126 39940015 39619952 39039916 38339942 37619999 37040074 36570167 36510234 36910264 CIG1 41739603 40509849 38980082 39030181 39500236 40890145 42220061 44089925 45369590 46049135 45848909 45428854 44578869 43968893 43568952 42669176 42019387 41739603 && ... WIND ... 0.05 44136721 44406950 43667063 42447134 41067238 40547307 40157383 39947512 40997680 42307822 42838053 43158339 42359009 41359365 40319596 39809689 36679998 35090100 33380202 32760283 32490365 32700451 33640503 34530493 37230359 39370255 40000249 40420286 40600385 41260414 42300349 43430304 45000317 45470273 44840011 45089881 46419363 48888764 0.05 32109331 33549248 34939075 36058813 36238607 35798426 35008316 34618303 34048335 32398646 30058965 29699059 29719233 30149331 30879354 32109331 0.05 46041393 47141314 48111160 48370987 48110752 47480681 46540673 45780752 45360841 45231019 45051084 44531110 42831105 41941202 40921351 40921419 41541484 42281492 46041393 0.15 45277228 43857125 42317233 41267376 41097510 41657671 42887825 43608025 43988311 43638778 42159374 41959593 42469692 43029704 44229628 45459471 47358826 47808560 0.15 39930015 39639956 39029919 38349940 37540009 37000081 36600161 36540233 36940268 37810262 39570171 39900132 39970101 39930015 0.30 44918169 44248578 43848912 43449120 43129312 43129486 43409545 43849561 44279539 44819427 45728985 46098278 CIG1 44949517 45409457 46199106 46338956 46578338 45918211 45038156 44628198 44138491 43688860 42549291 42529453 42969579 43629607 44249609 44949517 CIG1 37399972 36630011 33460208 32910270 32570367 32730451 33670495 34530490 36970370 39320239 40180127 40559993 40169909 39409886 38149930 37399972 CIG1 42381367 43591322 44161215 43871162 43321149 42071228 42091325 42381367 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... ENH 44898181 44248578 43848912 43129312 43129486 43409545 43849561 44279539 44819427 45728985 46088295 SLGT 37810262 39620166 39900132 39970101 39940015 39619952 39039916 38349940 37619999 37040074 36570167 36510234 36940268 37810262 SLGT 43788162 43988311 43638778 42159374 41959593 42469692 43029704 44259629 45459471 47358826 47788569 SLGT 45277228 43857125 42317233 41267376 41097510 41657671 42887825 43387964 MRGL 42978178 43158339 42359009 41359365 40319596 39809689 36679998 33380202 32760283 32490365 32700451 33640503 34530493 39370255 40000249 40420286 40600385 41260414 42300349 43430304 45000317 45470273 44840011 44959950 45109894 45579820 47679178 47928996 48728802 MRGL 46041393 47141314 48111160 48370987 48110752 47480681 46540673 45780752 45360841 45231019 45051084 44531110 42831105 41941202 40921351 40921419 41541484 42281492 46041393 MRGL 32109331 33549248 34939075 36058813 36238607 35798426 35008316 34618303 34048335 32398646 30058965 29699059 29719233 30149331 30879354 32109331 MRGL 44136721 44406950 43667063 42447134 41067238 40547307 40157383 39947512 40997680 42307822 42838053 TSTM 37987467 39857639 40317716 40757812 41477979 42298253 42518355 42458600 41678904 40759227 39919450 38869645 37739739 35519893 33080025 32000084 31240109 30190112 28820081 99999999 27649654 29149673 30059673 31299638 34289439 35439317 36839061 37378757 37328482 36898185 36408069 35547976 34997989 34088092 32378277 31698362 31488390 31328391 30988359 30878296 31088216 31158176 31278075 99999999 30880836 34480793 36290749 37310669 38230551 38980518 39710531 40420549 41090550 41590549 41990533 42480515 42870510 43330548 43580590 43610669 43290752 42750815 42070877 41430919 41000985 40791018 40661060 40641103 40601152 40481211 40211271 39951309 39311392 38811453 38451499 38291549 38201606 38381641 38701698 39161735 42031809 43241826 45201771 46211688 46891616 47671485 48321358 48781283 49231244 49751237 && THERE IS A ENHANCED RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 95 NE BAX 25 E MBL 30 WSW OSH 10 E MCW 15 ESE SPW 20 SSE OTG 15 N OTG 25 SW RWF 45 NNW MKT 20 WNW RHI 75 NNE APN THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 S LAA 20 N GLD 40 NNE GLD 30 SW MCK 30 SE MCK 25 NE HLC 20 WNW RSL 50 SW RSL 10 S DDC 15 E LBL 10 SW GUY 35 NNE DHT 25 S SPD 20 S LAA THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 E BAX 15 NNW BAX 35 S MTW 35 SE FOD 20 NE TQE 30 W SUX 20 ENE YKN 25 E BKX 35 WSW STC 15 NE CMX 110 NW ANJ THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 N EFK 20 NNE LCI 25 ENE BAF 25 SSE POU 35 NNE ABE 30 NNE IPT 25 E BUF 55 NW BUF THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 ENE MTC 20 NE FNT 30 E DBQ 10 S DSM 25 NW FNB 35 SSW BIE 30 NNW GAG 25 SSW LBB 25 ENE HOB 30 WSW HOB 30 NNW CNM 30 ENE SRR 50 NE 4CR 15 WNW ITR 40 ESE AKO 25 NE AKO 45 NW AKO 35 ENE CYS 30 N BFF 40 N CDR 45 SSE 2WX 40 SW Y22 35 NNE PIR 55 NE PIR 35 SW ABR 15 NE ABR 15 SSE ELO 20 ENE GNA 110 N CMX THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 S MSO 30 N 3DU 45 NNW GTF 15 SSW HVR 40 W GGW 50 S GGW 40 W MLS 50 E BIL 30 S BIL 35 SSE LVM 30 NNE WEY 10 S WEY 55 SSW JAC 20 SE MLD 30 ENE ENV 15 NNW ENV 65 SSW TWF 25 WSW TWF 60 S MSO THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NNW IER 30 NE ELD 45 W MEM 55 SW HOP 35 ENE BNA 15 W TYS 45 NW AND 20 WNW AND 0 - AHN 10 NNW MGM 25 SSE ASD 10 NNE HUM 15 WSW 7R4 0 - LCH 25 WSW POE 30 NNW IER THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 S EPM 15 ENE AUG 15 W PWM 20 WNW BOS 25 SW GON 15 S ISP 35 S JFK 10 NE PHL 20 SSE IPT 40 NNE BFD 55 NNW ERI GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 E WAL 35 SE CXY 20 WNW CXY 15 WSW UNV 0 - FKL 25 SE MTC 20 NNE ARB 30 WNW AZO 30 NW MMO 25 SSE OTM 25 ENE STJ 20 SSE MHK 0 - ICT 20 NE CSM 55 NW ABI 40 ESE BGS 35 WSW SJT 60 NNW DRT 40 S DRT ...CONT... 60 E CRP 25 NNE VCT 40 SSW CLL 50 N CLL 15 N DEQ 15 NNW RUE 10 WNW POF 35 SW OWB 50 SSW LEX 40 NE TRI 50 S PSK 30 NW SOP 35 WSW SOP 15 NE CAE 25 WNW VDI 35 ENE ABY 20 E ABY 20 NNW MGR 15 ESE MGR 20 ENE VLD 20 SE AYS 20 W SSI 40 ENE SSI ...CONT... 85 ESE DUG 50 S GNT 35 WNW 4SL 45 W ALS 60 NNE ALS 25 WNW COS 25 W DEN 25 W FCL 20 SSE LAR 20 NNE LAR 50 NNE LAR 20 SSE DGW 15 ENE DGW 40 N DGW 55 SSW GCC 50 NNW CPR 50 SSE WRL 25 SE RIW 35 NNE RKS 15 SSW RKS 45 NNW VEL 45 NW VEL 50 SSE EVW 45 S EVW 25 ESE SLC 20 SSW SLC 10 E DPG 20 SSW DPG 50 E ELY 35 SSE ELY 60 S ELY 70 NW P38 55 E TPH 40 ENE TPH 45 N TPH 25 SSW U31 40 SSW REO 50 NNW REO 25 NNE BKE 15 SSE LWS 60 NNW P69 25 ENE 3TH 30 E GPI 25 WNW CTB 40 N CTB 80 N CTB