Day 1 Areal Outline

Issued:

Risk area map for Day 1 Areal Outline

Summary

Severe thunderstorms capable of producing tornadoes, large hail, and strong winds are forecast across portions of the southeastern United States and the Gulf Coast throughout Sunday. Marginal to slight risks of severe weather are expected for areas including parts of Alabama, Mississippi, Georgia, and Florida.

Product Text

000 WUUS01 KWNS 191248 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0746 AM CDT SUN JUL 19 2026 VALID TIME 191300Z - 201200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... && ... HAIL ... 0.05 49149303 47389397 45179514 44479621 44179852 44690125 45500343 46700354 47400312 48130264 48770209 49610130 0.15 49349606 48019677 46839748 46099915 45940070 46140206 46630238 47690181 48610045 49279882 CIG1 47049670 44629868 45050053 45550122 46450166 47910150 49279974 49329756 48889674 47049670 && ... WIND ... 0.05 33527712 33518006 33258256 32768448 32238584 31278691 29958772 29458794 99999999 28589072 30299053 32458954 34038863 35278718 36398342 36678187 37328041 37717870 37607361 0.05 48558930 47318932 45548999 44089073 43109187 42469306 42319437 42359605 42479758 42609985 42780272 43170457 43580586 43970667 44930802 45800823 46240717 46200524 46310463 46610410 46970386 48070345 49740257 0.05 27508239 28478256 29228280 29888339 30418395 31308384 31688304 31118202 30138154 29258111 28578102 27968102 27538126 27168152 27208208 27508239 0.15 34357544 34197841 33788192 33318393 33488511 34188520 35468303 37007986 37317806 36997422 0.15 49579582 48309551 46659557 45649575 45179609 44289718 44149850 44420015 45000161 45490250 46220300 47410303 48380276 49420229 CIG1 44800159 44170403 44050529 44190648 44710735 45000768 45780756 46050704 45980614 45990560 46330408 46890359 47400322 48870268 49480246 49519959 49459713 48659674 47309644 45949665 45249775 44939925 44800159 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 34337587 34197841 33788192 33318393 33488511 34188520 35468303 37007986 37317806 37077517 SLGT 49479580 48309551 46659557 45649575 45179609 44289718 44149850 44420015 45000161 45490250 46220300 47410303 48380276 49420229 MRGL 31308384 31688304 31118202 29258111 28578102 27968102 27168152 27208208 27508239 28478256 29228280 30418395 31308384 MRGL 33527740 33518006 33258256 32768448 32238584 31278691 29588788 99999999 28589072 30299053 32458954 34038863 35278718 36398342 36678187 37328041 37717870 37627476 MRGL 48558930 47318932 45548999 44089073 43109187 42469306 42319437 42359605 42780272 43170457 43580586 43970667 44930802 45800823 46240717 46200524 46310463 46610410 46970386 48070345 49490270 TSTM 28849189 29339191 30659194 32249182 33019196 33429226 33589296 33349402 32469535 31669726 31109888 30389996 29760027 28040070 99999999 35700118 35769975 35979926 36369898 37009872 38569858 40009828 41009854 41619911 42009982 42100074 41980163 41590271 40970355 39690484 38510557 37630557 37070537 36540481 35930379 35760223 35700118 99999999 31261197 31991255 32961421 33591478 35361544 37411712 38391775 38871776 40541705 42401588 44851402 46711135 47550912 47920727 48340649 49460564 99999999 45778255 45358366 45248510 45458681 45348844 44559002 43089077 41829192 41209197 40719161 39989010 39248803 38628509 38518202 38687822 38277530 38267425 && THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 SSW HSE 30 W ILM 30 N AGS 35 SE ATL 35 N LGC 10 S RMG 25 W AVL 25 SSE ROA 45 N AVC 60 SSE WAL THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 N ROX 40 SSE ROX 20 SE DTL 25 SW AXN 20 ESE VVV 20 W BKX 20 SW HON 0 - PIR 65 N PHP 35 SSW Y22 40 SSW DIK 45 NNW DIK 40 ENE ISN 90 NNW MOT THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 N MGR 50 NW AYS 25 ESE AYS 0 - DAB 20 E ORL 25 WSW MLB 35 SSW AGR 30 ESE SRQ 10 NE SRQ 40 N PIE 35 SSE CTY 25 E TLH 15 N MGR THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 SSE ILM 40 N CHS 35 WSW AGS 30 ENE CSG 25 NNE TOI 15 SE GZH 75 SW PNS ...CONT... 70 S HUM 25 NW MSY 35 ENE JAN 20 SSE TUP 45 NE MSL 50 NW HSS 30 ENE TRI 20 NE PSK 30 SSW CHO 45 ESE WAL THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 75 NE GNA 40 WNW CMX 25 WSW RHI 25 WNW VOK 45 NE ALO 35 W ALO 20 SSW FOD 15 ESE SUX 20 E CDR 50 NE DGW 55 SSW GCC 55 SSE SHR 65 N WRL 15 E BIL 65 WSW MLS 35 ESE MLS 20 W BHK 20 NNE BHK 45 NNE BHK 10 SE ISN 100 NNE ISN GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 SSE 7R4 35 SSE 7R4 30 N LFT 25 SSE MLU 35 N MLU 35 WSW LLQ 25 NNW ELD 10 S TXK 10 NNE TYR 0 - ACT 50 S BWD 15 SW JCT 45 NE DRT 80 WNW LRD ...CONT... 10 E BGD 35 S GAG 35 SE GAG 35 SSW AVK 15 N AVK 25 SSE RSL 40 S HSI 10 W GRI 10 S BUB 40 NNW BBW 15 ENE MHN 30 W MHN 30 S AIA 30 WSW SNY 0 - DEN 50 WSW COS 20 NE ALS 35 SE ALS 20 SW RTN 55 NNW TCC 25 SE DHT 10 E BGD ...CONT... 85 SW TUS 65 S GBN 30 NE YUM 0 - BLH 50 SSW LAS 45 S TPH 45 WNW TPH 50 SW U31 10 WSW BAM 35 NNE OWY 20 SSW SMN 30 ENE HLN 40 NNE LWT 35 SW GGW 10 NE GGW 95 N OLF ...CONT... 70 NE APN 20 NNW APN 25 SSW PLN 25 SE ESC 35 SSW IMT 25 SW CWA 30 WSW LNR 10 WSW CID 25 ENE OTM 25 W BRL 25 WNW SPI 20 SE MTO 50 NNW LEX 25 WNW CRW 40 NNE CHO 10 ESE SBY 85 SSE ACY