Day 1 Areal Outline

Issued:

Risk area map for Day 1 Areal Outline

Summary

Severe thunderstorms capable of producing tornadoes, large hail, and damaging winds are expected across much of the central and eastern United States on Monday, June 29. An enhanced risk of severe weather is forecast for portions of the Midwest, while slight to marginal risks extend across several other regions.

Product Text

000 WUUS01 KWNS 291224 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0722 AM CDT MON JUN 29 2026 VALID TIME 291300Z - 301200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 48909198 46739138 45319209 43859304 41709502 40949627 41269723 41559742 42169739 44429629 44749674 44839755 44769813 44369865 44369906 44569944 44799951 45579987 46750101 47790115 49610064 0.05 49879476 49199457 47889438 47309467 46389544 46219616 46789917 47629942 48549865 49689818 CIG1 49759467 48069432 47369460 46369544 46229618 46809915 47659939 48479862 49069849 49749814 49759467 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 47598458 46138768 44589025 43719162 42029399 40829567 39319817 39139872 39189908 39289931 39539954 39839953 41459869 42599807 43069779 43539756 44339732 44539737 44709749 44739763 44719785 44709813 44069997 44050129 44150173 44340200 44750247 45190286 45440299 45560306 45830302 46320295 49190132 49760084 0.15 48298681 46618942 45329123 41609600 41469657 41479696 41549737 41699773 41979778 43149712 44199653 45179631 45849649 46059711 45919799 45169851 44739941 44530016 44700088 44960126 45320138 46530119 47520090 49369994 CIG1 49619976 49579472 48929208 47419306 46709359 46479433 46339550 46219617 46059747 44929824 44419895 44059996 44070153 44720232 45750187 47670082 49619976 && ... WIND ... 0.05 47608458 46098770 44369070 43199235 40909553 39429797 39159849 39139882 39189920 39419968 39899983 40479975 42589862 43569777 43819771 44049801 44109839 44080005 44070127 44170182 44620233 45320295 45650308 46370294 49530110 0.05 28990388 31710365 34090255 36550087 37250024 37129970 36769959 34809988 32810113 31130208 29380223 0.15 48308679 46129010 43439380 42379508 41619599 41479661 41499705 41559738 41689774 41919779 42489755 43249708 43699686 44159701 44409741 44439798 44399858 44379939 44680084 44920119 45340136 46460118 47590087 49429991 0.30 45089930 46809790 47769653 47799574 47629535 47239522 46649565 44669860 44719900 44879926 45089930 CIG1 43769686 44179698 44439737 44439796 44399849 44379939 44810122 45250131 45430133 46600006 48439755 48999636 49529501 48619249 47539227 45709257 44829303 41729607 41589653 41619727 41789778 42489759 43769686 CIG2 45099930 46809791 47109697 46839627 46229631 44669861 44699898 44879927 45099930 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... ENH 46809791 47769653 47799574 47629535 47239522 46649565 44669860 44699898 44879927 45089930 46809791 SLGT 48268685 46129010 45009164 41609600 41469657 41479696 41689774 41919779 42489755 43699686 44159701 44409741 44379939 44680084 44960126 45320138 46530119 47520090 49369994 MRGL 28990388 31710365 34090255 36550087 37250024 37129970 36769959 34809988 31130208 29380223 MRGL 47438491 46098770 45488876 43739159 40909553 39319817 39159849 39139882 39189920 39419968 39899983 40479975 42589862 43569777 43819771 44049801 44109839 44050129 44170182 44750247 45190286 45560306 46370294 49270125 TSTM 39381908 37921757 37401710 36441681 36011739 35941819 36291877 37041960 37872059 39102141 39412151 39672149 40002124 40192070 39891991 39381908 99999999 29608614 31038607 32588575 34018540 35978507 37108502 37698494 38248464 38598413 38598335 38418274 38328243 38408170 38618102 39008027 39137995 39077947 38957910 38597872 38197869 37787894 37167952 36548006 36078052 35508090 34948110 34398094 34048055 33817995 33867928 34217866 34827785 35357658 36287482 99999999 44527699 43557795 42807885 42467962 42268033 42128124 42078450 42068522 42168608 42278685 43038821 43238894 43108974 42759044 42119169 39839592 38389739 36899801 35169875 33639954 32550021 31210084 30440081 29630075 28240062 99999999 30710857 32900591 34830399 37160174 38270103 40260065 41400044 42390032 42880056 43330104 43670189 43850262 44110352 45220515 46980736 47560807 47840898 47900965 47781045 47061170 46711307 46471439 46291743 46601939 47982064 49752112 && THERE IS A ENHANCED RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 ESE JMS 25 SW TVF 30 SE TVF 20 WNW BJI 25 SW BJI 15 SE DTL 25 NW HON 45 WNW HON 60 SW ABR 50 WSW ABR 35 ESE JMS THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 125 NNE MQT 30 S IWD 10 NW EAU 15 SE TQE 30 SW TQE 20 E OLU 25 SW OFK 20 WSW OFK 30 SSW YKN 10 NW FSD 15 SW BKX 40 SSW ATY 40 N 9V9 35 NW PIR 65 NNE PHP 50 WSW MBG 25 SW BIS 25 ESE N60 95 NNW DVL THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 95 S MRF 25 W INK 50 ESE CVS 35 S LBL 40 SSW DDC 45 SSE DDC 35 NNE GAG 35 NE CDS 55 S MAF 45 S 6R6 THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 NNW ANJ 30 SSW MQT 40 SW IMT 20 WSW LSE 10 NNW SDA 30 WSW CNK 25 NE RSL 20 N RSL 30 NW RSL 10 ENE HLC 35 N HLC 45 WSW EAR 10 NNE ONL 20 SE MHE 15 E MHE 20 N MHE 20 SSW HON 15 E PHP 15 NW PHP 55 NNE RAP 40 SE 2WX 20 E 2WX 30 SSW DIK 70 N MOT GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 WSW NFL 30 WSW TPH 45 S TPH 50 WSW DRA 30 NE NID 35 WNW NID 60 NNE BFL 20 NNE FAT 40 N MER 40 N SAC 60 N SAC 50 SE RBL 55 E RBL 70 NW RNO 30 NNW RNO 20 WSW NFL ...CONT... 50 SSW PFN 30 ENE CEW 20 W AUO 25 SSW RMG 0 - CSV 50 W LOZ 30 SW LEX 15 N LEX 40 SSE LUK 45 WNW HTS 10 WNW HTS 0 - HTS 0 - CRW 35 ENE CRW 25 WNW EKN 20 NNW EKN 25 ENE EKN 50 NNW SHD 25 NNE SHD 15 ESE SHD 35 S SHD 20 WSW LYH 30 NNW GSO 35 W GSO 20 N CLT 20 SSW CLT 35 NNE CAE 35 ENE CAE 30 SSW FLO 25 WNW CRE 40 NNE CRE 15 W OAJ 35 NE EWN 85 NNE HSE ...CONT... 60 NW ART 35 NNW ROC 10 SW BUF 30 NW JHW 15 NNW ERI 55 NNE CLE 15 S JXN 20 SE AZO 20 E BEH 25 WNW BEH 15 WNW MKE 20 ENE MSN 20 W MSN 30 NNE DBQ 15 N CID 25 SW FNB 30 SSE SLN 40 N END 30 ESE CSM 70 SSW LTS 30 WNW ABI 25 WSW SJT 65 SSW SJT 20 NNE DRT 80 SSE DRT ...CONT... 80 SE DUG 10 ENE ALM 35 SW TCC 15 NE EHA 30 NW GCK 0 - MCK 20 NNE LBF 20 SW ANW 0 - VTN 40 NW VTN 30 SSW PHP 25 ESE RAP 25 W RAP 20 SE 4BQ 90 SSW GGW 75 ENE LWT 60 NNE LWT 45 S HVR 50 ENE GTF 35 SSW GTF 0 - 3DU 35 SSW MSO 20 WSW LWS 50 S EPH 45 NNW EAT 90 NE BLI