Day 1 Areal Outline

Issued:

Risk area map for Day 1 Areal Outline

Summary

Severe thunderstorms with a risk of tornadoes, large hail, and damaging winds are expected across parts of the central and southern United States on Friday. The most significant risk includes a slight chance of severe weather in the central Plains and a marginal risk for various regions across the South and Midwest.

Product Text

000 WUUS01 KWNS 242002 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0300 PM CDT FRI JUL 24 2026 VALID TIME 242000Z - 251200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 48629012 47059209 46799555 46469826 46720002 47449999 48199932 49419695 0.05 48799215 47849366 47729648 47979719 48779701 49269634 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 48768921 47728956 46859172 45539366 45229949 45030108 45530157 46320211 47260238 48220353 49700494 0.15 48779084 47529353 46619551 46079842 45819989 45930119 46250158 46880138 48049992 49359636 CIG1 49549490 48969387 48569230 47789252 47359336 46989496 46539809 46340007 47050071 47480071 48489993 49539705 49549490 && ... WIND ... 0.05 31648018 31788100 31978144 32258169 32798147 33548081 34367932 34627869 34707778 34157654 0.05 48568936 47069092 45549364 45399619 44879905 45040109 45590161 46390211 47290238 48230353 49370460 0.05 33860383 35020371 36160214 36490090 36220018 35710000 34540029 33660128 33210224 33030294 33330347 33860383 0.05 41991142 41541335 41151401 41071450 41471484 42641461 43321377 44131178 43831106 42461105 41991142 0.05 31291191 32391183 32941100 32551013 31000982 0.15 48849077 47279296 46539509 46099840 45829987 45850067 45980128 46250159 46890137 48049991 49359639 CIG1 49109677 49069416 48759251 48069173 47309223 46529364 46319531 46169683 46349865 46909916 48289773 49109677 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 48739092 47279296 46539509 46139809 45819989 45930119 46250159 46880138 48049992 49359639 MRGL 31291191 32391183 32941100 32551013 31000982 MRGL 31668031 31788100 31978144 32258169 32798147 33548081 34367932 34627869 34707778 34157654 MRGL 35020371 36160214 36490090 36220018 35710000 34540029 33660128 33210224 33030294 33330347 33860383 35020371 MRGL 42641461 43321377 44131178 43831106 42461105 41991142 41541335 41151401 41071450 41471484 42641461 MRGL 48618926 47728956 47259072 47069092 45539366 45399619 44879905 45030108 45530157 46320211 47260238 48220353 49480473 TSTM 31541337 33161248 33701256 34461364 36181587 36741659 36901717 36781757 36541789 36491824 36581862 37011887 37911895 39351855 40531775 41351702 42191625 43201571 43861505 44781385 45601257 46391073 46260727 47400515 49630631 99999999 47298363 45818732 45538895 44859069 44719331 44429766 44340027 44560199 44900346 44760533 43840699 42970813 41640885 40980910 40790842 40950730 41390604 41220483 39270401 38360365 38160264 37810089 37769937 38339822 39299761 40349643 40739552 40749400 40619242 40108999 39188881 37328805 36018750 35368633 35608488 36168393 36618310 36738231 36558159 36178118 35858046 35857976 36017885 37247637 37697444 99999999 27989590 28909597 29869598 30599575 31199533 31819484 32529459 33229462 33799485 34299532 34779610 34919677 34789756 33989912 32500211 32030402 31930548 31970676 31490873 30980888 99999999 29298414 29898433 30998403 31388425 31258527 31128678 31528849 31278981 30559105 28699268 99999999 31158073 30228174 29598184 29178166 29008095 29337984 && THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 75 NNW GNA 10 SW HIB 50 NNE AXN 50 NNE ABR 30 NE MBG 45 NW MBG 35 NE Y22 30 WNW BIS 45 W DVL 50 NNE HCO THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 80 SW TUS 55 WNW TUS 55 N TUS 35 SW SAD 35 SSW DUG THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 ESE SAV 25 SSE SAV 20 SW SAV 30 WNW SAV 50 NNW SAV 0 - OGB 25 ENE FLO 25 SSE FAY 15 SW OAJ 70 SSE EWN THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SSW TCC 25 ENE DHT 40 S LBL 25 WSW GAG 40 SSW GAG 10 N CDS 30 E LBB 40 SW LBB 30 NE HOB 45 NNW HOB 45 SW CVS 15 SSW TCC THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NNW TWF 30 ESE SUN 45 NNE IDA 25 NW JAC 50 W BPI 55 NNW EVW 65 NNE ENV 30 N ENV 35 NW ENV 70 SSW TWF 15 NNW TWF THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 80 NE GNA 35 E GNA 40 SSW GNA 25 ESE BFW 20 E STC 10 ENE VVV 50 SW ABR 45 SW MBG 40 SE Y22 25 N Y22 35 NNE DIK 0 - ISN 105 NNE OLF GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 105 SSW GBN 20 NE GBN 35 WNW PHX 55 SSE IGM 35 SSE DRA 35 W DRA 80 S TPH 60 SE BIH 60 N NID 60 S BIH 55 SSW BIH 35 SW BIH 50 NW BIH 15 SE NFL 25 S WMC 50 N BAM 15 NNW OWY 35 SE BOI 45 NW SUN 25 S SMN 25 N DLN 45 NNE BZN 70 ENE BIL 25 NW GDV 100 N GGW ...CONT... 65 NNE ANJ 10 WNW ESC 25 ESE RHI 40 E EAU 15 SSW MSP 30 E HON 0 - PIR 40 NNW PHP 45 S 2WX 30 NNE GCC 65 S SHR 20 ESE RIW 10 ENE RKS 45 S RKS 50 WNW CAG 35 NNE CAG 20 WNW LAR 0 - CYS 20 W LIC 25 NNW LHX 0 - LAA 10 SW GCK 35 E DDC 25 NW HUT 15 S CNK 15 ENE BIE 0 - SDA 10 NNW LWD 35 S OTM 25 NW SPI 40 NNE SLO 45 ENE PAH 40 S CKV 55 NNE HSV 25 SSE CSV 25 N TYS 40 WNW TRI 20 NNE TRI 45 E TRI 35 NNE HKY 35 WSW GSO 20 SSE GSO 10 NNW RDU 25 NNW ORF 60 ESE WAL ...CONT... 55 SSE PSX 20 NE PSX 45 WNW HOU 20 WSW UTS 35 NNE UTS 40 S GGG 10 NE GGG 40 WSW TXK 30 SW DEQ 45 N PRX 20 WSW MLC 45 NNE ADM 30 SE CHK 35 W SPS 40 N MAF 25 SE CNM 40 W GDP 25 WNW ELP 50 E DUG 55 SE DUG ...CONT... 60 ESE AAF 35 S TLH 15 WSW MGR 10 SSW ABY 10 ESE DHN 25 SE GZH 50 E PIB 30 WSW PIB 0 - BTR 80 SSW 7R4 ...CONT... 45 E SSI 20 S JAX 25 ESE GNV 35 E OCF 15 SSE DAB 75 E DAB