Day 3 Areal Outline

Issued:

Risk area map for Day 3 Areal Outline

Summary

Slight to marginal severe thunderstorms are possible Sunday across portions of the central United States, including areas from Missouri through parts of Iowa and Illinois. General thunderstorms are expected across a wide area ranging from the Great Lakes and Northeast down through the Southeast and into the Southwest.

Product Text

000 WUUS03 KWNS 160719 PTSDY3 DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0219 AM CDT SUN AUG 16 2026 VALID TIME 181200Z - 191200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 3 ... ANY SEVERE ... 0.05 41180488 42330482 42890479 43450385 43980072 44179630 44029212 43358979 43128935 42668847 41948859 40968907 39569104 39269205 38709533 39250023 41180488 0.15 42100121 42789921 43279499 43269244 43129105 42749045 42328994 41679010 40869086 40199207 39849308 39519444 39529678 39739948 40640109 41420159 42100121 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 3 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 42100121 42789921 43279499 43269244 43129105 42328994 41679010 40869086 40199207 39849308 39519444 39529678 39739948 40640109 41420159 42100121 MRGL 42890479 43450385 43980072 44179630 44029212 43358979 42668847 41948859 40968907 39569104 39269205 38709533 39250023 41180488 42890479 TSTM 43028083 42658109 41298272 40468431 39188807 37889301 37809867 38610195 39130330 38610410 37240389 35530397 33960457 32740518 32600609 32530717 31960819 30990816 99999999 49861365 48611161 47130661 45540198 45079792 45649162 46028927 46628354 99999999 26877947 26518068 26338283 99999999 28409045 29909182 31119213 32759193 34079116 34288895 33978718 33448462 33708365 34078341 34928330 35588282 35518095 35717908 36287586 36707483 99999999 31231292 32401144 33531106 34911197 35421116 35410988 35650835 36110738 36900742 37780817 38900694 39920665 40470692 40850774 40690859 40210942 40071007 40531075 41071089 41521004 42070994 42951104 43871199 43921366 44311482 45631561 47651493 49651559 && THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 WNW MHN 35 NW ONL 10 NE SPW 45 S RST 55 S LSE 40 E DBQ 25 NE MLI 15 ENE BRL 25 ENE IRK 25 E CDJ 30 NNE MKC 30 NNW MHK 30 NE HLC 30 ENE IML 50 SSW MHN 10 WNW MHN THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 ENE DGW 55 NW CDR 35 SW PIR 25 ESE BKX 20 ENE RST 20 ENE LNR 30 E JVL 30 SE RFD 35 NNW BMI 30 SSE UIN 30 NNE COU 30 SSE TOP 25 WSW HLC 0 - CYS 30 ENE DGW GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 75 NNW ERI 60 NW ERI 35 NNW MFD 40 N DAY 25 SSE MTO 50 NNE SGF 35 N P28 45 SSE ITR 20 ESE LIC 30 NE PUB 25 E TAD 30 NW TCC 45 N ROW 55 SSE SRR 15 S ALM 35 ENE DMN 35 SW DMN 90 SSW DMN ...CONT... 110 NNE GPI 35 E CTB 60 NW MLS 30 SSE Y22 35 SE ABR 55 N EAU 30 NNE RHI 40 ENE ANJ ...CONT... 40 ENE PBI 40 WSW PBI 60 WSW FMY ...CONT... 80 S HUM 20 ENE 7R4 20 SSE ESF 15 NNE MLU 45 NNW GLH 10 W TUP 35 NW BHM 15 SW ATL 25 SW AHN 10 NNW AHN 45 NW AND 20 NW AVL 20 N CLT 20 WSW RDU 20 E ECG 75 E ORF ...CONT... 120 S GBN 35 NW TUS 55 E PHX 25 SW FLG 35 NE FLG 55 ENE INW 25 ENE GUP 25 WNW 4SL 25 SE DRO 40 NE CEZ 20 S ASE 25 NE EGE 30 E CAG 25 NNW CAG 50 ENE VEL 15 SSE VEL 40 SW VEL 55 SSE EVW 15 SSE EVW 50 W RKS 35 SSE BPI 50 SSW JAC 25 N IDA 45 NE SUN 60 NNW SUN 35 S P69 20 E 3TH 110 NNW GPI