Day 1 Areal Outline

Issued: 2026-07-26 20:06 UTC

Summary

Severe thunderstorms, including risks of tornadoes, large hail, and damaging winds, are expected Sunday afternoon and evening across much of the central and eastern United States. An enhanced risk of severe weather is centered near the Mississippi River valley and parts of the Midwest, while slight and marginal risks extend through the Great Lakes, the South, and parts of the Plains.

Product Text

000 WUUS01 KWNS 262006 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0304 PM CDT SUN JUL 26 2026 VALID TIME 262000Z - 271200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 48718973 46418673 44618731 43528744 41928745 40978735 39708740 39398749 38808751 37958702 36488568 36228539 35868539 35428563 35158609 35188670 35438730 36458850 37128884 38028927 39828982 40879014 42649112 46349516 48029708 49429879 0.05 46519209 46659093 45768792 45168785 44568827 44328942 44839133 45819239 46519209 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 43148173 42808330 42628450 42118545 41458594 40508669 40168783 39918920 40149108 40679203 41929470 41929579 41029830 40769947 41160041 41760057 43080008 43599918 44719779 45849588 47329679 48589838 49710037 0.15 49149247 46608677 44218548 42488631 42058730 41938800 42208976 42499106 44739324 45719423 48039678 49719831 0.30 46709247 46618999 45668774 44808795 44378855 44409011 45069170 46099262 46709247 CIG1 49999595 47518838 46528661 44578652 43838687 43768883 43939102 44599301 46029476 47539677 49619974 49999595 && ... WIND ... 0.05 27537966 27888191 28558243 29818291 31158264 33098234 34418185 36407975 38437862 40567756 40877701 40737639 40347634 38277671 36237727 35167866 34297956 33457964 32917887 0.05 42948077 41548127 41258174 40888243 40208385 39288428 38188430 34678392 33998444 33718498 33708576 34158764 34918891 36019006 36509052 38569150 40029264 40889388 41149525 41069664 40829800 40450015 40390155 40720186 41250165 41800131 43000019 45169682 46039627 47079638 48529819 49739984 0.05 46111150 45830599 44900284 44470219 43660244 43330374 43920902 44581239 45061248 46111150 0.15 48899012 47308757 46508648 45878586 44738469 44028454 42398473 41258522 36688557 36138609 35868701 36198868 36538930 37068980 37749024 38449073 39669131 41129190 41449208 42089281 42349368 42269461 41729699 41249862 41089956 41560040 42579993 43889775 44919615 46009529 47199569 48749755 49769856 0.30 46589285 46709283 47019235 47189172 46929026 46258857 45568751 44258731 43428738 42748766 42478808 42638969 44239147 45779274 46589285 0.30 39088938 39328882 39368819 39328763 38668693 38098666 37328649 36768686 36658781 36798864 37188914 37888940 38548960 38718957 39088938 CIG1 48229052 46638787 45348618 42728617 41668631 41368804 41888919 42439058 42629291 41929423 41229819 40719968 40630124 41410132 42760024 43319932 44609714 45719477 46259464 48549725 49529827 49609763 49679601 49559537 49279330 48229052 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... ENH 46709283 47019235 47189172 46929026 46258857 45568751 44258731 43428738 42748766 42478808 42638969 44239147 45779274 46589285 46709283 SLGT 48528953 47308757 46508648 44738469 44028454 42398473 41258522 36688557 36138609 35868701 36198868 36538930 37068980 38449073 41449208 42089281 42349368 42269461 41729699 41249862 41089956 41560040 42579993 44919615 46009529 46979562 49489828 MRGL 27537966 27888191 28558243 29818291 33098234 34418185 36407975 38437862 40567756 40877701 40737639 40347634 38277671 36237727 35167866 34297956 33457964 32917887 MRGL 42818082 41548127 40888243 40208385 39288428 38188430 34678392 33998444 33718498 33708576 34158764 34918891 36509052 38569150 40029264 40889388 41149525 41069664 40450015 40390155 40720186 41250165 41800131 43000019 43879883 44719779 45369669 46039627 46579633 47329679 48589838 49499998 MRGL 46111150 45830599 44900284 44470219 43660244 43330374 43920902 44581239 45061248 46111150 TSTM 32121649 33111691 33861699 34441676 34701628 35711492 36671422 39191306 39941221 41191164 41821210 41981277 41921360 42291412 42911396 43521354 44201365 44751411 45161407 45541375 46221319 47041220 47701074 47860950 47610841 47070734 46650568 46450437 46400178 46640037 47289953 47919948 48780023 49640140 99999999 28688758 30778929 33799054 35239125 36539240 37469252 38219281 38589346 38749551 39009769 38490216 37290301 36680323 33340522 28570338 99999999 27509620 28329709 28819720 29229673 30469353 30449277 30069187 29639134 29199136 28669157 99999999 45817221 41007507 39657581 38517587 37297563 36607518 && THERE IS A ENHANCED RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 WSW DLH 15 NNW DLH 15 W BFW 30 NNW IWD 35 NW IMT 25 WSW ESC 20 ENE MTW 40 NE MKE 10 E RAC 25 SW RAC 40 SSW MSN 25 NNW LSE 65 NNE MSP 35 WSW DLH 30 WSW DLH THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 NE GNA 55 N MQT 60 NNE ESC 25 N HTL 25 SSE HTL 15 WNW JXN 20 N FWA 55 NNW CSV 35 E BNA 25 SW BNA 45 NNE MKL 35 N DYR 15 SW CGI 30 SW STL 30 NE OTM 40 SSW ALO 30 ESE FOD 30 SW FOD 25 NE OLU 25 NW GRI 25 S BBW 35 NNE LBF 0 - ANW 30 SSE VVV 10 NNE AXN 15 NE DTL 100 NNE DVL THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 E VRB 40 WNW AGR 45 SSW OCF 15 NE CTY 30 SW AGS 35 S SPA 25 NNE GSO 20 NE SHD 25 SE UNV 25 S IPT 40 NNE CXY 30 ENE CXY 15 W NHK 30 ESE RZZ 20 NE FAY 10 NE FLO 45 NNE CHS 55 S CRE THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 NNW ERI 30 ENE CLE 0 - MFD 30 NE DAY 15 NNE LUK 20 ENE LEX 60 NW AHN 25 N ATL 30 W ATL 10 NNE ANB 40 S MSL 45 N TUP 20 S POF 35 NNE VIH 0 - IRK 20 N LWD 30 NNE SDA 15 NNE LNK 30 NE MCK 10 SSE IML 20 NW IML 50 N IML 20 SW MHN 20 ENE VTN 25 ENE 9V9 30 NE HON 15 WNW VVV 50 N VVV 30 SW DTL 30 N FAR 40 NE DVL 105 NNW DVL THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NW BZN 40 S MLS 60 N RAP 40 NW PHP 40 SE RAP 45 NW CDR 40 S COD 0 - MQM 15 SSE DLN 30 NW BZN GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 S CZZ 30 NNE SAN 25 ESE RAL 30 S DAG 30 ESE DAG 30 SSE LAS 45 SW SGU 30 WSW U24 40 NNE U24 20 E OGD 25 SSE MLD 25 WSW MLD 45 SSE BYI 25 SE TWF 25 NNW BYI 40 E SUN 65 S SMN 30 SSW SMN 10 WNW SMN 30 NNE SMN 30 S 3DU 30 NNW HLN 35 ENE GTF 50 SSE HVR 65 NE LWT 85 SSW GGW 20 NNE MLS 10 NW BHK 35 NNE Y22 20 ESE BIS 45 WNW JMS 30 WSW DVL 60 NE MOT 95 N MOT ...CONT... 125 S PNS 30 NNW GPT 35 NW GWO 40 SSE BVX 25 N FLP 30 SW TBN 45 SW JEF 10 SSE SZL 25 SSE TOP 15 N SLN 40 NE LAA 20 W SPD 15 NNW CAO 20 ESE SRR 125 SW 6R6 ...CONT... 85 S PSX 40 SSW VCT 15 W VCT 30 NNE VCT 30 NW LCH 35 NE LCH 10 SE LFT 40 W HUM 50 WSW HUM 85 SSE 7R4 ...CONT... 65 N EFK 30 NE ABE 10 W ILG 25 WNW SBY 45 SSW WAL 60 ENE ECG