Day 3 Areal Outline

Issued:

Risk area map for Day 3 Areal Outline

Summary

Severe thunderstorms are expected Sunday, August 24, with a slight risk of severe storms in parts of the central United States and a marginal risk across much of the Midwest, South, and Southeast. General thunderstorms are forecast to occur throughout various regions including the Plains, Midwest, and along the Gulf Coast.

Product Text

000 WUUS03 KWNS 230729 PTSDY3 DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0228 AM CDT SUN AUG 23 2026 VALID TIME 251200Z - 261200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 3 ... ANY SEVERE ... 0.05 48779010 47158971 45358987 44079087 43689163 43579225 44169330 45449356 46529346 47699412 48849501 49689643 0.05 40550499 41130413 41350363 41950192 41840074 41389785 40699715 39329733 38079764 36879905 36290098 36270246 37130390 39340499 40550499 0.05 30328913 30549068 31379213 32099171 32959049 33138982 32608794 31928712 31888522 32398229 33218103 33118040 32718014 31918036 31538075 30888101 29918158 29978463 30348596 30288797 30328913 0.15 38870268 39610266 40640234 41260134 40800004 39789986 38340020 37970099 38130237 38870268 CIG1 40520499 41140406 41950192 41709995 41039933 39699900 37479943 36590004 36290102 36280243 37100390 39370500 40520499 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 3 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 39610266 40640234 41260134 40800004 39789986 38340020 37970099 38130237 38870268 39610266 MRGL 30888101 29918158 29978463 30348596 30328913 30549068 31379213 32099171 32959049 33138982 32608794 31928712 31888522 32398229 33218103 33118040 32718014 31918036 MRGL 40550499 41130413 41950192 41840074 41389785 40699715 39329733 38079764 36879905 36290098 36270246 37130390 39340499 40550499 MRGL 48579005 47158971 45358987 44079087 43689163 43579225 44169330 45449356 46529346 47699412 48849501 49489609 TSTM 28379510 30509508 32529560 33959586 35059613 35529673 35749741 35659768 34849950 33820055 32780207 32530342 32410458 32550582 32470683 32160792 31990817 31750843 30510799 99999999 31761730 32201689 32941622 34081511 36011411 37661387 37961387 38951350 39641323 40261338 40531376 40521507 40481640 40831843 41391972 42092012 42352010 42801997 43611864 44271667 44701504 45241216 45361064 44940869 44770796 44910638 45090502 46010416 47310382 48900383 49780433 99999999 45886674 45396768 44796839 43696999 43017091 42187280 41787380 41507513 41617693 41577839 41687920 41868026 41948047 42348105 43368086 99999999 48768926 47558873 46538855 45148922 43919040 43149113 41989219 41209263 40259276 39059185 38699113 37868923 37048824 35798793 34578736 33688655 33418585 33608428 34808144 35607923 36417727 37127492 && THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NW ITR 40 WNW IML 35 WNW LBF 40 SE LBF 30 N HLC 40 NNW DDC 15 W GCK 15 ENE LAA 35 SW ITR 35 NW ITR THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SE SSI 15 WSW SGJ 30 NE AAF 20 WNW PFN 0 - GPT 30 E BTR 10 ESE ESF 35 SSE MLU 45 SSW GWO 30 SSE GWO 45 SSW TCL 30 SSW SEM 40 NNE DHN 15 NNE VDI 20 SSW OGB 25 NW CHS 15 SSW CHS 50 ESE SAV THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 0 - FCL 35 E CYS 45 W MHN 20 SE MHN 25 W OLU 25 WSW LNK 25 SE CNK 15 E HUT 20 WNW AVK 40 SE GUY 20 NNE DHT 25 ESE TAD 30 S DEN 0 - FCL THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 NNE GNA 45 NNE IWD 25 SW RHI 25 NE LSE 25 SW LSE 25 SSE RST 30 E MKT 25 ESE STC 35 ENE BRD 40 ENE BJI 15 ESE RRT 45 NNW ROX GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 SSE LBX 30 SE UTS 15 NW TYR 30 NW PRX 25 WNW MLC 15 SSE CQB 25 NNE OKC 20 NNW OKC 20 NW LTS 45 SSW CDS 50 NW BGS 15 SW HOB 20 WNW CNM 25 SE ALM 55 NNW ELP 15 WSW DMN 30 SW DMN 55 SW DMN 120 S DMN ...CONT... 65 S SAN 35 SW CZZ 25 NNE CZZ 40 NW BLH 55 N IGM 45 NNW SGU 45 ENE P38 45 NW MLF 40 SSW DPG 25 WNW DPG 20 SE ENV 45 ESE EKO 25 ESE BAM 35 W WMC 45 E AAT 15 ESE LKV 20 NE LKV 50 NNE LKV 15 E BNO 55 NNW BOI 55 ESE MYL 20 E DLN 25 SSW LVM 35 NNE COD 55 N WRL 30 ENE SHR 30 SE 4BQ 25 S BHK 30 SSE SDY 50 N ISN 115 NNW ISN ...CONT... 70 NNE EPM 50 S HUL 25 N BHB 15 E PWM 0 - PSM 0 - BAF 10 NNE POU 20 SW MSV 25 N IPT 20 SE BFD 35 S JHW 15 SSW ERI 20 WSW ERI 50 WNW ERI 95 NNW ERI ...CONT... 85 NE GNA 30 NNW CMX 45 S CMX 25 NE AUW 0 - VOK 50 S LSE 25 WNW CID 10 NW OTM 15 NW IRK 25 NE COU 40 W STL 0 - MDH 30 E PAH 65 SSW CKV 20 SE MSL 15 ENE BHM 10 S ANB 10 ESE ATL 30 ESE SPA 30 NNE SOP 25 E RZZ 65 SSE WAL