Mesoscale Discussion 1548
Issued: · Valid: –
Summary
Developing thunderstorms across central and eastern North Carolina may produce damaging wind gusts and sporadic hail through late evening. Expected severity includes wind gusts up to 60 mph and hail up to 1.25 inches.
Product Text
000 ACUS11 KWNS 082238 SWOMCD SPC MCD 082238 NCZ000-VAZ000-090045- Mesoscale Discussion 1548 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0538 PM CDT Wed Jul 08 2026 Areas affected...North Carolina Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 082238Z - 090045Z Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent SUMMARY...Thunderstorms continue to develop within a mesoscale confluence zone where buoyancy is regionally maximized. This activity may continue to produce damaging gusts over the next couple of hours before the onset of nocturnal cooling. Watch issuance is not expected. DISCUSSION...Convection ongoing across central to eastern NC has largely exhibited pulse behavior with downbursts notable in regional velocity imagery. However, a few wind damage reports have been noted over the past several hours. This activity has been focused along a mesoscale confluence zone noted in surface observations, which coincides with a regional buoyancy maximum with MLCAPE values estimated to be around 2000-2500 J/kg. Additionally, regional VWPs are sampling deep-layer wind shear values on the order of 25 knots, which is stronger than estimated by recent RAP mesoanalyses. Consequently, there is some potential for more loosely organized and persistent convection, which will maintain the potential for damaging winds and perhaps sporadic hail through late evening prior to the onset of nocturnal cooling/stabilization. ..Moore/Thompson.. 07/08/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM...RNK... LAT...LON 34347754 34367808 34807865 35347980 35658029 36168032 36498009 36627953 36627891 36517831 36007734 35697696 35317672 34947666 34707670 34527698 34487720 34347754 MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN